Atletico Madrid vs Girona - AI Match Preview

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Spain La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Girona

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Preview

Atletico Madrid vs Girona: La Liga Finale Sees Hosts Aim to Secure Home Dominance

On the final matchday of La Liga, Atletico Madrid host Girona in a fixture where the home side's formidable home record clashes with Girona's resilient, albeit less successful, away form. Expect Atletico to try and dictate play against a Girona side that has shown a capacity to grind out results.

Atletico Madrid are expected to adopt their characteristic assertive style, looking to leverage their superior home scoring record and control possession, likely through patient build-up play. They will aim to unlock Girona's defence through width and quick passing combinations. Girona, on the other hand, might employ a compact defensive shape, looking to frustrate Atletico and potentially hit them on the counter, though their away possession numbers suggest they are not afraid to keep the ball. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Atletico aiming to use their passing accuracy to break lines, while Girona will need to be effective in disrupting their rhythm and winning second balls.

Team statistics

Spain La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Girona

Matches played

20 - 6 - 10

Results

9 - 13 - 14

55.6%

Win %

25%

1.7

Goals scored

1.1

Goals conceded

1.5

5.2

Shots on target

3.8

5.4

Shots off target

3.7

2.6

Blocked shots

3.3

53.6

Ball possession

50.4

84.9

Pass accuracy

85.1

11.2

Fouls

10.6

2.3

Goalkeeper saves

3.3

2.1

Yellow cards

2.1

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Atletico Madrid boast an impressive 77.8% win rate at home this season, averaging over two goals scored.
• Girona have drawn 44.4% of their away games, scoring just one goal per away fixture on average.
• The odds favour Atletico Madrid, reflecting their superior home form and overall season performance.

AI Prediction

Atletico's dominant home record, coupled with their superior overall scoring ability, makes them strong favourites. While Girona have shown resilience, their away form and recent goal-scoring struggles away from home suggest they will find it tough. However, Girona's recent tendency to score and the potential for Atletico to be caught out after a red card in their last outing, combined with Atletico's own recent defensive wobbles at home, suggest goals at both ends are likely, tipping the scales towards an Atletico win.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

60%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

63%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

70%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

82%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

70%

BTTS

53%

H2H

La Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
12/21/2025	Atletico Madrid	W 3 - 0 L	Girona AWAY	O	N
5/25/2025	Atletico Madrid	W 4 - 0 L	Girona AWAY	O	N
8/25/2024	HOME Atletico Madrid	W 3 - 0 L	Girona	O	N
4/13/2024	HOME Atletico Madrid	W 3 - 1 L	Girona	O	Y
1/3/2024	Atletico Madrid	L 3 - 4 W	Girona AWAY	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Atletico Madrid

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Osasuna	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Celta Vigo	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Valencia	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Athletic Club	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Elche	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Sevilla	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Barcelona	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Real Madrid	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Getafe	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Real Sociedad	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y

Atletico Madrid have built their season on a foundation of strong home performances, evidenced by a remarkable 77.8% win rate at the Metropolitano. They average over two goals scored at home while conceding less than one, showcasing a potent attack and a generally solid defence. While their overall recent form has seen a slight dip with two losses in their last three overall, their home form remains a significant asset, even if their last home outing was a rare blank. They possess the firepower and the pedigree to finish the season strongly on home turf.

Girona

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Real Sociedad	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Mallorca	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Valencia	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Real Betis	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Real Madrid	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Villarreal	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Osasuna	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Athletic Club	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	Levante	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N

Girona's season has been defined by a high number of draws, particularly away from home where they've shared the points in over 44% of their games. They struggle to convert draws into wins, with only 3 victories on the road all season, and their scoring rate away from home dips to just one goal per game. Recent form shows a pattern of drawing games, with two draws in their last three outings, including their most recent fixture. Despite a higher volume of shots in recent games, their conversion rate and defensive solidity on the road remain concerns against a top-tier opponent.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.75

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

4.33

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.73

UNDER

2.1

BTTS

YES

1.67

2.1

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Spain La Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	18	15	1	2	51	20	31	46	WWWWW
2	Real Madrid	18	13	3	2	36	16	20	42	WWLWD
3	Atletico Madrid	18	11	4	3	33	16	17	37	WWLLW
4	Villarreal	16	11	2	3	31	15	16	35	LWWWW
5	Espanyol	17	10	3	4	22	17	5	33	WWWWW
6	Real Betis	17	7	7	3	29	19	10	28	WDLWD
7	Celta Vigo	17	5	8	4	20	19	1	23	DWWLW
8	Athletic Club	18	7	2	9	16	24	-8	23	LLWLW
9	Elche	17	5	7	5	23	20	3	22	WLWLD
10	Sevilla	17	6	2	9	24	26	-2	20	LWDLL
11	Getafe	17	6	2	9	13	22	-9	20	LLLWL
12	Osasuna	17	5	3	9	17	20	-3	18	WLWDL
13	Mallorca	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	DWDDL
14	Alaves	17	5	3	9	14	20	-6	18	LLWLL
15	Rayo Vallecano	17	4	6	7	13	20	-7	18	LDLDD
16	Real Sociedad	17	4	5	8	21	25	-4	17	DLLLW
17	Valencia	17	3	7	7	16	26	-10	16	DLDDW
18	Girona	17	3	6	8	15	33	-18	15	LWLDD
19	Oviedo	17	2	5	10	7	26	-19	11	DLDLD
20	Levante	16	2	4	10	17	29	-12	10	DLLLL

Atletico Madrid vs Girona AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Atletico Madrid vs Girona: La Liga Finale Sees Hosts Aim to Secure Home Dominance

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Atletico Madrid Team recent

Girona Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

League table