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USA Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire logo
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC logo
Toronto FC

Preview

Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC: Hosts Aim to Reassert Home Dominance in MLS

Chicago Fire host Toronto FC in a Major League Soccer clash. The Fire have been strong offensively at home but are coming off a surprising home defeat, while Toronto FC struggle away from home and are on a winless streak. This fixture pits a potent home attack against a vulnerable away defence.

Chicago Fire will likely look to leverage their superior home form and attacking prowess, aiming to set a high tempo from the outset. Their average possession of over 55% at home and high shot volume suggest they will try to keep the match played on their terms, using wide overloads to create chances. Toronto FC, on the other hand, will probably adopt a more conservative approach away from home, looking to remain compact and deny space. Their recent away struggles and lower shot output indicate they might rely on transitional moments or set pieces, but their defensive fragility could be exploited by the Fire's sustained pressure.

Team statistics

USA Major League Soccer
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Chicago Fire
VS
Toronto FC
13
Matches played
13
7 - 2 - 4
Results
3 - 5 - 5
53.8%
Win %
23.1%
1.9
Goals scored
1.6
1.2
Goals conceded
2.1
5.2
Shots on target
4.8
5.2
Shots off target
4.5
4.5
Blocked shots
2.6
53.2
Ball possession
47.8
81.3
Pass accuracy
80.4
12.9
Fouls
12.6
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.3
2.4
Yellow cards
1.9
0.1
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • Chicago Fire averages 2.0 goals per home game this season.
  • • Toronto FC has conceded an average of 2.3 goals in their away matches.
  • • Chicago Fire is heavily favoured by the odds, with home win odds at 1.45.

AI Prediction

Chicago Fire's strong home scoring record and Toronto FC's defensive frailties on the road make a home win the logical outcome. The odds reflect this, with Chicago heavily favoured. Both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns suggest goals are likely at both ends, leaning towards an 'over' outcome.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
    deepseek-v4-pro (ja)
    by deepseek
    88%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    72%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    85%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    82%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    40%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • x-ai/grok-4.3
    grok-4.3 (ko)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Chicago Fire HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%

H2H

Major League Soccer
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
10/5/2025HOME
Chicago Fire
D 2 - 2 D
Toronto FC
OY
3/15/2025
Chicago Fire
W 2 - 1 L
Toronto FC
AWAY
OY
9/29/2024HOME
Chicago Fire
D 1 - 1 D
Toronto FC
UY
6/15/2024
Chicago Fire
W 4 - 1 L
Toronto FC
AWAY
OY
7/16/2023HOME
Chicago Fire
W 1 - 0 L
Toronto FC
UN
5/31/2023
Chicago Fire
D 0 - 0 D
Toronto FC
AWAY
UN
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Chicago Fire Team recent

Chicago Fire logo
Chicago Fire
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
CF Montreal2 - 0WUNN
AWAY
DC United3 - 1WOYY
HOME
New York Red Bulls1 - 3LOYY
HOME
FC Cincinnati2 - 3LOYY
HOME
Sporting Kansas City5 - 0WONN
AWAY
FC Cincinnati3 - 3DOYN
HOME
Atlanta United FC1 - 0WUNY
HOME
Nashville SC1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Philadelphia Union2 - 1WOYN
HOME
DC United1 - 2LOYN

Chicago Fire have built their season on a solid offensive foundation, averaging nearly two goals per game overall and a more impressive two goals per home fixture. Their overall win percentage stands at a healthy 53.8%, with a particularly strong home record of four wins from seven games. However, their most recent home outing saw them concede three goals and fail to win, a surprising blip given their usual defensive solidity at Soldier Field. Despite this, the team's overall attacking statistics, including a high volume of shots and good passing accuracy, suggest they remain a dangerous proposition, especially in front of their own supporters.

Toronto FC Team recent

Toronto FC logo
Toronto FC
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Charlotte1 - 3LOYN
HOME
Inter Miami2 - 4LOYN
HOME
San Jose Earthquakes1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Atlanta United FC1 - 2LOYY
HOME
Philadelphia Union3 - 3DOYN
HOME
Austin3 - 3DOYY
HOME
FC Cincinnati1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Colorado Rapids3 - 2WOYY
HOME
Columbus Crew2 - 1WOYY
HOME
New York Red Bulls1 - 1DUYY

Toronto FC's season has been one of struggle, particularly on the road where they've managed just one win in four matches, conceding over two goals per away game. Their overall form is worrying, with only three wins from thirteen games and a recent three-match winless streak where they've averaged just over a goal scored but conceded nearly three. While their passing accuracy is decent, their shot volume is less impressive, and the defence has looked porous, especially in recent away performances. The last match saw them concede three goals at home, reinforcing concerns about their defensive capabilities.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Chicago Fire
HOME
1.48
DRAW
4.75
Toronto FC
AWAY
5.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.48
UNDER
2.6
BTTS
YES
1.62
NO
2.2
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

USA Major League Soccer
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vancouver Whitecaps1392230102029LWDDW
2San Jose Earthquakes1492331141729LLDDW
3Real Salt Lake138142518725WWLWL
4Seattle Sounders127321710724LWDDW
5FC Dallas146442821722WLWWL
6Houston Dynamo137061822-421WLWWL
7Los Angeles FC146352317621LLLDW
8Minnesota United FC146351721-421LLDWL
9Los Angeles Galaxy145452121019WLWDW
10San Diego144552823517DWDDL
11Colorado Rapids145182422216LWLLL
12Portland Timbers134272125-414LDWLW
13Austin143561928-914LLDWW
14St. Louis City133461320-713DWWLL
15Sporting Kansas City133281334-2111WWLDL
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