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Pachuca vs Leon: Hosts Eyeing Consistency in Liga MX Clausura
Pachuca hosts Leon in a Liga MX Clausura clash, with the home side looking to build on a mixed recent run against a Leon team struggling significantly on the road. While Pachuca has shown flashes of attacking intent, their defensive fragility and Leon's desperate need for points could make this a fascinating contest.
Pachuca, despite a 35% win rate overall this season, has shown a concerning tendency to drop points at home, with 5 losses in 9 games. Their recent form mirrors this inconsistency; they've lost two of their last three, though a dominant 3-1 victory in their most recent outing offers a glimmer of hope. Defensively, they concede just over a goal per game on average at home, but their recent upturn in attack, scoring 3 in the last match, needs to be backed up by a more solid backline.
Leon finds itself in a deep rut, particularly away from home. Their overall record is poor, with a 55.6% loss rate, and their away form is even more dire, having lost 6 of their 8 road fixtures this season, scoring a meagre 0.3 goals per game. Their last three away matches have all ended in defeat without scoring, a stark contrast to a somewhat more respectable home performance in their most recent outing where they managed two goals.
Pachuca typically enjoys more possession at home and will likely try to set the rhythm of the game, using their slightly more accurate passing to build attacks. However, their recent defensive frailties, highlighted by conceding 1.7 goals over the last three games, could invite pressure from Leon, who, despite their offensive struggles away, have shown they can create chances in spurts. The home side's recent red cards suggest a team that can be undisciplined, which Leon might attempt to exploit through quick transitions or set-pieces, especially if Pachuca pushes too many men forward.
Pachuca's home advantage and Leon's abysmal away form make the hosts the logical pick. While Pachuca's overall record is inconsistent, their recent home win and Leon's struggles to score on the road point towards a home victory. Given both teams' recent scoring patterns and defensive records, a match with goals at both ends feels probable, pushing the total over 2.5.
Key points
- Leon has lost 75% of their away games this season, scoring an average of just 0.3 goals.
- Pachuca has a losing record at home this season but won their most recent home fixture.
- The odds favour a home win and a match with over 2.5 goals, aligning with the statistical indicators.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
AI Prediction
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U37%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U50%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U43%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U40%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U53%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U53%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U70%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U40%BTTS63%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x270%O/U60%BTTS63%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x267%O/U43%BTTS60%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U40%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U53%BTTS57%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U60%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x270%O/U47%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x273%O/U50%BTTS43%
H2H
Team recent
Pachuca Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Pachuca | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Pachuca | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Pachuca | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Pachuca | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Pachuca | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Pachuca | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Pachuca | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Pachuca | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Pachuca | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Pachuca | 2 - 1 | - |
Leon Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Leon | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Leon | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Leon | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Leon | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Leon | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Leon | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Leon | 2 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Leon | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Leon | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Leon | 0 - 5 | - |
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
