Atletico Madrid vs Valencia - AI Match Preview

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Spain La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Valencia

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Koke

17'

Marc Pubill

32'

37'

Pepelu

Alexander Sørloth

42'

63'

L. Beltran

A. Griezmann

74'

Alexander Sørloth

78'

88'

Hugo Duro

Thiago Almada

90'

Preview

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia: La Liga Showdown at the Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid host Valencia in a La Liga fixture that pits a formidable home record against a struggling away side. Los Colchoneros will be looking to cement their position, while Valencia aim to defy their recent road form.

Expect Atletico Madrid to dominate possession and territory, leveraging their superior attacking output and home advantage. They will likely aim to build pressure through patient possession, utilizing their high corner kick count of over 9 per home game, and looking to exploit Valencia's defensive frailties. Valencia, conversely, will probably adopt a more pragmatic approach, aiming to frustrate their hosts and perhaps seeking opportunities on the counter. Their significantly lower shot volume away from home suggests a defensive posture, hoping to keep the scoreline respectable against a potent Atletico attack.

Team statistics

Spain La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Valencia

Matches played

9 - 4 - 3

Results

3 - 6 - 6

56.3%

Win %

20%

1.8

Goals scored

0.9

Goals conceded

1.5

5.6

Shots on target

2.9

5.1

Shots off target

4.4

2.4

Blocked shots

3.3

54.2

Ball possession

47.1

Pass accuracy

80.5

11.1

Fouls

12.1

1.9

Goalkeeper saves

3.1

1.9

Yellow cards

1.8

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Atletico Madrid have won 87.5% of their home league games this season.
• Valencia have not won any of their away league matches this season.
• Atletico Madrid's home goal difference is +14 from 8 games.

AI Prediction

Atletico Madrid's formidable home record, coupled with their strong recent performances at the Metropolitano, makes them overwhelming favourites. Valencia's dismal away form, particularly their inability to score on the road, points towards a low-scoring encounter. The odds reflect this disparity, heavily favouring the hosts and suggesting a clean sheet for Atletico is probable.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

30%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

50%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

82%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

40%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

63%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

23%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

82%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

40%

BTTS

47%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

33%

BTTS

33%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

88%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

87%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

37%

BTTS

37%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%

H2H

La Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
2/22/2025	Atletico Madrid	W 3 - 0 L	Valencia AWAY	O	N
9/15/2024	HOME Atletico Madrid	W 3 - 0 L	Valencia	O	N
1/28/2024	HOME Atletico Madrid	W 2 - 0 L	Valencia	U	N
9/16/2023	Atletico Madrid	L 0 - 3 W	Valencia AWAY	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Atletico Madrid

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Athletic Club	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Barcelona	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Oviedo	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Getafe	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Levante	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Sevilla	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Real Betis	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Osasuna	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Real Madrid	5 - 2	W	O	Y	Y

Atletico Madrid have been a fortress at home this season, boasting an outstanding 87.5% win rate from their eight league matches played in front of their own supporters. They average a commanding 2.5 goals per game at the Metropolitano, while conceding a mere 0.8. Their home form has been particularly impressive recently, with three consecutive wins, scoring 2.7 goals and conceding just 0.3 in their last three on home turf. This dominant home record is underpinned by strong attacking numbers, including nearly 18 shots per game in their last three home outings.

Valencia

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Sevilla	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Levante	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Real Betis	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Real Madrid	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
HOME	Villarreal	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Alaves	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Girona	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Oviedo	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Espanyol	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N

Valencia, on the other hand, have endured a difficult time away from home in La Liga, failing to secure a single victory in seven attempts. Their away goals scored average a meagre 0.6 per game, contrasted with a concerning 2.3 goals conceded. Recent form on the road mirrors this struggle, with two defeats and two draws in their last three away matches, managing only 0.3 goals while letting in 1.7. Their overall season record shows a tendency to draw games, but their away form suggests they will be up against it.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.3

DRAW

5.25

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.57

UNDER

2.38

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups

Atletico Madrid

(4-4-2)

Jan Oblak

Matteo Ruggeri

Dávid Hancko

Marc Pubill

Nahuel Molina

Nicolás González

Koke

Pablo Barrios

Giuliano Simeone

Julián Alvarez

Alexander Sørloth

Diego López

Hugo Duro

Jesús Vázquez

André Almeida

Pepelu

Filip Ugrinić

Thierry Correia

José Copete

Eray Cömert

Dimitri Foulquier

Julen Agirrezabala

Valencia

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Atletico Madrid

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Baena	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 3
J. M. Gimenez	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Llorente	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 4
C. Lenglet	Muscle Injury	Questionable	0 / 1

Valencia

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
J. Gaya	Illness	Questionable	1 / 1
M. Diakhaby	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
C. Tarrega	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
L. Rioja	Illness	Questionable	2 / 5
J. Guerra	Illness	Questionable	1 / 3

League table

Spain La Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	18	15	1	2	51	20	31	46	WWWWW
2	Real Madrid	18	13	3	2	36	16	20	42	WWLWD
3	Atletico Madrid	18	11	4	3	33	16	17	37	WWLLW
4	Villarreal	16	11	2	3	31	15	16	35	LWWWW
5	Espanyol	17	10	3	4	22	17	5	33	WWWWW
6	Real Betis	17	7	7	3	29	19	10	28	WDLWD
7	Celta Vigo	17	5	8	4	20	19	1	23	DWWLW
8	Athletic Club	18	7	2	9	16	24	-8	23	LLWLW
9	Elche	17	5	7	5	23	20	3	22	WLWLD
10	Sevilla	17	6	2	9	24	26	-2	20	LWDLL
11	Getafe	17	6	2	9	13	22	-9	20	LLLWL
12	Osasuna	17	5	3	9	17	20	-3	18	WLWDL
13	Mallorca	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	DWDDL
14	Alaves	17	5	3	9	14	20	-6	18	LLWLL
15	Rayo Vallecano	17	4	6	7	13	20	-7	18	LDLDD
16	Real Sociedad	17	4	5	8	21	25	-4	17	DLLLW
17	Valencia	17	3	7	7	16	26	-10	16	DLDDW
18	Girona	17	3	6	8	15	33	-18	15	LWLDD
19	Oviedo	17	2	5	10	7	26	-19	11	DLDLD
20	Levante	16	2	4	10	17	29	-12	10	DLLLL

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia: La Liga Showdown at the Metropolitano

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Atletico Madrid Team recent

Valencia Team recent

Odds

Atletico Madrid

Valencia

Injuries / suspensions

Atletico Madrid Injuries / suspensions

Valencia Injuries / suspensions

League table