Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29 - AI Match Preview

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France Ligue 1

Lyon

Stade Brestois 29

Match Events

18'

Romain Del Castillo

19'

Romain Del Castillo

P. Sulc

41'

Abner Vinicius

45'

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

47'

Pavel Šulc

62'

Abner Vinícius

86'

87'

J. Dina Ebimbe

Preview

Lyon vs Brest: Home Dominance Meets Resilient Visitors in Ligue 1

Lyon host Stade Brestois 29 in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side's strong home form will be tested by a Brest team that has shown flashes of resilience, though their away record is a concern. Expect Lyon to set the tempo, but Brest’s recent uptick in scoring might make this more competitive than the odds suggest.

Lyon, with their higher average possession and passing accuracy, are expected to try and dictate the rhythm of the game, aiming to build attacks patiently. Their home attacking numbers, particularly shots on goal, suggest they will look to overload defensively. Brest, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more compact defensive shape when out of possession, attempting to frustrate Lyon and hit them on the counter. The visitors have shown an increased willingness to shoot in their recent away games, which could force Lyon's defence to remain alert, especially if Brest can win possession in advanced areas.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1

Lyon

Stade Brestois 29

Matches played

9 - 3 - 5

Results

6 - 4 - 7

52.9%

Win %

35.3%

1.5

Goals scored

1.4

Goals conceded

1.6

4.8

Shots on target

4.1

4.4

Shots off target

4.9

3.4

Blocked shots

3.2

55.8

Ball possession

44.2

85.2

Pass accuracy

78.5

14.4

Fouls

13.6

2.4

Goalkeeper saves

2.8

2.1

Yellow cards

1.8

0.3

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Lyon boast a 75% win rate at home this season.
• Stade Brestois 29 have conceded an average of 2 goals per away game.
• Lyon's home matches average 2.6 goals, while Brest's away matches average 3.1 goals.

AI Prediction

Lyon's dominant home record and attacking prowess make them the clear favourites, aligning with the odds. However, Brest's recent offensive improvements and their ability to score on the road, even in defeat, suggest they can contribute to the scoreline. The high average goals scored by Lyon at home, coupled with Brest's improved recent scoring, points towards an over 2.5 goals game with both teams finding the net.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

60%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

63%

H2H

Ligue 1

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/2/2025	Lyon	D 0 - 0 D	Stade Brestois 29 AWAY	U	N
3/2/2025	HOME Lyon	W 2 - 1 L	Stade Brestois 29	O	Y
1/11/2025	Lyon	L 1 - 2 W	Stade Brestois 29 AWAY	O	Y
4/14/2024	HOME Lyon	W 4 - 3 L	Stade Brestois 29	O	Y
9/23/2023	Lyon	L 0 - 1 W	Stade Brestois 29 AWAY	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Lyon

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Monaco	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Le Havre	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Lorient	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Nantes	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Auxerre	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Paris FC	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Strasbourg	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Nice	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y

Lyon have been a formidable force at home this season, securing victory in 75% of their league matches at the Groupama Stadium. They average a healthy 1.8 goals per game on home turf, backed by a solid attacking output of 14.4 shots per game. While their overall season win percentage is just over 50%, their home form suggests they are building momentum and are difficult to break down when playing in front of their own fans. Their recent form also shows two wins in their last three outings, indicating they are in decent shape.

Stade Brestois 29

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Auxerre	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Rennes	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Monaco	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Strasbourg	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Metz	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Marseille	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Lyon	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Le Havre	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Paris Saint Germain	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Lorient	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N

Stade Brestois 29 present a more mixed picture. While their overall season record shows more losses than wins, their home form has been respectable, averaging 1.6 goals scored. However, their away form is a significant concern, with only two wins from eight games and a concerningly high concession rate of 2 goals per away fixture. Despite this, their most recent match saw them score twice, and they've managed to find the net in two of their last three away games, hinting at a potential threat even in tougher environments.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.65

DRAW

AWAY

5.5

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Lyon

(4-3-3)

Dominik Greif

Nicolás Tagliafico

Ruben Kluivert

Clinton Mata

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Abner Vinícius

Tyler Morton

Tanner Tessmann

Afonso Moreira

Pavel Šulc

Endrick

Ludovic Ajorque

Remy Labeau Lascary

Lucas Tousart

Romain Del Castillo

Hugo Magnetti

Joris Chotard

Bradley Locko

Soumaila Coulibaly

Brendan Chardonnet

Kenny Lala

Grégoire Coudert

Stade Brestois 29

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Lyon

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
O. Mangala	Knee injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Fofana	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
R. Ghezzal	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
E. Molebe	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Niakhate	International duty	Missing Fixture	- / -
E. Nuamah	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
C. Tolisso	Red Card	Missing Fixture	- / -

Stade Brestois 29

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
K. Lala	Knee Injury	Questionable	- / -
M. Balde	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Le Cardinal	Red Card	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

France Ligue 1

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	27	13	14	37	WWWWW
2	Paris Saint Germain	16	11	3	2	35	14	21	36	WWLWW
3	Lille	16	10	2	4	30	17	13	32	WWWLW
4	Marseille	15	9	2	4	35	15	20	29	LDWWW
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22	16	6	27	WLWDL
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27	24	3	27	WLWWW
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25	20	5	23	LLLWL
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24	19	5	23	WWDLD
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	26	26	0	23	LWLLL
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17	18	-1	22	WWLWW
11	Stade Brestois 29	16	5	4	7	21	27	-6	19	LWWWL
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19	28	-9	18	WWDDL
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19	28	-9	17	LLLLL
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21	29	-8	16	LDDLL
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15	LDLLD
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	11	22	-11	12	WDDLL
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14	28	-14	11	LLLDD
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17	37	-20	11	LLLLW

Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29 AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Lyon vs Brest: Home Dominance Meets Resilient Visitors in Ligue 1

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Lyon Team recent

Stade Brestois 29 Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Lyon

Stade Brestois 29

Injuries / suspensions

Lyon Injuries / suspensions

Stade Brestois 29 Injuries / suspensions

League table