Independiente vs Newells Old Boys - AI Match Preview

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Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente

Newells Old Boys

Preview

Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys: Hosts Look to Extend Home Dominance in Liga Profesional

Independiente host Newell's Old Boys in a Liga Profesional clash. The home side has shown strong form at home, while Newell's has struggled on the road, making this a potentially one-sided affair based on recent trends.

Independiente's home advantage is built on a solid offensive structure, demonstrated by their high shot volume and effective scoring. They tend to dominate possession at home, looking to build attacks patiently. Newell's, on the other hand, often finds themselves on the back foot away from home, struggling to retain possession and facing significant pressure. Expect Independiente to try and exploit the wide areas, using their attacking full-backs to create overloads and test a Newell's defence that has been porous on the road. The visitors may look to hit on quick transitions, but their low possession stats suggest this will be difficult to sustain.

Team statistics

Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente

Newells Old Boys

Matches played

7 - 6 - 5

Results

4 - 6 - 7

38.9%

Win %

23.5%

1.5

Goals scored

0.9

1.3

Goals conceded

1.6

League averages

Key points

• Independiente average 1.9 goals per game at home this season.
• Newell's Old Boys concede an average of 2.1 goals per game when playing away.
• Independiente have won 2 of their last 3 home matches, scoring 1.7 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Independiente's strong home record, coupled with their recent scoring form and Newell's significant struggles away from home, makes them clear favourites. The odds also reflect this, with the hosts heavily fancied. Newell's recent unbeaten streak is largely based on home form, and their away defensive record is a major concern. Considering the data, a home win with limited goals from the visitors appears to be the most logical outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

53%

BTTS

63%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)

by deepseek

82%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

37%

BTTS

50%

H2H

Liga Profesional Argentina H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/28/2026	Independiente	D 1 - 1 D	Newells Old Boys HOME	U	Y
11/26/2024	Independiente	L 1 - 2 W	Newells Old Boys HOME	O	Y
7/11/2023	HOME Independiente	L 0 - 2 W	Newells Old Boys	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Independiente

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Estudiantes L.P.	2 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Rosario Central	1 - 3	L	O	Y	-
AWAY	San Lorenzo	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Deportivo Riestra	0 - 2	L	U	N	-
HOME	Defensa Y Justicia	3 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Racing Club	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Talleres Cordoba	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-
AWAY	Instituto Cordoba	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Union Santa Fe	4 - 4	D	O	Y	-

Independiente have been a formidable force at home this season, averaging nearly two goals per game and dropping only one fixture in eight attempts. Their overall season record shows a solid foundation, with more wins than losses and a healthy shot count. Recent form has been even more impressive, with two wins in their last three home games, conceding just one goal across those matches. The last outing at home saw them net three times, indicating their attacking prowess is sharp.

Newells Old Boys

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Talleres Cordoba	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Instituto Cordoba	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
AWAY	Union Santa Fe	3 - 2	W	O	Y	-
HOME	San Lorenzo	0 - 0	D	U	N	-
AWAY	Central Cordoba de Santiago	3 - 1	W	O	Y	-
HOME	Gimnasia M.	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Lanus	0 - 5	L	O	N	-
HOME	Platense	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Rosario Central	0 - 2	L	U	N	-

Newell's Old Boys present a stark contrast, particularly away from home where they have a losing record and concede over two goals per game on average. Their overall season numbers reflect this defensive fragility, with more losses than wins and a significantly lower scoring output. While their last three games overall have been unbeaten, their recent away form is concerning, with significant defensive lapses in their last away fixture, characterized by a low possession and a high number of shots conceded.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.62

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

6.25

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.25

UNDER

1.62

BTTS

YES

2.2

1.62

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Apertura - Group A
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19	7	12	31	LLWDW
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22	9	13	30	LLWWW
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18	12	6	28	WLDDD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	4	26	LLDDW
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24	20	4	24	WLWLW
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18	15	3	24	WLDDL
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14	14	0	22	WLLLW
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24	20	4	21	DLWDD
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17	17	0	21	LWDLW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3	19	WDLLL
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8	19	LWWLW
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10	15	-5	16	DLLLD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11	21	-10	16	LLDWL
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15	27	-12	15	WDDWD
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5	12	-7	11	LWDWL
Apertura - Group B
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29	15	14	34	DLDWD
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22	12	10	29	LLWWW
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	17	13	4	29	WWLWW
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20	16	4	28	DLLWW
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	4	26	WWWWW
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19	19	0	26	LLWWW
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17	13	4	22	WLWDL
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17	15	2	21	DWLWD
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15	15	0	21	WWLDD
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18	15	3	20	LDLDD
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13	20	-7	19	LLLWL
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17	19	-2	18	WLWDD
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15	20	-5	14	DWDLD
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6	19	-13	8	LDDLD
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5	24	-19	5	LWLLL
Clausura - Group A
1	Defensa Y Justicia	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	WDLLL
2	Deportivo Riestra	2	1	0	1	4	2	2	3	LWDWL
3	Independiente	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	3	WLWLW
4	Lanus	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WLDDL
5	Newells Old Boys	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WDDWD
6	Velez Sarsfield	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WLDDD
7	San Lorenzo	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	WLLLW
8	Gimnasia M.	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	LWWLW
9	Platense	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	DLLLD
10	Union Santa Fe	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	DLWDD
11	Central Cordoba de Santiago	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LLDWL
12	Talleres Cordoba	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LLDDW
13	Instituto Cordoba	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LWDLW
14	Estudiantes L.P.	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	LLWDW
15	Boca Juniors	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	LLWWW
Clausura - Group B
1	Argentinos JRS	2	2	0	0	6	2	4	6	WWLWW
2	Barracas Central	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6	WWLDD
3	Racing Club	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	DWLWD
4	Belgrano Cordoba	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	WWWWW
5	Huracan	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WLWDL
6	Banfield	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	WLWDD
7	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	LWLLL
8	Atletico Tucuman	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	DWDLD
9	Independ. Rivadavia	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	DLDWD
10	Rosario Central	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	DLLWW
11	Aldosivi	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	LDDLD
12	Gimnasia L.P.	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	LLWWW
13	Tigre	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LDLDD
14	River Plate	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LLWWW
15	Sarmiento Junin	2	0	0	2	4	6	-2	0	LLLWL

Independiente vs Newells Old Boys AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys: Hosts Look to Extend Home Dominance in Liga Profesional

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Independiente Team recent

Newells Old Boys Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

League table