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Alaves vs Getafe: La Liga Clash Sees Home Side Seek Advantage
Alaves host Getafe in La Liga, with the home side showing recent signs of life against a Getafe team struggling for consistent results, particularly on the road. This fixture could hinge on Alaves' ability to convert their home opportunities against a defence that has been porous away from home.
This match presents a classic home-versus-away scenario. Alaves will likely aim to leverage their home advantage by trying to play on the front foot, pushing their average shot count higher and looking to exploit Getafe's defensive weaknesses on the road. Getafe's strategy might involve a more defensive posture, aiming to frustrate Alaves and perhaps catch them on the counter. However, their low possession numbers and recent defensive struggles suggest they could be vulnerable to Alaves' patient buildup and wider attacking play, especially if the hosts can win the battle for second balls.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Alaves average 1.3 goals per game at home, compared to Getafe's 0.7 goals per game away.
- • Getafe have lost 8 of their 11 away matches this season.
- • The odds heavily favour an 'under 2.5 goals' outcome, with odds of 1.25.
AI Prediction
Alaves' home record, while not stellar, is considerably better than Getafe's dismal away form. The odds suggest a relatively tight contest, but the underlying statistics point to Alaves having the edge. Getafe's recent defensive record and low scoring output away from home make it difficult to see them getting on the scoresheet, while Alaves, despite their inconsistent season, have shown they can find the net at home, particularly in their last outing.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U50%BTTS30%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Alaves Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Espanyol | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Real Betis | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Madrid | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Villarreal | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Oviedo | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Osasuna | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Real Madrid | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Real Sociedad | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Barcelona | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Celta Vigo | 0 - 1 |
Alaves have endured a tough season overall, but their home form offers a glimmer of hope. They've secured more than half their wins at home and average a more respectable 1.3 goals per game on their own turf. While their last three home games have been a mixed bag, showing a tendency to concede, their most recent outing was a dominant 2-1 victory where they created a significant number of shots on goal. This suggests they can still pose a threat when playing in front of their own supporters.
Getafe Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Celta Vigo | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Girona | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Valencia | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Real Sociedad | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Real Betis | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Espanyol | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Villarreal | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Elche | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Madrid | 0 - 1 |
Getafe's season has been a mirror image of Alaves' in terms of overall win/loss record, but their away form is particularly concerning. They've lost 8 of their 11 away matches, conceding 1.6 goals per game on average. Recent weeks have seen a defensive fragility surface, with their last three games featuring a concerning rise in goals conceded. Despite showing some resilience in their last match with a 1-1 draw, their overall scoring threat away from home remains low, averaging less than a goal per game.
Odds
Lineups
Alaves
(4-4-2)
Getafe
(5-3-2)
Injuries / suspensions
Alaves Injuries / suspensions
Getafe Injuries / suspensions
