Lens vs Monaco - AI Match Preview

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France Ligue 1

Lens

Monaco

Match Events

O. Edouard

Adrien Thomasson

15'

F. Thauvin

56'

62'

F. Balogun

70'

D. Zakaria

72'

A. Fati

Saud Abdulhamid

74'

Ismaelo Ganiou

90'

Wout Faes

Preview

Lens vs Monaco: Ligue 1 Title Race Heats Up

Lens, enjoying a dominant season, host a Monaco side that has been inconsistent away from home. This Ligue 1 clash promises attacking intent, but Lens' formidable home record and recent scoring prowess suggest they will be the ones setting the tone.

Lens' home setup typically involves patient build-up, aiming to create overloads on the flanks and deliver crosses into the box. Their recent scoring spree suggests they are converting chances effectively, likely through a combination of sustained pressure and quick transitions. Monaco often employ a possession-based approach, but their away games have seen them less effective in the final third, potentially struggling to break down a compact Lens defence. The home side's ability to dominate defensively, especially at home where they concede very little, will be key to stifling Monaco's attempts to build momentum.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1

Lens

Monaco

Matches played

17 - 1 - 4

Results

9 - 4 - 9

77.3%

Win %

40.9%

1.9

Goals scored

1.6

0.8

Goals conceded

1.5

Shots on target

4.2

5.5

Shots off target

4.9

3.5

Blocked shots

3.3

49.1

Ball possession

53.1

83.9

Pass accuracy

83.3

13.7

Fouls

13.5

2.6

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

Yellow cards

2.5

0.2

Red cards

0.3

League averages

Key points

• Lens have won 90.9% of their home league games this season.
• Monaco have only won 20% of their away league matches.
• Lens have averaged 3 goals per game in their last three matches.

AI Prediction

Lens' overwhelming home form and recent rampant scoring give them a significant edge. Monaco's away struggles, particularly in front of goal, are well documented. While Monaco did score three in their last game, it was an anomaly compared to their recent away performances. The odds also heavily favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. Both teams have shown the capacity to score, making BTTS a reasonable prospect, and Lens' attacking prowess points towards an over 2.5 goals outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

50%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Ligue 1

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/8/2025	Lens	W 4 - 1 L	Monaco AWAY	O	Y
5/17/2025	HOME Lens	W 4 - 0 L	Monaco	O	N
9/1/2024	Lens	D 1 - 1 D	Monaco AWAY	U	Y
2/25/2024	HOME Lens	L 2 - 3 W	Monaco	O	Y
9/2/2023	Lens	L 0 - 3 W	Monaco AWAY	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Lens

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Paris FC	5 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Rennes	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Le Havre	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Marseille	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Auxerre	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Toulouse	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Nice	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Nantes	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Angers	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Strasbourg	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

Lens have been a powerhouse this season, particularly at home where they boast an incredible 90.9% win rate. Their overall scoring average of 1.9 goals per game is impressive, but has been significantly boosted by their recent form, netting an extraordinary 3 goals per game on average across their last three outings. The last match saw them score an emphatic five goals, showcasing their attacking potency. Defensively, they've been remarkably solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per game overall and an even stingier 0.5 at home.

Monaco

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Nantes	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Nice	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Rennes	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Le Havre	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Lorient	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Lyon	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Marseille	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Rennes	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y

Monaco present a more mixed picture. While they possess a decent overall scoring record of 1.6 goals per game, their away form tells a different story. They've only managed two wins on the road this season, with a 50% loss rate and a concerningly low average of just one goal scored per away fixture. Their recent form has also seen them struggle for goals, failing to score in two of their last three away matches, despite drawing both. Although they managed a win and three goals in their most recent outing, their away performance in that game was starkly different, showing a lack of cutting edge.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.8

DRAW

4.1

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.57

UNDER

2.38

BTTS

YES

1.57

2.25

Lineups

Lens

(3-4-2-1)

R. Risser

M. Sarr

I. Ganiou

N. Celik

M. Udol

A. Thomasson

A. Bulatovic

S. Abdulhamid

A. Saint-Maximin

F. Thauvin

O. Edouard

S. Adingra

F. Balogun

Caio Henrique

L. Camara

M. Coulibaly

K. Diatta

J. Teze

W. Faes

D. Zakaria

T. Kehrer

P. Kohn

Monaco

(3-1-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Lens

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
K. Antonio	Foot Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
S. Baidoo	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
J. Gradit	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
R. Gurtner	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Sangare	Hip Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2

Monaco

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Fati	Muscle Injury	Questionable	8 / 0
D. Zakaria	Rest	Questionable	2 / 1
M. Salisu	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
M. Akliouche	Hip Injury	Missing Fixture	6 / 6
P. Cabral	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
E. Dier	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
A. Golovin	Red Card	Missing Fixture	5 / 5
L. Hradecky	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
C. Mawissa	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
T. Minamino	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	3 / 2
K. Ouattara	Calf Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 3
P. Pogba	Calf Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
Vanderson	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
T. Kehrer	Illness	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

League table

France Ligue 1

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	27	13	14	37	WWWWW
2	Paris Saint Germain	16	11	3	2	35	14	21	36	WWLWW
3	Lille	16	10	2	4	30	17	13	32	WWWLW
4	Marseille	15	9	2	4	35	15	20	29	LDWWW
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22	16	6	27	WLWDL
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27	24	3	27	WLWWW
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25	20	5	23	LLLWL
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24	19	5	23	WWDLD
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	26	26	0	23	LWLLL
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17	18	-1	22	WWLWW
11	Stade Brestois 29	16	5	4	7	21	27	-6	19	LWWWL
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19	28	-9	18	WWDDL
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19	28	-9	17	LLLLL
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21	29	-8	16	LDDLL
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15	LDLLD
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	11	22	-11	12	WDDLL
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14	28	-14	11	LLLDD
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17	37	-20	11	LLLLW

Lens vs Monaco AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Lens vs Monaco: Ligue 1 Title Race Heats Up

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Lens Team recent

Monaco Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Lens

Monaco

Injuries / suspensions

Lens Injuries / suspensions

Monaco Injuries / suspensions

League table