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Stade Brestois vs Auxerre: Ligue 1 Clash of Contrasting Fortunes
In this Ligue 1 encounter, Stade Brestois, buoyed by recent strong home form, host an Auxerre side struggling significantly on the road. The statistics suggest a potential for goals but also highlight Brest's advantage in both offensive and defensive metrics.
This match pits Brest's recent home solidity against Auxerre's away-day woes. Brest will likely aim to leverage their improved attacking output and home advantage, perhaps through wider attacking play given their high corner count in recent home games. Auxerre's challenge will be to shore up their leaky defence, which has been exposed repeatedly on the road, and find a way to create clear-cut chances against a Brest side that has tightened up considerably in their last few home fixtures.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Stade Brestois have won 2 of their last 3 home games, conceding only 0.7 goals per game in that period.
- • Auxerre have won 0 of their 7 away games this season, conceding 2 goals per game on average.
- • The odds favour a home win, with total over 2.5 goals also seen as likely.
AI Prediction
Stade Brestois' recent home form, coupled with Auxerre's dismal away record and defensive frailties, makes the hosts the clear favourites. The odds also lean towards a home win. While Auxerre's last fixture saw a high number of goals, their overall away scoring is poor, but Brest's recent defensive improvement at home contrasts with Auxerre's struggles, suggesting goals are likely, potentially at both ends.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Stade Brestois 29 Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Rennes | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Monaco | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Metz | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Marseille | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Lyon | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Le Havre | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Lorient | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Nantes | 0 - 0 |
Stade Brestois have shown a marked improvement in their last three outings, securing two wins and a draw, conceding only 0.7 goals per game at home during that spell. Their overall season record at home is respectable, with a positive goal difference and a decent win rate, suggesting they are a tough proposition on their own turf. The recent uptick in form, particularly in generating shots on goal and maintaining better possession, indicates they are building momentum.
Auxerre Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Lille | 3 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Metz | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Paris FC | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Lyon | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Angers | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Marseille | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Strasbourg | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Le Havre | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Rennes | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Lens | 1 - 2 |
Auxerre present a stark contrast, with their away form being a major concern this season, having lost five of their seven away matches. Their recent form is equally worrying, with two losses in their last three games, conceding an average of two goals per match. While they managed a draw in their last outing, their overall scoring record away from home is particularly poor, suggesting they will find it difficult to break down a resurgent Brest defence.
Odds
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29
(4-4-2)
Auxerre
(4-3-3)
Injuries / suspensions
Stade Brestois 29 Injuries / suspensions
Auxerre Injuries / suspensions