Preview
Toluca vs Santos Laguna: Liga MX Clausura Round 2 - Hosts Look to Continue Dominance
Toluca host Santos Laguna in Clausura Round 2, with the home side entering the fixture in formidable form. Santos Laguna, meanwhile, have a dismal away record that suggests a tough outing is on the cards.
Toluca have been a powerhouse this season, boasting an impressive 62.5% win rate overall and a particularly strong home record where they average 2.7 goals scored. Their recent form, despite a slight dip in scoring in their last three overall games, still shows them winning two out of three at home. The last home performance was a dominant display, featuring a remarkable 30 shots and 12 on target, hinting at their offensive capabilities when at their best.
Santos Laguna are in a precarious position, particularly away from home. Their overall season shows more losses than wins, and their away form is a stark contrast to their home performances, with zero wins in eight games and conceding an average of 2.3 goals. Recent form has also been poor, losing two of their last three overall matches and conceding heavily. Their last outing saw a heavy defeat, conceding four goals, which will do little to inspire confidence on the road.
Toluca's ability to dominate possession and create a high volume of shots, especially at home, suggests they will seek to impose their attacking style from the outset. Their average of 20.1 shots per home game indicates a sustained offensive pressure. Santos Laguna, who have struggled defensively away from home and tend to concede more than they score on the road, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, perhaps attempting to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, though their recent attacking output away has been minimal.
The overwhelming statistical disparity, particularly Santos Laguna's abysmal away form against Toluca's dominant home record and scoring prowess, makes this a clear-cut prediction. The odds also strongly favour the home side. While Santos Laguna have shown flashes of scoring, their defensive fragility on the road combined with Toluca's attacking firepower points to a high-scoring affair with the hosts comfortably taking all three points.
Key points
- Toluca average 2.7 goals per home game this season, significantly higher than Santos Laguna's 1 goal per away game.
- Santos Laguna have lost 75% of their away matches this season, failing to secure a single victory.
- Toluca's last home game saw them register 30 shots, highlighting their offensive intent.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
AI Prediction
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U40%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google82%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U40%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U37%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google82%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google90%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U40%BTTS63%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U53%BTTS63%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U37%BTTS60%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai75%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U37%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai66%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U47%BTTS57%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U57%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U43%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x267%O/U47%BTTS43%
H2H
Team recent
Toluca Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Toluca | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Toluca | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Toluca | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Toluca | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Toluca | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Toluca | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Toluca | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Toluca | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Toluca | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Toluca | 2 - 2 | - |
Santos Laguna Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Santos Laguna | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos Laguna | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos Laguna | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos Laguna | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos Laguna | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 1 - 4 | - |
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
