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France Ligue 1
Nantes logo
Nantes
Toulouse logo
Toulouse

Preview

Nantes vs Toulouse: Final Day Showdown with Crucial Points on the Line

Nantes host Toulouse on the final matchday of Ligue 1, with both sides looking to end their campaigns on a positive note. While Nantes have struggled for consistency, they arrive with a recent home win, while Toulouse have shown attacking promise despite some defensive frailties.

This fixture pits a Nantes side desperate to finish strongly at home against a Toulouse team that has been more resilient overall. Nantes' recent home improvement suggests they might aim to set a higher tempo from the start, especially after their last dominant home display. Toulouse, however, have shown they can score away from home and their recent form indicates a willingness to push forward. The midfield battle will be crucial, as Nantes' lower possession numbers suggest they might look to exploit direct attacking opportunities, while Toulouse's higher passing accuracy indicates a preference for building play more methodically.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Nantes
VS
Toulouse
33
Matches played
33
5 - 8 - 20
Results
12 - 8 - 13
15.2%
Win %
36.4%
0.9
Goals scored
1.4
1.6
Goals conceded
1.4
3.3
Shots on target
4.3
4.6
Shots off target
5.1
3.5
Blocked shots
3.5
42
Ball possession
42.2
77.9
Pass accuracy
80.6
12.8
Fouls
14.3
3.3
Goalkeeper saves
2.6
2
Yellow cards
2.4
0.1
Red cards
0.2
League averages

Key points

  • • Nantes have lost 60.6% of their games this season, but their last home outing was a convincing 3-0 win.
  • • Toulouse have won 6 of their 16 away games, scoring 1.4 goals on average on the road.
  • • Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, with Toulouse in better overall form and Nantes showing signs of life at home.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a very tight contest, with both teams priced identically at 2.5 for a win. Nantes' recent home victory provides a glimmer of hope, but their overall season form is concerning. Toulouse, however, have been in better recent form and possess a more potent attack. Given Nantes' recent scoring surge at home and Toulouse's consistent away goals, both teams finding the net seems likely, pushing the game towards an 'over' total.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Toulouse AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    43%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Nantes HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    60%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    60%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%

H2H

Ligue 1
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
9/27/2025
Nantes
D 2 - 2 D
Toulouse
AWAY
OY
4/27/2025HOME
Nantes
D 0 - 0 D
Toulouse
UN
8/18/2024
Nantes
D 0 - 0 D
Toulouse
AWAY
UN
2/11/2024
Nantes
W 2 - 1 L
Toulouse
AWAY
OY
8/13/2023HOME
Nantes
L 1 - 2 W
Toulouse
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Nantes Team recent

Nantes logo
Nantes
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Lens0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Marseille3 - 0WONY
AWAY
Rennes1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Paris Saint Germain0 - 3LONY
HOME
Stade Brestois 291 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Auxerre0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Metz0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Strasbourg2 - 3LOYN
HOME
Angers0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Lille0 - 1LUNN

Nantes have endured a difficult season, reflected in their heavy 60.6% loss rate overall. Their home form hasn't offered much solace, with more than double the number of defeats than wins. However, there are flickers of life; their last home game saw a strong 3-0 victory, and their recent three-game form, while containing two losses, has seen an uptick in scoring (1.3 goals per game). They still concede too readily, averaging 1.6 goals against them over the season, but that last home performance will give them a boost.

Toulouse Team recent

Toulouse logo
Toulouse
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Lyon2 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Strasbourg2 - 1WOYN
HOME
Monaco2 - 2DOYN
AWAY
Lens2 - 3LOYN
HOME
Lille0 - 4LONN
AWAY
Paris Saint Germain1 - 3LOYN
HOME
Lorient1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Metz4 - 3WOYN
HOME
Marseille0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Rennes0 - 1LUNN

Toulouse sit in a more respectable mid-table position, with their overall record showing a decent win percentage of 36.4%. They've been solid on the road in terms of scoring, averaging 1.4 goals per game, although their defence can be breached, shipping the same number. Their recent form has been impressive, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings, scoring 2 goals per game. Their last match was a 2-1 victory, indicating they can find the net even in tighter contests.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Nantes
HOME
2.5
DRAW
3.5
Toulouse
AWAY
2.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.73
UNDER
2.1
BTTS
YES
1.62
NO
2.2
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

France Ligue 1
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lens16121327131437WWWWW
2Paris Saint Germain16113235142136WWLWW
3Lille16102430171332WWWLW
4Marseille1592435152029LDWWW
5Lyon168352216627WLWDL
6Rennes167632724327WLWWW
7Strasbourg167272520523LLLWL
8Toulouse166552419523WWDLD
9Monaco157262626023LWLLL
10Angers166461718-122WWLWW
11Stade Brestois 29165472127-619LWWWL
12Lorient164661928-918WWDDL
13Nice165291928-917LLLLL
14Paris FC164482129-816LDDLL
15Le Havre163671322-915LDLLD
16Auxerre1633101122-1112WDDLL
17Nantes162591428-1411LLLDD
18Metz1632111737-2011LLLLW
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