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League One Final: Bolton vs Stockport County - A Statistical Showdown
This League One final presents a fascinating statistical clash. Bolton, with a strong home record and potent attack, face a Stockport County side that has found remarkable form recently, particularly in their scoring. Expect a keenly contested affair where fine margins could decide the outcome.
This final could be a battle of contrasting recent trajectories. Bolton's established home strength and possession-based game, aiming to utilize their wider attacking threat with high corner counts, will be tested by Stockport's red-hot recent form and improved away scoring. Stockport's recent emphasis on high shots on target and strong performance in their last away fixture suggests they won't sit back. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Bolton's ability to break down a Stockport defence that has tightened up considerably, while Stockport will look to exploit any defensive gaps Bolton might leave when committing players forward, perhaps through quick transitions.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Bolton average two goals per game at home this season, but conceded two in their last three home fixtures.
- • Stockport County have won their last three games, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game in that period.
- • The odds suggest a very evenly matched final, with no clear favourite.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a very tight contest, with all outcomes priced similarly. Bolton's strong home record and overall scoring ability are countered by Stockport's sensational recent form, particularly their recent goal-scoring surge and defensive improvements. Both teams have shown they can score and have recent games where they've conceded, pointing towards a BTTS 'yes' and an 'over' for goals. Given Stockport's recent momentum and Bolton's home advantage, a draw feels like the most probable outcome, potentially in a game with multiple goals.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U33%BTTS53%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U37%BTTS57%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS53%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS60%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U47%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Bolton Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Bradford | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Bradford | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Luton | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Bradford | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Huddersfield | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Stevenage | 5 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cardiff | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Stockport County | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Plymouth | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Port Vale | 0 - 1 |
Bolton have been a formidable force at home throughout the season, boasting a high win percentage and a scoring average of two goals per game. Their overall season statistics show a balanced team capable of controlling possession and building attacks methodically, evidenced by their high pass accuracy. While their last three home games saw an improvement in scoring, they also conceded two goals in each, suggesting a slight vulnerability at the back when pushing forward. Their most recent outing, however, ended in a clean sheet and a dominant performance, highlighting their potential to peak at the right time.
Stockport County Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Stevenage | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Barnsley | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Port Vale | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Peterborough | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Mansfield Town | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Exeter City | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bolton | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Wycombe | 3 - 0 |
Stockport County arrive at this final on the back of an exceptional run of form, winning all of their last three matches and scoring an impressive average of over two goals per game across those fixtures. Their recent away form has also been strong, with a solid scoring record and an encouraging number of shots on target. While their overall season statistics indicate a team that concedes more than they score on average, their recent defensive solidity, conceding just one goal in their last three games, is a significant positive sign. The last match saw them secure a clean sheet, further bolstering their defensive credentials.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.