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Cardiff vs Stevenage: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominance in League One Clash
League One leaders Cardiff host Stevenage in what looks like a stern test for the visitors. The home side's formidable home record and potent attack face a Stevenage side that has been resilient on the road but recently faltered defensively.
This fixture pits Cardiff's dominant, possession-based attacking style against Stevenage's typically more pragmatic approach. The hosts will aim to leverage their superior firepower and home advantage, likely employing quick ball circulation and wing play to break down the visitors. Stevenage, who tend to play with a lower possession percentage, will need to be defensively organised and look for opportunities on the counter. Their recent tendency to draw games suggests they can be stubborn, but Cardiff's home scoring record and recent attacking surge suggest they'll find a way to create chances, possibly exploiting Stevenage's last-match defensive slip.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Cardiff averages 2.5 goals per game at home this season.
- • Stevenage has secured points in 72.7% of their away matches this season.
- • Cardiff has won their last three home games consecutively.
AI Prediction
Cardiff's overwhelming home form, coupled with their high scoring rate and recent attacking momentum, makes them strong favourites. Stevenage's resilience on the road is noted, but their recent defensive record and Cardiff's sheer attacking class, especially at home, points towards a home victory. The odds also favour the hosts, aligning with the statistical superiority. Both teams have shown they can score, suggesting BTTS is likely, and Cardiff's attacking prowess makes an 'over' bet appealing.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon75%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google72%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x247%O/U63%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U37%BTTS50%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS60%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U40%BTTS50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U47%BTTS40%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U43%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U57%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Cardiff Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Exeter City | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Lincoln | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Doncaster | 4 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Huddersfield | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Mansfield Town | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Northampton | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Blackpool | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Bolton | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Reading | 2 - 1 |
Cardiff have been nothing short of sensational at home this season, boasting an 81.8% win rate and averaging a staggering 2.5 goals per game. Their overall season stats paint a picture of a dominant side, with a 66.7% win rate and a strong grip on possession. Recent form has also been excellent, with three consecutive home wins, including a convincing 2.7 goals per game average in their last three matches. Even their last outing, a 1-0 win, showed defensive solidity, conceding no shots on target.
Stevenage Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Burton Albion | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Stockport County | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Wigan | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Peterborough | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Doncaster | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Reading | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bradford | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lincoln | 0 - 1 |
Stevenage, while solid overall with a 50% win rate, have shown a concerning dip in recent defensive form. Although they've managed to secure points with two draws in their last three games, they've conceded an average of one goal per match in that period, a slight increase on their season average. Their away record is respectable, with 45.5% wins, but the last match saw them concede two goals without reply, highlighting potential frailties when facing stronger opposition. Despite this, they still pose a threat, averaging 1.2 goals away from home and showing strong performance in their last away fixture.
Odds
Cardiff
(4-2-3-1)
Stevenage
(4-2-3-1)
