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Cardiff vs Port Vale: Hosts Aim to Reassert Dominance
Cardiff, boasting a formidable home record, host a struggling Port Vale side in League One. While the visitors showed a flicker of life in their last outing, their overall away form and recent defensive frailties suggest a tough afternoon ahead.
Cardiff's approach is likely to be one of sustained pressure, using their superior ball possession and wide corner-kick threat to probe for openings. They will aim to build attacks patiently, leveraging their high passing accuracy to retain control. Port Vale, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more compact defensive shape, attempting to frustrate the hosts and perhaps seeking opportunities on the counter. However, their struggles with possession retention and discipline, highlighted by a significant drop in passing accuracy in their most recent home game, could make it difficult to contain Cardiff's consistent offensive output.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Cardiff boasts a 70% win rate at home this season, averaging over two goals per game.
- • Port Vale has lost over 60% of their away matches and struggles to score on the road.
- • Cardiff averages over 63% ball possession, indicating strong control.
AI Prediction
Cardiff's dominant home record and superior offensive statistics stand in stark contrast to Port Vale's away-day struggles. The hosts' ability to control games and create chances, especially at home, should be too much for a Port Vale side that has been defensively porous on the road. While Cardiff's recent home scoring has faltered slightly, their overall strength and Port Vale's recent defensive collapses point towards a home victory with a significant goal margin.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U50%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U47%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x250%O/U63%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS70%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U67%BTTS60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U53%BTTS73%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U43%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U63%BTTS70%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS67%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U57%BTTS63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
mimo-v2-flash (id)by xiaomi78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Cardiff Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Reading | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Huddersfield | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bolton | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Peterborough | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Blackpool | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Wycombe | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Exeter City | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Lincoln | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Doncaster | 4 - 0 |
Cardiff have been a dominant force at home this season, securing victory in a commanding 70% of their matches. They consistently outshoot their opponents, registering over six shots on target per game on average, and their possession-based style, averaging over 63% ball retention, often suffocates opposition attacks. Even with a slightly mixed bag in their most recent three fixtures, which saw a dip in scoring at home, their overall home performance remains incredibly strong, and they will be keen to maintain that standard.
Port Vale Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Wigan | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Peterborough | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Barnsley | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Rotherham | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Wycombe | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Doncaster | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bolton | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Blackpool | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Huddersfield | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Bradford | 0 - 2 |
Port Vale's season has been characterised by a lack of consistency, particularly on the road where they've lost over 60% of their games. Their scoring record away from home is meagre, averaging less than a goal per match, and they are often outshot and outpassed. While they managed a creditable win in their last fixture, their recent away form, conceding nearly three goals per game over their last three, suggests this encounter will be a significant test of their defensive resolve.
Odds
Cardiff
(4-3-1-2)
Port Vale
(4-2-3-1)
