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Necaxa vs Toluca: High-Flying Toluca Look to Continue Dominance
Liga MX Clausura sees a clash between Necaxa and Toluca. While Necaxa have shown recent flashes of scoring form, Toluca arrive as clear favourites, boasting a superior overall record and a formidable away performance that has seen them win 50% of their road fixtures this season.
Toluca's possession-based approach, demonstrated by their high ball possession and passing accuracy, is likely to set the tempo. They will aim to build attacks patiently, utilizing their superior attacking statistics to break down Necaxa's defence. Necaxa, conversely, may look to hit on the counter and exploit any defensive lapses, especially given their recent offensive surge. The visitors’ ability to control central areas and exploit wide channels will be key, while Necaxa will need to be defensively compact and capitalize on limited opportunities.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Toluca have won 50% of their away games this season, averaging 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded.
- • Necaxa's last home match saw them score 4 goals, a significant improvement on their season average.
- • Toluca have a strong overall win percentage of 58.6% and average 1.9 goals per game.
AI Prediction
Toluca's overall superiority, particularly their strong away record and consistent goal-scoring, makes them strong favourites. Necaxa's recent offensive spark and home advantage offer a glimmer of hope, but Toluca's attacking density suggests they will ultimately prevail in a game with multiple goals.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U50%BTTS30%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Necaxa Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | FC Juarez | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico San Luis | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club America | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Atlas | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Monterrey | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Santos Laguna | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Mazatlán | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico San Luis | 4 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Cruz Azul | 1 - 1 |
Necaxa have endured a difficult season overall, with more losses than wins and conceding nearly two goals per game on average. However, their home form has been slightly more resilient, averaging a goal scored and conceded, and they've managed to pick up wins in three of their last four at home. Their most recent outing was a dominant 4-1 victory, showcasing an offensive capability they'll desperately need to replicate.
Toluca Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Club Tijuana | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Cruz Azul | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Puebla | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Tigres UANL | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Monterrey | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Tigres UANL | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Tigres UANL | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Monterrey | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Monterrey | 0 - 1 |
Toluca have been the standout performers this season, boasting an impressive win rate and a potent attack that averages almost two goals per game across all matches. Their away form is particularly strong, with half of their away games resulting in victory and a stingy defence that concedes less than a goal on average. Despite a recent trend of draws in their last three games, they've remained unbeaten in that stretch, demonstrating significant resilience.
Odds
Lineups
Necaxa
(3-4-1-2)
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)