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Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht: Hosts Aim to Solidify Home Dominance
Union St. Gilloise host Anderlecht in a Jupiler Pro League clash. The home side boasts an incredible home record, while Anderlecht have struggled on the road, setting up a fascinating tactical battle.
This fixture pits Union St. Gilloise's formidable home setup against Anderlecht's more pedestrian away form. Expect Union to attempt to set the rhythm of the game early, leveraging their higher average shot volume and on-target statistics to put pressure on the Anderlecht defence. The visitors will likely look to absorb pressure and potentially hit on the counter, though their lower average possession figures away from home suggest they may struggle to establish sustained periods of control. Anderlecht's recent struggles in wide areas and their high foul count on the road could provide Union with opportunities from set pieces and wide overloads.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Union St. Gilloise have won 89.5% of their home games this season, conceding only 0.3 goals per match.
- • Anderlecht have a losing record in 47.4% of their away matches this season.
- • Union St. Gilloise's home defence has been exceptionally tight, with only one home loss all season.
AI Prediction
Union St. Gilloise's overwhelming home advantage, highlighted by their exceptional defensive record and strong winning percentage, makes them the clear favourites. Anderlecht's struggles away from home, particularly in terms of conceding goals and winning matches, suggest they will find it difficult to overcome the league's best home side. The statistical trends point towards a disciplined home performance from Union and a lack of cutting edge from the visitors.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek83%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U57%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U60%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U67%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U63%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U47%BTTS47%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U53%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS43%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U60%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Union St. Gilloise Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Gent | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 0 - 5 | |||||
HOME | KV Mechelen | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | St. Truiden | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Anderlecht | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Gent | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Club Brugge KV | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | KV Mechelen | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | St. Truiden | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | St. Truiden | 3 - 1 |
Union St. Gilloise have been a fortress at home this season, boasting an astonishing 89.5% win rate in front of their own fans, conceding a mere 0.3 goals per game. This incredible defensive solidity, coupled with a potent attack averaging 2 goals per home fixture, paints a picture of a side that is incredibly difficult to break down. While their overall recent form has seen a slight dip with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three, their home performance in that sample remains strong, with two wins and a draw. Their last home outing was a convincing 3-0 victory, underlining their continued threat.
Anderlecht Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | St. Truiden | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | KV Mechelen | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Gent | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Club Brugge KV | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | St. Truiden | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | KV Mechelen | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Gent | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 2 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Cercle Brugge | 2 - 3 |
Anderlecht present a stark contrast, particularly away from home where they've secured only a 26.3% win rate this season, suffering defeat in nearly half their away matches. Their defensive record on the road is concerning, conceding 1.7 goals on average, and they've failed to win any of their last three away fixtures, drawing one and losing two. While their most recent overall result was a positive 3-1 home win, their last away performance was a 1-1 draw, indicating they can grind out results but often struggle to assert dominance. Discipline has also been an issue on the road, with nearly 3 yellow cards per game.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
