Burton Albion vs Northampton - AI Match Preview

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England League One

Burton Albion

Northampton

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Jake Beesley

Jack Armer

23'

Max Dyche

28'

39'

Tom Eaves

Tyrese Shade

44'

51'

Ethan Wheatley

Dylan Williams

56'

Terence Vancooten

59'

75'

Jack Burroughs

George Evans

77'

Tyrese Shade

84'

Preview

Burton Albion vs Northampton: League One Clash of Inconsistent Forms

Burton Albion host Northampton in a League One fixture that pits two sides struggling for consistent form against each other. While Burton have been particularly vulnerable at home, Northampton's away record offers little reassurance, setting the stage for a potentially tight and tactical battle.

Given Burton's struggles to score at home and Northampton's poor away defensive record, this match could hinge on which side can impose their will. Burton's higher home possession might suggest they'll try to build from the back, but their low scoring average implies difficulty breaking down opponents. Northampton, typically having less of the ball, may look to exploit transitional moments, but their recent tendency to concede suggests they might struggle to contain Burton's limited attacking threat. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Northampton's lower passing accuracy potentially leading to turnovers that Burton could try to exploit.

Team statistics

England League One

Burton Albion

Northampton

Matches played

6 - 6 - 8

Results

8 - 3 - 9

30%

Win %

40%

0.9

Goals scored

1.1

1.3

Goals conceded

1.1

3.5

Shots on target

2.9

4.7

Shots off target

3.2

3.7

Blocked shots

2.8

44.6

Ball possession

44.1

65.4

Pass accuracy

62.8

11.3

Fouls

10.5

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

2.9

1.8

Yellow cards

1.3

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Burton Albion have won only 30% of their home games this season.
• Northampton have lost 55.6% of their away matches.
• Both teams have conceded more goals than they have scored overall.

AI Prediction

Both Burton and Northampton have shown streaks of scoring goals recently, but neither has a watertight defence, especially away from home for Northampton and at home for Burton. The odds favour Burton slightly, but their home record and recent goalless draw are concerning. Northampton's away form and recent defensive lapses, coupled with Burton's overall struggles, point towards a match where both teams could find the net, but neither is likely to secure a dominant win. Given the data, a draw with goals for both sides feels like the most balanced outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

67%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

60%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

43%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

40%

BTTS

53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

78%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

40%

BTTS

50%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

65%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

43%

H2H

League One

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/4/2025	HOME Burton Albion	L 0 - 1 W	Northampton	U	N
11/12/2024	Burton Albion	W 5 - 2 L	Northampton AWAY	O	Y
8/31/2024	Burton Albion	D 0 - 0 D	Northampton AWAY	U	N
2/24/2024	HOME Burton Albion	L 0 - 2 W	Northampton	U	N
11/11/2023	Burton Albion	L 0 - 2 W	Northampton AWAY	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Burton Albion

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Stevenage	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Wycombe	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Wigan	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Leyton Orient	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
HOME	Blackpool	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Bradford	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Rotherham	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Peterborough	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Bolton	3 - 0	W	O	N	N

Burton Albion have found life tough this season, particularly on home turf where they've secured only 3 wins from 10 outings, conceding at a concerning rate of 1.4 goals per game. Their overall scoring average of 0.9 goals per game reflects their struggles in the final third. While their possession stats are slightly better at home, their ability to convert that into points has been wanting. Recent form shows a slight uptick in scoring with 0.7 goals per game over the last three, but this was followed by a frustrating home stalemate where they failed to find the net at all.

Northampton

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	AFC Wimbledon	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Peterborough	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Huddersfield	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Plymouth	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Cardiff	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Mansfield Town	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Luton	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Reading	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Doncaster	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Rotherham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N

Northampton sit slightly higher in the league, boasting a more balanced overall record of 8 wins and 9 losses from 20 games. However, their away form is a significant concern, with 5 losses in 9 matches and conceding 1.2 goals per game on the road. Their recent form has seen them score 1.7 goals per game in their last three, but this was tempered by a recent loss on the road where they conceded twice and saw their possession dip significantly. They do possess a slightly better offensive record than Burton overall, but their defensive fragility away from home is evident.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.2

DRAW

3.1

AWAY

3.3

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.25

UNDER

1.62

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Burton Albion

Name	Reason	Type	G/A

Northampton

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
L. Shaw	Knee injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

League table

England League One

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Cardiff	22	15	2	5	40	23	17	47	WWLWW
2	Lincoln	23	13	5	5	34	23	11	44	WWWDW
3	Bradford	22	12	7	3	32	21	11	43	WWLWW
4	Stockport County	22	11	5	6	33	29	4	38	WLWLW
5	Huddersfield	23	11	4	8	42	31	11	37	WWWDD
6	Bolton	22	10	7	5	30	21	9	37	LWLWW
7	Stevenage	21	10	6	5	25	17	8	36	LDDWL
8	Luton	23	10	5	8	33	28	5	35	WWLDD
9	Wycombe	23	7	8	8	29	27	2	29	DLWDL
10	Reading	22	7	8	7	29	28	1	29	DWWLL
11	Mansfield Town	22	8	5	9	28	28	0	29	WWLDL
12	Wigan	22	7	8	7	25	25	0	29	WLLDW
13	Blackpool	23	8	5	10	29	30	-1	29	WWWDW
14	Peterborough	22	9	2	11	26	28	-2	29	DWWWW
15	Barnsley	20	8	4	8	32	32	0	28	LLLWL
16	Leyton Orient	23	8	4	11	34	38	-4	28	LLWLD
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	24	30	-6	28	LDLDL
18	Burton Albion	22	7	6	9	23	29	-6	27	LWDDL
19	Northampton	22	8	3	11	22	28	-6	27	LLWLD
20	Exeter City	22	8	2	12	22	21	1	26	WLWLW
21	Plymouth	23	8	2	13	28	38	-10	26	DLWWW
22	Rotherham	23	6	6	11	22	33	-11	24	LLLLL
23	Doncaster	23	6	4	13	23	40	-17	22	LLLLL
24	Port Vale	22	3	6	13	13	30	-17	15	LLLDL

Burton Albion vs Northampton AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Burton Albion vs Northampton: League One Clash of Inconsistent Forms

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Burton Albion Team recent

Northampton Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

Burton Albion Injuries / suspensions

Northampton Injuries / suspensions

League table