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Stockport County vs Stevenage: Playoff Showdown in League One
League One playoff semi-final action sees Stockport County host Stevenage. The home side finished the season strongly at home, while Stevenage have found wins on the road harder to come by, setting up a potentially decisive clash.
This semi-final promises a clash of styles, with Stockport likely aiming to use their superior ball possession and passing accuracy to build attacks from deep. They'll look to exploit the flanks and potentially overload Stevenage’s defence, especially given their higher corner count. Stevenage, on the other hand, typically operate with less possession and may look to be more direct, seeking to capitalize on transitions or moments of defensive lapse from the home side. The visitors' recent away form shows they can grind out results, but Stockport's home advantage and overall stronger statistics might force Stevenage into a more reactive posture, potentially inviting pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Stockport County average 1.7 goals per game at home over the season.
- • Stevenage have lost 11 of their 23 away league matches.
- • The odds suggest a slight edge for Stockport County, with home win odds at 1.85.
AI Prediction
Stockport County's overall season performance and home record, coupled with the odds favouring them, suggest they are the more likely winners. Despite a recent wobble at home, their ability to control games and create chances should see them edge this tie. Stevenage's poor away record and lower shot output point to them struggling to break down Stockport's defence, though their recent improved away form and the odds for BTTS suggest they might get on the scoresheet.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U43%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U43%BTTS50%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U47%BTTS37%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U43%BTTS47%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama82% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x230%O/U53%BTTS53%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai78% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS50%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U50%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Stockport County Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Barnsley | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Port Vale | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Peterborough | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Mansfield Town | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Exeter City | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bolton | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Wycombe | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 |
Stockport County have put together a solid season, particularly at home where they've secured over half their victories. Their overall scoring average is respectable, and they generally control possession well, averaging over 55% ball retention. However, their recent home form in the last three games has seen a dip in results, with two losses despite generating a high volume of shots. The last home outing was particularly disappointing, conceding two goals and failing to score.
Stevenage Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Stockport County | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Wigan | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Doncaster | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Barnsley | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Lincoln | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Bolton | 1 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Bradford | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Rotherham | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Reading | 1 - 0 |
Stevenage have also had a decent campaign, but their away form tells a different story. While they boast a positive home record, their travels have been a struggle, with nearly half of their away fixtures ending in defeat. Their overall goal scoring and conceding averages are mirrored, suggesting a team that can compete but often finds itself on the wrong side of tight contests. Recent away form has shown a slight improvement with a win and a draw in their last three road games, though their last away match ended in a draw with both teams finding the net.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.