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Liga MX Semi-final: Cruz Azul Host Guadalajara Chivas in Crucial Clash
Cruz Azul and Guadalajara Chivas meet in the Liga MX Clausura semi-finals, with the hosts boasting a formidable home record against a Chivas side that has struggled on the road recently. This encounter promises a tactical battle as both teams look to secure a first-leg advantage.
This match sets up as a classic clash of styles and form. Cruz Azul's strong home record and consistent scoring suggest they will aim to set the rhythm of the game early, utilizing their higher average possession and passing accuracy to build attacks. Guadalajara Chivas, conversely, have shown a susceptibility to conceding on the road and have been poor in their last three away fixtures. Their recent struggles might force them into a more defensive posture, possibly looking for quick transitions, but their high shot volume in the last game indicates they won't sit back entirely. Expect Cruz Azul to try and exploit the wide areas, where they have a slight edge in corner kicks.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Cruz Azul boast a formidable 70% win rate at home this season, averaging 2 goals per game.
- • Guadalajara Chivas have won only 47.4% of their away matches, conceding an average of 1.5 goals.
- • Cruz Azul have won their last three matches, scoring 2.7 goals per game in that stretch.
AI Prediction
Cruz Azul's dominant home form and superior recent results, especially defensively, make them the clear favourites. Guadalajara Chivas' away form is a significant concern, and their recent defensive record on the road is poor. Despite Chivas' potential to score, particularly given their attacking volume in the last match, Cruz Azul's overall consistency and home advantage should see them secure a vital first-leg victory.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U50%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U47%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U57%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS50%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai82% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U53%BTTS57%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS63%
H2H
Team recent
Cruz Azul Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Atlas | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Atlas | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Necaxa | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club Queretaro | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Club Tijuana | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club America | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Pachuca | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Mazatlán | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Atletico San Luis | 3 - 0 |
Cruz Azul enters this semi-final on the back of an impressive season, particularly at home. They have secured 70% of their wins on home soil this season, averaging two goals per game while conceding just one. Their recent form is even more striking, with three consecutive wins, scoring an average of 2.7 goals. The last match, though, saw a slight dip in their attacking output and possession, which might be a minor concern heading into this crucial tie.
Guadalajara Chivas Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Tigres UANL | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Tigres UANL | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Club Tijuana | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Necaxa | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Puebla | 5 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Tigres UANL | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Monterrey | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Leon | 5 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Santos Laguna | 3 - 0 |
Guadalajara Chivas have shown a Jekyll and Hyde performance this season, with their home form significantly outperforming their away record. While they average 1.4 goals on the road, they also concede 1.5, mirroring their overall season trend of winning less than half their away fixtures. Their recent form paints a worrying picture, with no wins in their last three away games, conceding 2.3 goals per match. However, their last outing saw a strong attacking performance with 28 shots, despite the loss, indicating they can still create chances.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.