Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
Charlotte vs New York City FC: Home Strength Tested in Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC welcomes New York City FC in a fixture that pits the hosts' strong home form against NYCFC's recent struggles away from home. While Charlotte has been potent in front of their own supporters, their overall defensive record raises questions, setting the stage for a potentially open contest.
This match is likely to be defined by Charlotte's aggressive attacking intent at home against New York City FC's more possession-oriented but less effective away-day approach. Charlotte's tendency to generate a high volume of shots at home, particularly in their last outing, suggests they will look to build this momentum. NYCFC's higher overall ball possession might allow them to dictate spells of play, but their struggles to convert that into goals away, combined with a porous defence against strong home sides, could leave them exposed. The hosts will aim to exploit the spaces left by NYCFC's attacking ambitions, potentially through quick transitions once possession is regained.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Charlotte averages 2.3 goals per game at home, significantly higher than their away average.
- • New York City FC has only managed 0.8 goals per game away from home this season.
- • The odds suggest a slight edge for Charlotte and anticipate goals, with BTTS 'yes' being the favoured outcome.
AI Prediction
Charlotte's formidable home record, particularly their goal-scoring output, makes them the clear favourite. New York City FC's struggles away from home, especially defensively, are a significant concern. Despite Charlotte's own defensive vulnerabilities, their attacking strength at home should prevail, and the fixture's lean towards goals from both sides makes an 'over' bet appealing.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U43%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U43%BTTS50%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U47%BTTS37%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U43%BTTS47%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U53%BTTS53%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS50%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U50%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Charlotte Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | FC Cincinnati | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | New England Revolution | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Nashville SC | 2 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Orlando City SC | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | New York City FC | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Nashville SC | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | New York Red Bulls | 6 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Inter Miami | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Austin | 3 - 1 |
Charlotte FC has shown a clear home advantage this season, averaging a healthy 2.3 goals scored per game in their own stadium, coupled with a respectable 50% win rate at home. Their overall season scoring average is solid at 1.7 goals per match, but it's their home performances that truly stand out, generating significantly more shots on goal. Despite this offensive firepower, their overall conceding record of 1.8 goals per game suggests they can be vulnerable at the back. Recent form has seen a dip, with no wins in their last three overall games, though their last outing at home did end in a draw with both teams scoring.
New York City FC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Columbus Crew | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | DC United | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | CF Montreal | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Charlotte | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Inter Miami | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Colorado Rapids | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Orlando City SC | 5 - 0 |
New York City FC presents a Jekyll-and-Hyde profile, performing considerably better at home than on the road. Away from home, their scoring drops sharply to just 0.8 goals per game, and they've secured only one win in four away matches this season. Their recent form mirrors this struggle, having lost two of their last three overall games, and their last away performance was a particularly poor showing, conceding one goal without reply. While they boast a higher average possession and passing accuracy overall, their away discipline has been an issue, with a higher rate of fouls and red cards on the road.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.