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San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo host Union Santa Fe in a Clausura fixture where the home side will be looking to leverage their improved home form against a Union Santa Fe side that has struggled on the road. Recent results suggest a potential for a tight contest, though the hosts will feel they have the edge.
This match could see San Lorenzo attempt to assert control through their higher average ball possession, especially at home where they tend to dominate. They will likely aim to build attacks from the back, leveraging their higher passing accuracy at home. Union Santa Fe, conversely, have shown a tendency to struggle when playing away from home, often conceding more and struggling to maintain possession. Their recent away form suggests a defensive fragility that San Lorenzo might exploit, particularly if the home side can maintain their average of over 13 shots per home game. The home side's recent red card issues could, however, lead to moments of defensive instability.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • San Lorenzo averages 1.1 goals at home, compared to Union Santa Fe's 1.4 goals conceded away from home.
- • Union Santa Fe have lost 50% of their away matches this season.
- • San Lorenzo's home games have seen them average over 13 shots on goal.
AI Prediction
San Lorenzo's home advantage and superior home stats, particularly in terms of shots and possession, give them the edge. Despite their recent struggles, Union Santa Fe's away record is poor, and they tend to concede more on the road. While San Lorenzo's own recent form is shaky, the odds favour them slightly, and their home performance metrics suggest they can find a way to win. Both teams have a decent record of scoring and conceding, pointing towards both teams finding the net.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U50%BTTS53%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U67%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
San Lorenzo Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Huracan | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Gimnasia M. | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Lanus | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | River Plate | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Independiente | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Platense | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Velez Sarsfield | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Newells Old Boys | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 - 0 | - |
San Lorenzo have shown a split personality this season, with their home form significantly stronger than their away record. While their overall scoring average is modest at 0.8 goals per game, they've managed 1.1 at home. Their recent form has been concerning, losing two of their last three overall, including a disappointing 2-0 defeat in their last outing. However, their home performances in that recent three-game stretch show them creating more chances, averaging 15.3 shots, even if they conceded 1.3 goals per game.
Union Santa Fe Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Lanus | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Gimnasia M. | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Platense | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Belgrano Cordoba | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Independ. Rivadavia | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Talleres Cordoba | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Velez Sarsfield | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Newells Old Boys | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 - 2 | - |
Union Santa Fe present a stark contrast, with a more balanced but generally unconvincing overall record. They score and concede an identical 1.4 goals per game across the season. Their away form is particularly weak, with only 25% of their matches ending in victory and a significant 50% loss rate. Recent results mirror this struggle, with two losses in their last three overall and a recent 2-0 defeat away from home where they conceded twice and struggled to break down the opposition despite a high shot count. Their away possession numbers have also dipped recently.
Odds