Mexico Liga MX
Toluca logo
Toluca
Santos Laguna logo
Santos Laguna

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Toluca vs Santos Laguna: Liga MX Clausura Round 2 - Hosts Look to Continue Dominance

Toluca host Santos Laguna in Clausura Round 2, with the home side entering the fixture in formidable form. Santos Laguna, meanwhile, have a dismal away record that suggests a tough outing is on the cards.

Toluca have been a powerhouse this season, boasting an impressive 62.5% win rate overall and a particularly strong home record where they average 2.7 goals scored. Their recent form, despite a slight dip in scoring in their last three overall games, still shows them winning two out of three at home. The last home performance was a dominant display, featuring a remarkable 30 shots and 12 on target, hinting at their offensive capabilities when at their best.

Santos Laguna are in a precarious position, particularly away from home. Their overall season shows more losses than wins, and their away form is a stark contrast to their home performances, with zero wins in eight games and conceding an average of 2.3 goals. Recent form has also been poor, losing two of their last three overall matches and conceding heavily. Their last outing saw a heavy defeat, conceding four goals, which will do little to inspire confidence on the road.

Toluca's ability to dominate possession and create a high volume of shots, especially at home, suggests they will seek to impose their attacking style from the outset. Their average of 20.1 shots per home game indicates a sustained offensive pressure. Santos Laguna, who have struggled defensively away from home and tend to concede more than they score on the road, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, perhaps attempting to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, though their recent attacking output away has been minimal.

The overwhelming statistical disparity, particularly Santos Laguna's abysmal away form against Toluca's dominant home record and scoring prowess, makes this a clear-cut prediction. The odds also strongly favour the home side. While Santos Laguna have shown flashes of scoring, their defensive fragility on the road combined with Toluca's attacking firepower points to a high-scoring affair with the hosts comfortably taking all three points.

Key points

  • Toluca average 2.7 goals per home game this season, significantly higher than Santos Laguna's 1 goal per away game.
  • Santos Laguna have lost 75% of their away matches this season, failing to secure a single victory.
  • Toluca's last home game saw them register 30 shots, highlighting their offensive intent.

Team statistics

Mexico Liga MX
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Toluca
VS
Santos Laguna
24
Matches played
18
15 - 5 - 4
Results
6 - 2 - 10
62.5%
Win %
33.3%
2.1
Goals scored
1.3
1
Goals conceded
1.7
5.6
Shots on target
4.2
6.7
Shots off target
3.5
4.6
Blocked shots
2.8
54.5
Ball possession
44.4
84.7
Pass accuracy
78.6
13.8
Fouls
12
2.4
Goalkeeper saves
4.4
2.2
Yellow cards
2.7
0.1
Red cards
0.4
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    85%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    78%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    82%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    85%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    82%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    90%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    63%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    60%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    75%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    47%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    66%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    57%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    88%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    47%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    88%
    Toluca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    67%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    43%

H2H

Liga MX
Match dateTeamScoreTeamOVER/UNDER 2.5BTTS
7/17/2025
Toluca
W 4 - 2 L
Santos Laguna
AWAY
OO
4/7/2025HOME
Toluca
W 2 - 1 L
Santos Laguna
OO
9/23/2024
Toluca
L 0 - 2 W
Santos Laguna
AWAY
UU
2/22/2024HOME
Toluca
W 1 - 0 L
Santos Laguna
UU
11/6/2023
Toluca
L 1 - 3 W
Santos Laguna
AWAY
OO

Team recent

Toluca Team recent

Toluca logo
Toluca
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Toluca1 - 0WUN-
HOME
Toluca2 - 1WOY-
AWAY
Toluca0 - 1LUN-
HOME
Toluca3 - 2WOY-
AWAY
Toluca0 - 1LUN-
HOME
Toluca0 - 0DUN-
AWAY
Toluca2 - 1WOY-
HOME
Toluca2 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Toluca0 - 0DUN-
HOME
Toluca2 - 2DOY-

Santos Laguna Team recent

Santos Laguna logo
Santos Laguna
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Santos Laguna1 - 3LOY-
HOME
Santos Laguna1 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Santos Laguna1 - 4LOY-
HOME
Santos Laguna3 - 1WOY-
AWAY
Santos Laguna2 - 2DOY-
HOME
Santos Laguna2 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Santos Laguna0 - 3LON-
AWAY
Santos Laguna0 - 1LUN-
HOME
Santos Laguna1 - 0WUN-
HOME
Santos Laguna1 - 4LOY-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Toluca
HOME
1.2
DRAW
7.5
Santos Laguna
AWAY
11
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.28
UNDER
3.6
BTTS
YES
1.7
NO
2.05
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Mexico Liga MX
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca17114243182537WLWLD
2Tigres UANL17106135161936LWDDW
3Cruz Azul17105232201235DDWDL
4Club America17104333181534WLLWD
5Monterrey179443329431LWLWL
6Guadalajara Chivas179262922729LDWWW
7Club Tijuana176652923624LWWWL
8FC Juarez176562728-123DLWLL
9Pachuca176472121022LWLLD
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas175662425-121LWWDL
11Santos Laguna176292228-620WLWDW
12Club Queretaro176291929-1020WWLWL
13Necaxa174592432-817DWWDL
14Atlas174582435-1117LDLWL
15Atletico San Luis1751112529-416LLLWW
16Mazatlán172872029-914DLDDL
17Leon1734101431-1713LLDLL
18Puebla1733112142-2112WLDLW