Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon - AI Match Preview

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England League One

Northampton

AFC Wimbledon

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Conor McCarthy

10'

16'

Marcus Browne

Jordan Thorniley

26'

47'

Nathan Asiimwe

Cameron McGeehan

50'

Cameron McGeehan

59'

Sam Hoskins

76'

85'

Jake Reeves

Preview

Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon: League One Stalemate on the Horizon?

This League One clash sees Northampton hosting AFC Wimbledon in what appears to be a tightly contested affair. While Northampton have shown resilience at home, their overall form is inconsistent. AFC Wimbledon, despite a poor recent away record, possess a slightly better scoring record on the road this season, setting up a fascinating tactical battle.

This match looks set to be a battle of attrition, with neither side dominating possession consistently, although Wimbledon are capable of higher retention. Northampton's recent struggles with possession and higher defensive outputs suggest they may adopt a more compact shape, looking to counter. AFC Wimbledon, conversely, might try to leverage their possession stats, aiming for a patient build-up, but their recent away defensive frailties will be a major concern. Expect a tactical chess match where early goals could significantly alter the complexion.

Team statistics

England League One

Northampton

AFC Wimbledon

Matches played

7 - 3 - 9

Results

8 - 3 - 8

36.8%

Win %

42.1%

0.9

Goals scored

1.2

1.1

Goals conceded

1.4

2.9

Shots on target

2.9

3.1

Shots off target

3.7

2.6

Blocked shots

2.9

44.4

Ball possession

44.2

63.2

Pass accuracy

68.2

10.5

Fouls

12.7

2.7

Goalkeeper saves

1.8

1.3

Yellow cards

1.5

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Northampton have lost 47.4% of their overall league games this season.
• AFC Wimbledon concede an average of 1.9 goals per game away from home.
• Both teams have had a recent win-draw-loss record, indicating a lack of sustained momentum.

AI Prediction

Both teams have struggled for consistent form and boast similar win/loss records over the season. Northampton's home form is marginally better than Wimbledon's away form, but recent trends suggest a defensive fragility for both sides. The odds reflect a tight contest, and the statistics point towards a game where neither side will likely run away with it, making a draw the most appealing outcome. Both teams have shown enough attacking intent and defensive weakness to suggest goals at both ends, but the overall scoring averages lean towards fewer than 2.5 goals.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

60%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

60%

O/U

50%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

50%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

47%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

57%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

60%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

37%

BTTS

40%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

50%

BTTS

50%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

47%

BTTS

43%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

33%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

70%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

60%

H2H

League One

No head-to-head data available.

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Northampton

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Peterborough	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Huddersfield	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Plymouth	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Cardiff	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Mansfield Town	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Luton	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Reading	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Doncaster	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Rotherham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Port Vale	0 - 0	D	U	N	N

Northampton present a mixed bag this season in League One. They've managed more wins at home than losses, suggesting a degree of comfort in familiar surroundings, where they average a goal per game. However, their overall season record shows more defeats than wins, and their recent form has been even, with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three. Their possession numbers have dipped recently, particularly in their last outing, where they struggled to maintain control and conceded heavily.

AFC Wimbledon

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Mansfield Town	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Exeter City	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Huddersfield	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Wigan	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Peterborough	0 - 5	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Burton Albion	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Plymouth	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Port Vale	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Blackpool	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Wycombe	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

AFC Wimbledon's season mirrors Northampton's in terms of overall win/loss ratio, but their away form is a concern. They've lost half of their away matches this term, conceding nearly two goals per game on the road. Despite this, their recent away form shows a marginal improvement in scoring, netting 1.3 goals in their last three away fixtures, though this is juxtaposed with a heavy defeat in their very last match. They tend to dominate possession in their recent games, even if it doesn't always translate into wins.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.25

DRAW

3.1

AWAY

3.3

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.4

UNDER

1.53

BTTS

YES

2.05

1.7

Lineups

Northampton

(3-4-1-2)

Ross Fitzsimons

Michael Forbes

Jordan Thorniley

Conor McCarthy

Nesta Guinness-Walker

Dean Campbell

Terry Taylor

Sam Hoskins

Cameron McGeehan

Tom Eaves

Ethan Wheatley

Marcus Browne

Omar Bugiel

Steve Seddon

Myles Hippolyte

Alistair Smith

Nathan Asiimwe

Jake Reeves

Ryan Johnson

Joe Lewis

Isaac Ogundere

Nathan Bishop

AFC Wimbledon

(3-1-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Northampton

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
L. Shaw	Knee injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

AFC Wimbledon

Name	Reason	Type	G/A

League table

England League One

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Cardiff	22	15	2	5	40	23	17	47	WWLWW
2	Lincoln	23	13	5	5	34	23	11	44	WWWDW
3	Bradford	22	12	7	3	32	21	11	43	WWLWW
4	Stockport County	22	11	5	6	33	29	4	38	WLWLW
5	Huddersfield	23	11	4	8	42	31	11	37	WWWDD
6	Bolton	22	10	7	5	30	21	9	37	LWLWW
7	Stevenage	21	10	6	5	25	17	8	36	LDDWL
8	Luton	23	10	5	8	33	28	5	35	WWLDD
9	Wycombe	23	7	8	8	29	27	2	29	DLWDL
10	Reading	22	7	8	7	29	28	1	29	DWWLL
11	Mansfield Town	22	8	5	9	28	28	0	29	WWLDL
12	Wigan	22	7	8	7	25	25	0	29	WLLDW
13	Blackpool	23	8	5	10	29	30	-1	29	WWWDW
14	Peterborough	22	9	2	11	26	28	-2	29	DWWWW
15	Barnsley	20	8	4	8	32	32	0	28	LLLWL
16	Leyton Orient	23	8	4	11	34	38	-4	28	LLWLD
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	24	30	-6	28	LDLDL
18	Burton Albion	22	7	6	9	23	29	-6	27	LWDDL
19	Northampton	22	8	3	11	22	28	-6	27	LLWLD
20	Exeter City	22	8	2	12	22	21	1	26	WLWLW
21	Plymouth	23	8	2	13	28	38	-10	26	DLWWW
22	Rotherham	23	6	6	11	22	33	-11	24	LLLLL
23	Doncaster	23	6	4	13	23	40	-17	22	LLLLL
24	Port Vale	22	3	6	13	13	30	-17	15	LLLDL

Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon: League One Stalemate on the Horizon?

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Northampton Team recent

AFC Wimbledon Team recent

Odds

Northampton

AFC Wimbledon

Injuries / suspensions

Northampton Injuries / suspensions

AFC Wimbledon Injuries / suspensions

League table