Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage: League One Clash of Contrasting Fortunes
AFC Wimbledon hosts Stevenage in a League One fixture that pits the home side's recent struggles against Stevenage's more consistent form. While Wimbledon has been defensively solid at home, their attack has dried up, whereas Stevenage are finding the net more freely, even if their away form is less convincing than at home.
This looks set to be a battle where AFC Wimbledon will aim to keep things tight at the back, leveraging their home defensive record. They'll look to build from the back with patient possession, as indicated by their higher ball retention and passing accuracy in recent home games. Stevenage, on the other hand, will likely seek to exploit any defensive lapses with quicker transitions, aiming to capitalize on their better recent scoring form, even if their average possession is lower.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • AFC Wimbledon have conceded an average of 0.8 goals at home this season but scored only 0.3 in their last three home fixtures.
- • Stevenage have won 50% of their away games this season, scoring an average of 1.3 goals on the road.
- • The odds indicate a closely contested match, with all three outcomes (home win, draw, away win) priced similarly.
AI Prediction
AFC Wimbledon's home defensive record is commendable, but their dire recent attacking form is a major concern. Stevenage are more potent offensively but have struggled for wins away from home, with their last away game being a defeat. The odds suggest a very tight contest, which aligns with the statistical picture of two evenly matched sides. A draw feels like the most probable outcome here, with both teams likely to find the net but struggling to pull away.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U50%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U53%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS43%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U40%BTTS53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U40%BTTS50%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS53%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS43%
H2H
Team recent
AFC Wimbledon Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Northampton | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Mansfield Town | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Exeter City | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Huddersfield | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Wigan | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Peterborough | 0 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Burton Albion | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Plymouth | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Port Vale | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Blackpool | 2 - 0 |
AFC Wimbledon have shown defensive resilience at home this season, conceding fewer than a goal per game on average. However, their offensive output has been alarmingly low in recent weeks, with just a single goal across their last three matches at home and none in their most recent outing. Despite improved possession and passing accuracy in those home games, the final product is missing, making it difficult for them to secure victories.
Stevenage Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Burton Albion | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Stockport County | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Wigan | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Peterborough | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Doncaster | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Reading | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bradford | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lincoln | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Luton | 2 - 0 |
Stevenage have enjoyed a solid season overall, boasting a strong win percentage and a respectable scoring record. Their away form, though not perfect, has seen them secure half of their victories on the road, and they've managed to score in each of their last three away fixtures, averaging over a goal per game. Recent performances suggest they are capable of generating scoring opportunities, though their last away match saw them concede three.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
