Mexico Liga MX
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Pachuca
Leon logo
Leon

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Pachuca vs Leon: Hosts Eyeing Consistency in Liga MX Clausura

Pachuca hosts Leon in a Liga MX Clausura clash, with the home side looking to build on a mixed recent run against a Leon team struggling significantly on the road. While Pachuca has shown flashes of attacking intent, their defensive fragility and Leon's desperate need for points could make this a fascinating contest.

Pachuca, despite a 35% win rate overall this season, has shown a concerning tendency to drop points at home, with 5 losses in 9 games. Their recent form mirrors this inconsistency; they've lost two of their last three, though a dominant 3-1 victory in their most recent outing offers a glimmer of hope. Defensively, they concede just over a goal per game on average at home, but their recent upturn in attack, scoring 3 in the last match, needs to be backed up by a more solid backline.

Leon finds itself in a deep rut, particularly away from home. Their overall record is poor, with a 55.6% loss rate, and their away form is even more dire, having lost 6 of their 8 road fixtures this season, scoring a meagre 0.3 goals per game. Their last three away matches have all ended in defeat without scoring, a stark contrast to a somewhat more respectable home performance in their most recent outing where they managed two goals.

Pachuca typically enjoys more possession at home and will likely try to set the rhythm of the game, using their slightly more accurate passing to build attacks. However, their recent defensive frailties, highlighted by conceding 1.7 goals over the last three games, could invite pressure from Leon, who, despite their offensive struggles away, have shown they can create chances in spurts. The home side's recent red cards suggest a team that can be undisciplined, which Leon might attempt to exploit through quick transitions or set-pieces, especially if Pachuca pushes too many men forward.

Pachuca's home advantage and Leon's abysmal away form make the hosts the logical pick. While Pachuca's overall record is inconsistent, their recent home win and Leon's struggles to score on the road point towards a home victory. Given both teams' recent scoring patterns and defensive records, a match with goals at both ends feels probable, pushing the total over 2.5.

Key points

  • Leon has lost 75% of their away games this season, scoring an average of just 0.3 goals.
  • Pachuca has a losing record at home this season but won their most recent home fixture.
  • The odds favour a home win and a match with over 2.5 goals, aligning with the statistical indicators.

Team statistics

Mexico Liga MX
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Pachuca
VS
Leon
20
Matches played
18
7 - 4 - 9
Results
4 - 4 - 10
35%
Win %
22.2%
1.3
Goals scored
0.9
1.3
Goals conceded
1.8
4.4
Shots on target
3.8
6.8
Shots off target
5.3
3.1
Blocked shots
2.4
52.6
Ball possession
50.7
83.1
Pass accuracy
83.2
12.1
Fouls
12.9
2.9
Goalkeeper saves
3.8
2.6
Yellow cards
2.4
0.4
Red cards
0.1
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    78%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    70%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    63%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    70%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    63%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    80%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    67%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    60%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    47%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    70%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Pachuca HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    73%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%

H2H

Liga MX
Match dateTeamScoreTeamOVER/UNDER 2.5BTTS
8/23/2025
Pachuca
D 1 - 1 D
Leon
AWAY
UO
2/6/2025HOME
Pachuca
L 1 - 2 W
Leon
OO
7/13/2024
Pachuca
D 0 - 0 D
Leon
AWAY
UU
2/8/2024HOME
Pachuca
W 3 - 2 L
Leon
OO
7/11/2023
Pachuca
L 0 - 4 W
Leon
AWAY
OU

Team recent

Pachuca Team recent

Pachuca logo
Pachuca
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Pachuca0 - 2LUN-
AWAY
Pachuca1 - 2LOY-
HOME
Pachuca3 - 1WOY-
AWAY
Pachuca0 - 1LUN-
HOME
Pachuca0 - 1LUN-
AWAY
Pachuca2 - 2DOY-
HOME
Pachuca1 - 2LOY-
AWAY
Pachuca2 - 2DOY-
AWAY
Pachuca1 - 0WUN-
HOME
Pachuca2 - 1WOY-

Leon Team recent

Leon logo
Leon
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Leon2 - 1WOY-
HOME
Leon1 - 2LOY-
AWAY
Leon0 - 2LUN-
HOME
Leon1 - 1DUY-
AWAY
Leon0 - 2LUN-
AWAY
Leon0 - 2LUN-
HOME
Leon2 - 4LOY-
AWAY
Leon0 - 2LUN-
HOME
Leon2 - 2DOY-
AWAY
Leon0 - 5LON-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Pachuca
HOME
1.75
DRAW
3.6
Leon
AWAY
4.75
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.73
UNDER
2.08
BTTS
YES
1.75
NO
2
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Mexico Liga MX
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca17114243182537WLWLD
2Tigres UANL17106135161936LWDDW
3Cruz Azul17105232201235DDWDL
4Club America17104333181534WLLWD
5Monterrey179443329431LWLWL
6Guadalajara Chivas179262922729LDWWW
7Club Tijuana176652923624LWWWL
8FC Juarez176562728-123DLWLL
9Pachuca176472121022LWLLD
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas175662425-121LWWDL
11Santos Laguna176292228-620WLWDW
12Club Queretaro176291929-1020WWLWL
13Necaxa174592432-817DWWDL
14Atlas174582435-1117LDLWL
15Atletico San Luis1751112529-416LLLWW
16Mazatlán172872029-914DLDDL
17Leon1734101431-1713LLDLL
18Puebla1733112142-2112WLDLW