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Preview
Lille vs Auxerre: Hosts Aim to Consolidate as Ligue 1 Season Nears End
Lille host Auxerre in the penultimate round of Ligue 1, with the home side looking to secure their European spot against a visiting team struggling for form. Lille's strong home record should give them the edge, but Auxerre's recent upturn in scoring might make this more open than the odds suggest.
Lille's approach will likely centre on their established possession-based game, aiming to exploit wide areas and build patiently, as indicated by their high ball possession statistics. They'll seek to starve Auxerre of the ball and use their superior passing accuracy to break down the visitors. Auxerre, on the other hand, may look to play with more directness and speed in transition, attempting to catch Lille off guard, especially given their recent increase in goals scored. However, the hosts' compact defensive shape and ability to win the ball back quickly could stifle Auxerre's attacking intent.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Lille have won 54.5% of their games this season, compared to Auxerre's 21.2%.
- • Auxerre have scored 2.3 goals per game on average in their last three matches, a significant uplift from their season average.
- • Lille's home defence has been tight, conceding just 0.9 goals per game on average at home this season.
AI Prediction
Lille's overall consistency and strong home record make them the clear favourites, and the odds reflect this. While Auxerre have shown signs of life offensively, their historical away defensive frailties against a Lille side that controls possession suggest goals at both ends are probable. The recent attacking form of Auxerre, coupled with Lille's own scoring potential, points towards an over 2.5 goal outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google72%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Lille Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Monaco | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Paris FC | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Nice | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Toulouse | 4 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Lens | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Marseille | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Rennes | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Lorient | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Nantes | 1 - 0 |
Lille have been a consistent force in Ligue 1 this season, evidenced by their solid overall record and a respectable home return where they've secured 50% of their victories. While their recent form has seen a slight dip in scoring, their defence has been remarkably stout, conceding just 0.3 goals per game over their last three outings. Their ability to maintain possession and control the game from midfield remains a key strength, and they'll be eager to finish strongly at home.
Auxerre Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Nice | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Angers | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lyon | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Monaco | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Nantes | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Stade Brestois 29 | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Marseille | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Strasbourg | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Lorient | 2 - 2 |
Auxerre's season has been defined by inconsistency, particularly away from home where they've secured only one victory from sixteen attempts. However, their recent form tells a slightly different story, with an impressive scoring rate of 2.3 goals per game across their last three matches. This attacking resurgence, despite a recent loss, suggests they might not be the pushovers their overall away record implies. But, their defensive fragility on the road, conceding nearly two goals per game on average, remains a significant concern.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
