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England League One
Cardiff logo
Cardiff
Stevenage logo
Stevenage
Match Events
54'
Harvey White
57'
Phoenix Patterson
Callum Robinson
64'
Yousef Salech
82'
Joel Colwill
90'
90'
Louis Thompson

Preview

Cardiff vs Stevenage: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominance in League One Clash

League One leaders Cardiff host Stevenage in what looks like a stern test for the visitors. The home side's formidable home record and potent attack face a Stevenage side that has been resilient on the road but recently faltered defensively.

This fixture pits Cardiff's dominant, possession-based attacking style against Stevenage's typically more pragmatic approach. The hosts will aim to leverage their superior firepower and home advantage, likely employing quick ball circulation and wing play to break down the visitors. Stevenage, who tend to play with a lower possession percentage, will need to be defensively organised and look for opportunities on the counter. Their recent tendency to draw games suggests they can be stubborn, but Cardiff's home scoring record and recent attacking surge suggest they'll find a way to create chances, possibly exploiting Stevenage's last-match defensive slip.

Team statistics

England League One
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Cardiff
VS
Stevenage
21
Matches played
20
14 - 2 - 5
Results
10 - 6 - 4
66.7%
Win %
50%
1.8
Goals scored
1.2
1
Goals conceded
0.8
5.1
Shots on target
3.3
4.9
Shots off target
3.4
4.1
Blocked shots
2.4
61.4
Ball possession
44.1
83.2
Pass accuracy
63.8
10.5
Fouls
12.2
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
1.8
1.8
Yellow cards
2.3
0
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • Cardiff averages 2.5 goals per game at home this season.
  • • Stevenage has secured points in 72.7% of their away matches this season.
  • • Cardiff has won their last three home games consecutively.

AI Prediction

Cardiff's overwhelming home form, coupled with their high scoring rate and recent attacking momentum, makes them strong favourites. Stevenage's resilience on the road is noted, but their recent defensive record and Cardiff's sheer attacking class, especially at home, points towards a home victory. The odds also favour the hosts, aligning with the statistical superiority. Both teams have shown they can score, suggesting BTTS is likely, and Cardiff's attacking prowess makes an 'over' bet appealing.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    75%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    72%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    85%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    50%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    60%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    50%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    40%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    78%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    53%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    47%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    82%
    Cardiff HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    57%

H2H

League One
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
12/9/2025
Cardiff
W 1 - 0 L
Stevenage
AWAY
UN
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Cardiff Team recent

Cardiff logo
Cardiff
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Exeter City1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Lincoln1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Doncaster4 - 3WOYN
AWAY
Stevenage1 - 0WUNY
HOME
Huddersfield3 - 2WOYN
HOME
Mansfield Town3 - 0WONY
AWAY
Northampton3 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Blackpool1 - 3LOYY
AWAY
Bolton0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Reading2 - 1WOYN

Cardiff have been nothing short of sensational at home this season, boasting an 81.8% win rate and averaging a staggering 2.5 goals per game. Their overall season stats paint a picture of a dominant side, with a 66.7% win rate and a strong grip on possession. Recent form has also been excellent, with three consecutive home wins, including a convincing 2.7 goals per game average in their last three matches. Even their last outing, a 1-0 win, showed defensive solidity, conceding no shots on target.

Stevenage Team recent

Stevenage logo
Stevenage
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
AFC Wimbledon0 - 0DUNY
HOME
Burton Albion2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Stockport County3 - 1WOYN
HOME
Cardiff0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Wigan0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Peterborough1 - 0WUNN
HOME
Doncaster0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Reading0 - 1LUNY
HOME
Bradford1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
Lincoln0 - 1LUNN

Stevenage, while solid overall with a 50% win rate, have shown a concerning dip in recent defensive form. Although they've managed to secure points with two draws in their last three games, they've conceded an average of one goal per match in that period, a slight increase on their season average. Their away record is respectable, with 45.5% wins, but the last match saw them concede two goals without reply, highlighting potential frailties when facing stronger opposition. Despite this, they still pose a threat, averaging 1.2 goals away from home and showing strong performance in their last away fixture.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Cardiff
HOME
1.73
DRAW
3.5
Stevenage
AWAY
4.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.95
UNDER
1.85
BTTS
YES
1.8
NO
1.95
Lineups
Cardiff

Cardiff

(4-2-3-1)

Nathan Trott
Joel Bagan
Calum Chambers
William Fish
Perry Ng
David Turnbull
Ryan Wintle
Chris Willock
Callum Robinson
Isaak Davies
Yousef Salech
Jamie Reid
Beryly Lubala
Daniel Kemp
Phoenix Patterson
Harvey White
Jordan Houghton
Lewis Freestone
Carl Piergianni
Charlie Goode
Luther James-Wildin
Filip Marschall
Stevenage

Stevenage

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

England League One
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cardiff22152540231747WWLWW
2Lincoln23135534231144WWWDW
3Bradford22127332211143WWLWW
4Stockport County2211563329438WLWLW
5Huddersfield23114842311137WWWDD
6Bolton2210753021937LWLWW
7Stevenage2110652517836LDDWL
8Luton2310583328535WWLDD
9Wycombe237882927229DLWDL
10Reading227872928129DWWLL
11Mansfield Town228592828029WWLDL
12Wigan227872525029WLLDW
13Blackpool2385102930-129WWWDW
14Peterborough2292112628-229DWWWW
15Barnsley208483232028LLLWL
16Leyton Orient2384113438-428LLWLD
17AFC Wimbledon2284102430-628LDLDL
18Burton Albion227692329-627LWDDL
19Northampton2283112228-627LLWLD
20Exeter City2282122221126WLWLW
21Plymouth2382132838-1026DLWWW
22Rotherham2366112233-1124LLLLL
23Doncaster2364132340-1722LLLLL
24Port Vale2236131330-1715LLLDL
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