Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain - AI Match Preview

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France Ligue 1

Auxerre

Paris Saint Germain

Match Events

72'

Lucas Beraldo

79'

B. Barcola

Preview

PSG vs Auxerre: Ligue 1 Leaders Aim to Extend Dominance

League leaders Paris Saint-Germain host Auxerre in a fixture that pits Ligue 1's most dominant force against a side struggling for consistent form. PSG's overwhelming statistical superiority suggests a comfortable home victory, though Auxerre's recent home improvement offers a faint glimmer of hope.

This fixture is a classic mismatch in terms of possession and attacking intent. PSG are expected to dominate the ball, maintaining their high average of 69.2% possession, and will likely look to build attacks through patient passing and wide overloads. Auxerre, who average significantly less possession, will probably adopt a deeper defensive block, aiming to frustrate the league leaders and perhaps hit them on the counter. However, Auxerre's high number of red cards, both overall and in their last home game, suggests they can struggle with discipline under pressure, which could prove costly against PSG's relentless attacking.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1

Auxerre

Paris Saint Germain

Matches played

3 - 3 - 12

Results

13 - 3 - 2

16.7%

Win %

72.2%

0.8

Goals scored

2.2

1.6

Goals conceded

0.8

3.6

Shots on target

6.8

3.9

Shots off target

6.7

3.4

Blocked shots

44.7

Ball possession

69.2

80.8

Pass accuracy

91.2

14.1

Fouls

10.2

3.3

Goalkeeper saves

2.1

2.4

Yellow cards

1.1

0.3

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Paris Saint-Germain have won 88.9% of their home games this season.
• Auxerre have failed to win any of their away matches in the league, scoring just 0.4 goals per game.
• PSG average 2.2 goals per game overall, while Auxerre concede 1.6.

AI Prediction

The statistics overwhelmingly favour Paris Saint-Germain. Their dominant season-long and recent form, coupled with a near-perfect home record, suggests this will be a difficult outing for Auxerre. While Auxerre's away form is dire, their last fixture did see them concede four, hinting at potential openings for PSG, and their own home game produced three goals. Given PSG's offensive firepower and Auxerre's defensive frailties, an 'over 2.5' goals outcome and 'yes' for both teams to score seems plausible, despite the expected PSG win.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

63%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

88%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

53%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

85%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%

H2H

Ligue 1

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
9/27/2025	Auxerre	L 0 - 2 W	Paris Saint Germain AWAY	U	N
5/17/2025	Auxerre	L 1 - 3 W	Paris Saint Germain AWAY	O	Y
12/6/2024	HOME Auxerre	D 0 - 0 D	Paris Saint Germain	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Auxerre

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Lens	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Lille	3 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Metz	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Paris FC	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Lyon	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Angers	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Marseille	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Strasbourg	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Le Havre	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y

Paris Saint-Germain have been formidable throughout the season, boasting an impressive 72.2% win rate. Their overall statistics paint a picture of a team that controls games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding just 0.8. Recent form has been even more potent, with three consecutive wins, scoring an average of 2.7 goals. At home, their record is near-perfect, winning 88.9% of their games and scoring over three goals per match. Their last outing was a convincing 3-0 victory, further solidifying their attacking prowess.

Paris Saint Germain

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Lille	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
HOME	Paris FC	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Metz	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Rennes	5 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Monaco	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Le Havre	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Lyon	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Nice	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Lorient	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Stade Brestois 29	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y

Auxerre's season has been a difficult one, marked by a high number of losses (66.7% overall). They average less than a goal per game offensively (0.8) while conceding nearly twice that amount (1.6). Their away form is particularly concerning, with no wins in nine attempts and a meagre 0.4 goals scored per match, contrasted with 1.9 conceded. While their last home game saw a surprising 3-4 defeat, it did showcase an attacking spark. However, their most recent result was a 0-1 loss, signalling a return to their season-long struggles in finding the back of the net and maintaining defensive solidity.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

DRAW

5.75

AWAY

1.27

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.57

UNDER

2.38

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Auxerre

(5-4-1)

Donovan Léon

Gideon Mensah

Clement Akpa

Sinaly Diomandé

Marvin Senaya

Lamine Sy

Danny Namaso

Oussama El Azzouzi

Kévin Danois

Naouirou Ahamada

Lassine Sinayoko

Bradley Barcola

Gonçalo Ramos

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Senny Mayulu

Vitinha

Ibrahim Mbaye

Lucas Hernández

Lucas Beraldo

Ilya Zabarnyi

Warren Zaïre-Emery

Lucas Chevalier

Paris Saint Germain

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Auxerre

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
D. Namaso	Illness	Questionable	- / -
F. Sierralta	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
N. Buayi-Kiala	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

Paris Saint Germain

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
Lee Kang-In	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
Q. Ndjantou	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Neves	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Safonov	Broken Hand	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Hakimi	Personal Reasons	Missing Fixture	- / -
N. Mendes	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
F. Ruiz	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

France Ligue 1

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	27	13	14	37	WWWWW
2	Paris Saint Germain	16	11	3	2	35	14	21	36	WWLWW
3	Lille	16	10	2	4	30	17	13	32	WWWLW
4	Marseille	15	9	2	4	35	15	20	29	LDWWW
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22	16	6	27	WLWDL
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27	24	3	27	WLWWW
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25	20	5	23	LLLWL
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24	19	5	23	WWDLD
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	26	26	0	23	LWLLL
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17	18	-1	22	WWLWW
11	Stade Brestois 29	16	5	4	7	21	27	-6	19	LWWWL
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19	28	-9	18	WWDDL
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19	28	-9	17	LLLLL
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21	29	-8	16	LDDLL
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15	LDLLD
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	11	22	-11	12	WDDLL
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14	28	-14	11	LLLDD
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17	37	-20	11	LLLLW

Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

PSG vs Auxerre: Ligue 1 Leaders Aim to Extend Dominance

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Auxerre Team recent

Paris Saint Germain Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Auxerre

Paris Saint Germain

Injuries / suspensions

Auxerre Injuries / suspensions

Paris Saint Germain Injuries / suspensions

League table