Toulouse vs Lens - AI Match Preview

Special Event

Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!

Claim Benefit

France Ligue 1

Toulouse

Lens

Match Events

Emersonn

23'

50'

Florian Thauvin

Charlie Cresswell

57'

W. Said

85'

A. Thomasson

Mario Sauer

87'

88'

Andrija Bulatovic

90'

Robin Risser

90'

I. Ganiou

Preview

Toulouse vs Lens: Ligue 1 Clash Pits Improving Hosts Against Dominant Visitors

Toulouse host Lens in a Ligue 1 fixture that pits a recently resurgent home side against one of the league's most formidable teams. While Toulouse have shown flashes of form, Lens arrive with an imposing winning streak and a statistically superior profile, suggesting a stern test for the hosts.

This match presents a fascinating contrast in styles and recent momentum. Lens, with their higher ball possession and superior passing accuracy, will likely aim to assert control from the outset, utilizing their potent attack, which has been particularly effective in recent away games. Toulouse, who typically struggle for possession and have seen their attacking threat diminish in their latest home matches, will likely need to adopt a more compact defensive shape and rely on transitional opportunities. The visitors' ability to generate high-quality chances, evidenced by a strong shots-on-goal ratio, could prove too much for a Toulouse side that has shown defensive solidity but limited attacking threat recently.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1

Toulouse

Lens

Matches played

6 - 5 - 5

Results

12 - 1 - 3

37.5%

Win %

75%

1.5

Goals scored

1.8

1.2

Goals conceded

0.8

3.9

Shots on target

5.2

Shots off target

5.4

3.1

Blocked shots

3.4

40.9

Ball possession

48.1

79.6

Pass accuracy

83.4

14.4

Fouls

13.1

1.8

Goalkeeper saves

2.9

2.4

Yellow cards

1.9

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Lens have won all of their last 3 matches, scoring an average of 2.7 goals per game.
• Toulouse's home attack has struggled in their last 3 matches, averaging only 0.3 goals.
• Lens boast a superior overall win percentage (75%) compared to Toulouse (37.5%).

AI Prediction

Lens's overwhelming statistical superiority, combined with their formidable winning streak, makes them the clear favourites. Despite Toulouse's home advantage and recent improvement, Lens's consistent scoring and strong away record suggest they have the firepower to overcome the hosts. The odds also lean slightly towards Lens, aligning with the data. Given both teams' recent goal-scoring patterns, particularly Lens's recent away form and Toulouse's ability to score at home overall, both teams finding the net seems likely.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Ligue 1 H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
5/10/2025	HOME Toulouse	D 1 - 1 D	Lens	U	Y
1/5/2025	Toulouse	W 1 - 0 L	Lens HOME	U	N
1/28/2024	HOME Toulouse	L 0 - 2 W	Lens	U	N
9/24/2023	Toulouse	L 1 - 2 W	Lens HOME	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Toulouse

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Paris FC	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
HOME	Strasbourg	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Marseille	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Angers	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Lorient	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Le Havre	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Rennes	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Monaco	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Metz	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Lyon	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y

Toulouse have navigated a challenging Ligue 1 season, showing resilience with a balanced record of wins, draws, and losses overall. While their possession numbers are modest, they've managed to score a respectable 1.5 goals per game on average. Their home form has been solid, with a slightly better scoring record and fewer goals conceded than their away performances suggest. However, a look at their last three home outings reveals a stark drop in offensive output, scoring only 0.3 goals per game despite a higher volume of shots, which is a concerning trend heading into this fixture.

Lens

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Nice	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Nantes	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Angers	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Strasbourg	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Monaco	4 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Lorient	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Metz	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Marseille	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Paris FC	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Auxerre	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Lens have been the picture of consistency and dominance in Ligue 1. Their overall statistics paint a picture of a team built for success, boasting a high win percentage and a potent attack that averages 1.8 goals per game while conceding less than a goal on average. Their home record is particularly imperious, but their away form is also very strong, with a significant number of wins and a solid scoring rate. This impressive run is further underscored by their last three matches, where they've secured maximum points with a free-scoring attack, netting 2.7 goals per game.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.4

DRAW

3.3

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

UNDER

1.8

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Toulouse

(3-4-2-1)

Guillaume Restes

Rasmus Nicolaisen

Charlie Cresswell

Mark McKenzie

Djibril Sidibé

Alexis Vossah

Cristian Cásseres Jr.

Aron Dønnum

Yann Gboho

Rafik Messali

Emersonn

Odsonne Édouard

Wesley Saïd

Florian Thauvin

Matthieu Udol

Andrija Bulatovic

Adrien Thomasson

Saud Abdulhamid

Malang Sarr

Samson Baidoo

Ismaelo Ganiou

Robin Risser

Lens

(3-4-2-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Toulouse

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Francis	Broken Leg	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
I. Azizi	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
F. Magri	International duty	Missing Fixture	5 / 1
W. Kamanzi	Injury	Questionable	0 / 1
D. Methalie	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	0 / 1

Lens

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
R. Aguilar	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
J. Gradit	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Haidara	International duty	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
Jhoanner Chavez	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Sangare	International duty	Missing Fixture	2 / 2

League table

France Ligue 1

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Ligue 1
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	27	13	14	37	WWWWW
2	Paris Saint Germain	16	11	3	2	35	14	21	36	WWLWW
3	Lille	16	10	2	4	30	17	13	32	WWWLW
4	Marseille	15	9	2	4	35	15	20	29	LDWWW
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22	16	6	27	WLWDL
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27	24	3	27	WLWWW
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25	20	5	23	LLLWL
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24	19	5	23	WWDLD
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	26	26	0	23	LWLLL
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17	18	-1	22	WWLWW
11	Stade Brestois 29	16	5	4	7	21	27	-6	19	LWWWL
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19	28	-9	18	WWDDL
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19	28	-9	17	LLLLL
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21	29	-8	16	LDDLL
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15	LDLLD
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	11	22	-11	12	WDDLL
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14	28	-14	11	LLLDD
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17	37	-20	11	LLLLW

Toulouse vs Lens AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Toulouse vs Lens: Ligue 1 Clash Pits Improving Hosts Against Dominant Visitors

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Toulouse Team recent

Lens Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Toulouse

Lens

Injuries / suspensions

Toulouse Injuries / suspensions

Lens Injuries / suspensions

League table