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England League One
Barnsley logo
Barnsley
Lincoln logo
Lincoln
Match Events
8'
Thomas Hamer
Josh Earl
18'
Jonathan Bland
56'
72'
Adam Reach
Luca Connell
82'
Patrick Kelly
86'
86'
Thomas Hamer
86'
Conor McGrandles

Preview

Barnsley vs Lincoln: League One Showdown with Tenuous Odds

League One leaders Barnsley host a resurgent Lincoln in a fixture where recent form suggests a home advantage, but the odds are remarkably tight. Expect a keenly contested affair with potential for goals at both ends.

This clash pits Barnsley's potent home attack against Lincoln's improved recent scoring ability. The hosts typically dominate possession and will likely look to build attacks through wide areas, aiming to create overloads. Lincoln, on the other hand, have shown they can be dangerous on the counter and in transition, especially given their recent uptick in attacking output away from home. The defensive solidity of both sides in their last matches will be under scrutiny; Barnsley's recent concession record and Lincoln's ability to find the net away from home could lead to an open game.

Team statistics

England League One
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Barnsley
VS
Lincoln
19
Matches played
22
8 - 4 - 7
Results
12 - 5 - 5
42.1%
Win %
54.5%
1.7
Goals scored
1.5
1.6
Goals conceded
1
4
Shots on target
3.8
4.5
Shots off target
4.6
3.5
Blocked shots
2.4
55.7
Ball possession
41.5
77.1
Pass accuracy
67.2
11.2
Fouls
13.1
2.3
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
2.1
Yellow cards
2.1
0.1
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • Barnsley average 2.2 goals at home this season, but conceded 1.7 in their last three home games.
  • • Lincoln have won their last three away matches, scoring an average of two goals in each.
  • • Both teams have favourable odds for Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest an incredibly tight contest, and the data supports this, with both teams showing strong recent scoring form. Barnsley's home advantage is significant, but Lincoln's recent resilience and attacking threat cannot be ignored. The recent defensive cracks shown by Barnsley, coupled with Lincoln's ability to score on the road, point towards a game with goals at both ends, making a draw the most appealing outcome.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    70%
    Lincoln AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    50%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    60%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    75%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    50%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    40%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    80%
    Lincoln AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    53%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    47%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    72%
    Barnsley HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    57%

H2H

League One
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
12/9/2025
Barnsley
L 1 - 3 W
Lincoln
AWAY
OY
11/11/2025HOME
Barnsley
L 0 - 2 W
Lincoln
UN
3/1/2025HOME
Barnsley
W 4 - 3 L
Lincoln
OY
8/17/2024
Barnsley
W 2 - 1 L
Lincoln
AWAY
OY
3/9/2024HOME
Barnsley
L 1 - 5 W
Lincoln
OY
11/25/2023
Barnsley
D 2 - 2 D
Lincoln
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Barnsley Team recent

Barnsley logo
Barnsley
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Mansfield Town2 - 3LOYY
AWAY
Exeter City0 - 3LONN
HOME
Leyton Orient3 - 2WOYY
AWAY
Lincoln1 - 3LOYY
AWAY
Stockport County1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Luton5 - 0WONN
AWAY
Doncaster2 - 1WOYY
HOME
Rotherham0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
Bradford2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Wycombe2 - 2DOYN

Barnsley have been a formidable force at home this season, boasting a strong win record and averaging over two goals per game. While their overall season stats show a reasonable balance, their recent home form has been explosive, netting an impressive 3.3 goals per game in their last three outings. However, their most recent match saw them concede three, hinting at potential defensive frailties that could be exploited.

Lincoln Team recent

Lincoln logo
Lincoln
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Stockport County2 - 1WOYN
HOME
Cardiff2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Blackpool2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Barnsley3 - 1WOYY
HOME
Port Vale1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Wycombe2 - 3LOYY
HOME
Doncaster2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Rotherham0 - 3LONY
AWAY
Bradford0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Leyton Orient0 - 1LUNN

Lincoln have shown themselves to be a resilient side, particularly in their recent form. Despite a less convincing overall away record, they've secured two wins and a draw in their last three away matches, scoring an average of two goals. Their last outing was a comprehensive 2-0 victory, indicating they can be clinical when chances arise. Their possession stats are generally lower, suggesting a more direct approach.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Barnsley
HOME
2.7
DRAW
3.25
Lincoln
AWAY
2.55
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.8
UNDER
2
BTTS
YES
1.62
NO
2.2
Lineups
Barnsley

Barnsley

(4-2-3-1)

Murphy Cooper
Josh Earl
Jack Shepherd
Marc Roberts
Tennai Watson
Luca Connell
Vimal Yoganathan
Reyes Cleary
Patrick Kelly
Jonathan Bland
Davis Keillor-Dunn
Justin Obikwu
Jack Moylan
Dom Jefferies
Conor McGrandles
Ivan Varfolomeev
Robert Street
Adam Reach
Sonny Bradley
Thomas Hamer
Tendayi Darikwa
George Wickens
Lincoln

Lincoln

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Barnsley Injuries / suspensions

Barnsley logo
Barnsley
NameReasonTypeG/A
M. RobertsGroin InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 2

Lincoln Injuries / suspensions

Lincoln logo
Lincoln
NameReasonTypeG/A

League table

England League One
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cardiff22152540231747WWLWW
2Lincoln23135534231144WWWDW
3Bradford22127332211143WWLWW
4Stockport County2211563329438WLWLW
5Huddersfield23114842311137WWWDD
6Bolton2210753021937LWLWW
7Stevenage2110652517836LDDWL
8Luton2310583328535WWLDD
9Wycombe237882927229DLWDL
10Reading227872928129DWWLL
11Mansfield Town228592828029WWLDL
12Wigan227872525029WLLDW
13Blackpool2385102930-129WWWDW
14Peterborough2292112628-229DWWWW
15Barnsley208483232028LLLWL
16Leyton Orient2384113438-428LLWLD
17AFC Wimbledon2284102430-628LDLDL
18Burton Albion227692329-627LWDDL
19Northampton2283112228-627LLWLD
20Exeter City2282122221126WLWLW
21Plymouth2382132838-1026DLWWW
22Rotherham2366112233-1124LLLLL
23Doncaster2364132340-1722LLLLL
24Port Vale2236131330-1715LLLDL
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