Rotherham vs Northampton - AI Match Preview

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England League One

Rotherham

Northampton

Match Events

26'

Tom Eaves

Sam Nombe

28'

Harry Gray

46'

Harry Gray

58'

Emmanuel Adegboyega

84'

Joe Rafferty

90'

Preview

Rotherham vs Northampton: League One Stalemate or Home Advantage?

Rotherham hosts Northampton in a League One clash where recent form paints a starkly different picture for both sides. The Millers are in a deep slump, while Northampton have shown resilience, though their away form has been a concern. This encounter could hinge on Rotherham's ability to arrest their slide against a side that has struggled to convert draws into wins on the road.

This match presents a classic scenario of a team in freefall hosting a side that is difficult to beat but also struggles to secure victories away from home. Rotherham's recent defensive frailties, highlighted by a 3-2 loss in their last outing, suggest they might be vulnerable to quick transitions if Northampton can manage to break their lines. However, Northampton's own possession numbers are low, particularly away from home, indicating they may not dominate the ball or attempt to build from deep, potentially leading to a midfield battle where second balls and pressing could be crucial.

Team statistics

England League One

Rotherham

Northampton

Matches played

6 - 7 - 13

Results

8 - 5 - 13

23.1%

Win %

30.8%

Goals scored

0.9

1.5

Goals conceded

1.2

Shots on target

2.8

4.3

Shots off target

3.3

2.3

Blocked shots

2.8

43.8

Ball possession

43.8

67.2

Pass accuracy

62.8

12.9

Fouls

10.2

3.1

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

2.2

Yellow cards

1.3

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Rotherham have lost their last three consecutive matches, conceding three goals on average in that period.
• Northampton have drawn two of their last three games but have lost seven of their twelve away league matches this season.
• The odds suggest a relatively low-scoring game with odds for under 2.5 goals at 1.65.

AI Prediction

Rotherham's dreadful recent form, particularly defensively, is a major concern, yet Northampton's own away form is far from convincing, with a high loss rate. The odds suggest a tight contest, leaning slightly towards the hosts, but the recent data points to a stalemate. Given Northampton's recent struggles to score away and Rotherham's defensive collapse, 'both teams to score - no' and 'under 2.5 goals' seem the most prudent selections.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

37%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

57%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%

H2H

League One

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
10/11/2025	Rotherham	W 2 - 1 L	Northampton AWAY	O	Y
4/1/2025	Rotherham	W 2 - 0 L	Northampton AWAY	U	N
12/14/2024	HOME Rotherham	W 3 - 0 L	Northampton	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Rotherham

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Stockport County	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Peterborough	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Blackpool	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Bolton	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Huddersfield	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Plymouth	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Blackpool	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Wycombe	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Reading	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N

Rotherham are enduring a torrid spell, having lost their last three matches comprehensively, conceding a worrying average of three goals per game. Their season overall paints a picture of a side struggling for consistent performance, with more losses than wins and a possession figure that hovers below 45%. While they manage a reasonable number of shots at home, their conversion rate seems to have deserted them recently, with their last home outing yielding no goals.

Northampton

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Blackpool	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Wycombe	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Bolton	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Stockport County	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Huddersfield	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Burton Albion	1 - 5	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	AFC Wimbledon	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Peterborough	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Huddersfield	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Plymouth	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y

Northampton arrive with a more stable, if not spectacular, season record, sitting on more wins than losses but with a significant number of draws. Their recent form shows a stubbornness, managing two draws in their last three games, though they also succumbed to a heavy away defeat. Their away statistics are mixed; they concede 1.5 goals per game on the road, but their recent defensive showing in the last match, a 0-0 draw, was a positive sign, despite limited attacking threat.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.05

DRAW

3.1

AWAY

3.6

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.2

UNDER

1.65

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups

Rotherham

(3-4-1-2)

Cameron Dawson

Jamal Baptiste

Zak Jules

Joe Rafferty

Reece James

Shaun McWilliams

Kian Spence

Marvin Kaleta

Joe Powell

Sam Nombe

Harry Gray

Elliott List

Tom Eaves

Sam Hoskins

Nesta Guinness-Walker

Dean Campbell

Terry Taylor

Jack Burroughs

Conor McCarthy

Jon Guthrie

Jordan Willis

Ross Fitzsimons

Northampton

(3-4-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

England League One

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Cardiff	22	15	2	5	40	23	17	47	WWLWW
2	Lincoln	23	13	5	5	34	23	11	44	WWWDW
3	Bradford	22	12	7	3	32	21	11	43	WWLWW
4	Stockport County	22	11	5	6	33	29	4	38	WLWLW
5	Huddersfield	23	11	4	8	42	31	11	37	WWWDD
6	Bolton	22	10	7	5	30	21	9	37	LWLWW
7	Stevenage	21	10	6	5	25	17	8	36	LDDWL
8	Luton	23	10	5	8	33	28	5	35	WWLDD
9	Wycombe	23	7	8	8	29	27	2	29	DLWDL
10	Reading	22	7	8	7	29	28	1	29	DWWLL
11	Mansfield Town	22	8	5	9	28	28	0	29	WWLDL
12	Wigan	22	7	8	7	25	25	0	29	WLLDW
13	Blackpool	23	8	5	10	29	30	-1	29	WWWDW
14	Peterborough	22	9	2	11	26	28	-2	29	DWWWW
15	Barnsley	20	8	4	8	32	32	0	28	LLLWL
16	Leyton Orient	23	8	4	11	34	38	-4	28	LLWLD
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	24	30	-6	28	LDLDL
18	Burton Albion	22	7	6	9	23	29	-6	27	LWDDL
19	Northampton	22	8	3	11	22	28	-6	27	LLWLD
20	Exeter City	22	8	2	12	22	21	1	26	WLWLW
21	Plymouth	23	8	2	13	28	38	-10	26	DLWWW
22	Rotherham	23	6	6	11	22	33	-11	24	LLLLL
23	Doncaster	23	6	4	13	23	40	-17	22	LLLLL
24	Port Vale	22	3	6	13	13	30	-17	15	LLLDL

Rotherham vs Northampton AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Rotherham vs Northampton: League One Stalemate or Home Advantage?

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Rotherham Team recent

Northampton Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Rotherham

Northampton

Injuries / suspensions

League table