Metz vs Lille - AI Match Preview

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France Ligue 1

Metz

Lille

AI football analysis, now on Android Google Play

Match Events

Matías Fernández

Alpha Touré

20'

Koffi Kouao

73'

Preview

Lille vs Metz: Can struggling visitors find form on the road in Ligue 1?

Metz, mired in a significant losing streak, travel to face a Lille side that has also seen a dip in recent results. This fixture presents an opportunity for Lille to reassert dominance, while Metz desperately needs to arrest their worrying downward trend.

This match pits a Lille side that generally controls possession (averaging 54.1% overall) against a Metz team that struggles to hold onto the ball, especially away from home. Lille's usual attacking threat, demonstrated by their higher shot volumes and goal averages, will likely aim to exploit Metz's defensive frailties. Metz, however, have shown a propensity for high-risk play with a high number of red cards, which could be their undoing if they are forced into desperate challenges against Lille's more structured approach.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1

Metz

Lille

Matches played

3 - 3 - 14

Results

10 - 2 - 8

15%

Win %

50%

1.1

Goals scored

1.7

2.3

Goals conceded

1.5

3.1

Shots on target

4.9

3.5

Shots off target

5.1

2.5

Blocked shots

4.3

48.8

Ball possession

54.1

85.6

Pass accuracy

84.9

10.9

Fouls

11.9

Goalkeeper saves

2.5

1.6

Yellow cards

2.2

0.2

Red cards

0.3

League averages

Key points

• Metz have lost 70% of their overall league games this season.
• Lille average 1.7 goals per game across the season, compared to Metz's 1.1.
• Metz have lost their last three matches without securing any points.

AI Prediction

Lille's overall season record and home form suggest they should have the edge, despite their recent blip. Metz's abysmal losing streak and defensive fragility, particularly away from home where they concede nearly three goals a game, make them significant underdogs. While Lille's own recent results have been poor, their underlying metrics and the market odds favour them heavily. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede in recent games, pointing towards goals at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

67%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Ligue 1 H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
10/26/2025	Metz	L 1 - 6 W	Lille HOME	O	Y
4/28/2024	HOME Metz	L 1 - 2 W	Lille	O	Y
12/3/2023	Metz	L 0 - 2 W	Lille HOME	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Metz

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Angers	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Lyon	2 - 5	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Strasbourg	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Lorient	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Auxerre	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Rennes	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Stade Brestois 29	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Nice	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Nantes	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y

Lille have generally enjoyed a solid season, evidenced by their fifty percent win rate over twenty games, though their home form has been particularly strong with a sixty percent win ratio. However, recent form tells a different story, with three consecutive losses and conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game over their last three outings. Their last match saw them ship four goals at home, a concerning sign despite maintaining reasonable shot volume.

Lille

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Lyon	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Strasbourg	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Paris Saint Germain	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Rennes	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Auxerre	4 - 3	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Marseille	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Le Havre	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Paris FC	4 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Strasbourg	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Angers	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y

Metz are in dire straits, having lost fourteen of their twenty league games. Their overall home record is particularly poor, with over half their matches ending in defeat. Recent form is even more alarming, as they have lost their last three games without picking up a single point, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per match. The last fixture saw them utterly dominated, with just 33% possession and failing to register a single shot on target.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

6.25

DRAW

4.33

AWAY

1.5

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.73

UNDER

2.1

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Metz

(4-2-3-1)

Jonathan Fischer

Fodé Ballo-Touré

Urie-Michel Mboula

Sadibou Sané

Koffi Kouao

Alpha Touré

Benjamin Stambouli

Georgiy Tsitaishvili

Jessy Deminguet

Lucas Michal

Habib Diallo

Olivier Giroud

Matías Fernández

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson

Noah Edjouma

Ayyoub Bouaddi

Benjamin André

Romain Perraud

Alexsandro Ribeiro

Aïssa Mandi

Tiago Santos

Berke Özer

Lille

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Metz

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
C. Sabaly	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
J. Gbamin	Red Card	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
J. Mangondo	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
B. Sarr	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
P. Sy	Concussion	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

Lille

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
M. Caillard	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Gomes	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
O. Sahraoui	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 2
O. Toure	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
N. Bentaleb	Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
H. Igamane	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	5 / 1
E. Mbappe	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	3 / 1
T. Meunier	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

League table

France Ligue 1

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Ligue 1
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	27	13	14	37	WWWWW
2	Paris Saint Germain	16	11	3	2	35	14	21	36	WWLWW
3	Lille	16	10	2	4	30	17	13	32	WWWLW
4	Marseille	15	9	2	4	35	15	20	29	LDWWW
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22	16	6	27	WLWDL
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27	24	3	27	WLWWW
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25	20	5	23	LLLWL
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24	19	5	23	WWDLD
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	26	26	0	23	LWLLL
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17	18	-1	22	WWLWW
11	Stade Brestois 29	16	5	4	7	21	27	-6	19	LWWWL
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19	28	-9	18	WWDDL
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19	28	-9	17	LLLLL
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21	29	-8	16	LDDLL
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15	LDLLD
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	11	22	-11	12	WDDLL
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14	28	-14	11	LLLDD
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17	37	-20	11	LLLLW

Metz vs Lille AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Lille vs Metz: Can struggling visitors find form on the road in Ligue 1?

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Metz Team recent

Lille Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Metz

Lille

Injuries / suspensions

Metz Injuries / suspensions

Lille Injuries / suspensions

League table