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Spain La Liga
Celta Vigo logo
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Rayo Vallecano

Match Events

Iago Aspas
-5'
S. Carreira
40'
Hugo Álvarez
44'
B. Zaragoza
54'
Hugo Sotelo
58'
58'
Gerard Gumbau
59'
Carlos Martín
65'
Isi Palazón
65'
Nobel Mendy
Óscar Mingueza
66'
66'
Nobel Mendy
J. Rueda
79'

Preview

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: Home Form Faces Away Struggles in La Liga

Celta Vigo, buoyed by a strong recent run, host Rayo Vallecano who have been particularly vulnerable on the road. This La Liga clash pits Celta's improved attacking edge against Rayo's away-day defensive frailties, suggesting a match where the hosts will look to assert control.

Celta Vigo's recent surge suggests a team playing with more attacking intent, potentially employing a strategy to exploit the spaces that Rayo often leave on the counter. The home side's recent uptick in shots on target and goals scored points towards a more vertical and direct approach when opportunities arise. Rayo Vallecano, despite their possession-based tendencies, have shown a tendency to concede heavily on the road, and their recent away defensive record is concerning. Expect Celta to try and build attacks from wide areas, leveraging their recent scoring form to pressure a Rayo defence that has been fragile under pressure.

Team statistics

Spain La Liga
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Celta Vigo
VS
Rayo Vallecano
19
Matches played
19
7 - 8 - 4
Results
5 - 7 - 7
36.8%
Win %
26.3%
1.3
Goals scored
0.8
1.1
Goals conceded
1.2
3.9
Shots on target
4.5
3.9
Shots off target
6.1
2.4
Blocked shots
3
49.4
Ball possession
54.6
84.7
Pass accuracy
82.6
11.6
Fouls
13.2
3.3
Goalkeeper saves
2.7
1.9
Yellow cards
2.6
0.1
Red cards
0.2
League averages

Key points

  • • Rayo Vallecano have lost 60% of their away games this season.
  • • Celta Vigo have won two of their last three matches, scoring at least twice in each.
  • • Rayo Vallecano's away defence has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Celta Vigo's recent attacking form, particularly their last home game, is a strong indicator. Rayo Vallecano's dire away record, coupled with their struggles to score on the road recently, points towards a home victory. The odds favour the hosts, and the data suggests enough attacking intent from both sides, especially Celta's recent surge, to lean towards an over 2.5 goals outcome with both teams finding the net.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    78%
    Celta Vigo HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Celta Vigo HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    83%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Celta Vigo HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

La Liga
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
9/21/2025
Celta Vigo
D 1 - 1 D
Rayo Vallecano
AWAY
UY
5/18/2025HOME
Celta Vigo
L 1 - 2 W
Rayo Vallecano
OY
1/10/2025
Celta Vigo
L 1 - 2 W
Rayo Vallecano
AWAY
OY
3/31/2024HOME
Celta Vigo
D 0 - 0 D
Rayo Vallecano
UN
12/11/2023
Celta Vigo
D 0 - 0 D
Rayo Vallecano
AWAY
UN
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Celta Vigo Team recent

Celta Vigo logo
Celta Vigo
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Sevilla1 - 0WUNN
HOME
Valencia4 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Oviedo0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Athletic Club2 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Real Madrid2 - 0WUNN
HOME
Espanyol0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Alaves1 - 0WUNN
HOME
Barcelona2 - 4LOYN
AWAY
Levante2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Osasuna3 - 2WOYN

Celta Vigo appear to be building some positive momentum, especially in their last three outings where they've impressively bagged 1.7 goals per game while conceding just 0.3. This recent upturn contrasts with their season-long home record, which has seen them draw more than win, often struggling to convert dominance into victories with only a 20% win rate at home. However, their last home fixture saw a commanding 4-1 performance, indicating they can still produce fireworks in front of their fans when they click. Their overall season stats show a team that can score but also concedes a fair share, sitting on 1.3 goals for and 1.1 against per match.

Rayo Vallecano Team recent

Rayo Vallecano logo
Rayo Vallecano
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Mallorca2 - 1WOYY
HOME
Getafe1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
Elche0 - 4LONY
HOME
Real Betis0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Espanyol0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Valencia1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Oviedo0 - 0DUNY
HOME
Real Madrid0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Villarreal0 - 4LONY
HOME
Alaves1 - 0WUNY

Rayo Vallecano's season has been a tale of inconsistency, marked by a similar number of wins, draws, and losses. Their away form, however, is a significant concern, with a dismal 60% defeat rate and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game on their travels. While they boast a decent shot volume overall, their recent away form has been particularly alarming, failing to score in two of their last three away matches, including a heavy 4-0 loss in their most recent outing. Their overall possession stats are solid, but converting that into effective attacking output, especially away from home, remains a challenge.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Celta Vigo
HOME
1.9
DRAW
3.4
Rayo Vallecano
AWAY
4.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2.2
UNDER
1.67
BTTS
YES
1.95
NO
1.8

Lineups

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

(3-4-3)

Ionuț Radu
Marcos Alonso
Carl Starfelt
Javi Rodríguez
Sergio Carreira
Hugo Sotelo
Ilaix Moriba
Óscar Mingueza
Bryan Zaragoza
Pablo Durán
Hugo Álvarez
Álvaro García
Jorge de Frutos
Carlos Martín
Gerard Gumbau
Pedro Díaz
Isi Palazón
Josep Chavarría
Nobel Mendy
Florian Lejeune
Alfonso Espino
Augusto Batalla
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Celta Vigo Injuries / suspensions

Celta Vigo logo
Celta Vigo
NameReasonTypeG/A
C. DominguezCoach's decisionQuestionable- / -
F. BeltranInactiveMissing Fixture- / -
F. JutglaInactiveMissing Fixture- / -
M. RisticCoach's decisionMissing Fixture- / -

Rayo Vallecano Injuries / suspensions

Rayo Vallecano logo
Rayo Vallecano
NameReasonTypeG/A
I. BalliuMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
S. CamelloInjuryMissing Fixture- / -
P. CissInternational dutyMissing Fixture- / -
U. LopezInjuryMissing Fixture- / -
Luiz FelipeInjuryMissing Fixture- / -
D. MendezInjuryMissing Fixture- / -
A. MuminKnee InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
A. RatiuMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
O. ValentinRed CardMissing Fixture- / -

League table

Spain La Liga
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona18151251203146WWWWW
2Real Madrid18133236162042WWLWD
3Atletico Madrid18114333161737WWLLW
4Villarreal16112331151635LWWWW
5Espanyol1710342217533WWWWW
6Real Betis1777329191028WDLWD
7Celta Vigo175842019123DWWLW
8Athletic Club187291624-823LLWLW
9Elche175752320322WLWLD
10Sevilla176292426-220LWDLL
11Getafe176291322-920LLLWL
12Osasuna175391720-318WLWDL
13Mallorca174671924-518DWDDL
14Alaves175391420-618LLWLL
15Rayo Vallecano174671320-718LDLDD
16Real Sociedad174582125-417DLLLW
17Valencia173771626-1016DLDDW
18Girona173681533-1815LWLDD
19Oviedo172510726-1911DLDLD
20Levante1624101729-1210DLLLL
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