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St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen: Hosts Aim to Reassert Home Dominance in Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden hosts KV Mechelen in a Jupiler Pro League fixture that pits the home side's stronger overall record against a visitor's recent struggles. Despite St. Truiden's recent dip in form, their home advantage and superior season-long statistics suggest they should be favoured to take points.
This clash could see St. Truiden attempt to leverage their superior ball possession stats, aiming to control the rhythm of the game through patient buildup play. They will likely look to exploit their wider areas, given their higher average corner count and shot volume. KV Mechelen, who often concede more goals than they score and have a lower possession average, may adopt a more reactive approach, perhaps looking to counter-attack or capitalize on set pieces. However, their recent defensive record suggests they could struggle to contain St. Truiden's offensive efforts, especially at home.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • St. Truiden boasts a 63.2% win rate at home over the season, compared to KV Mechelen's 31.6% away win rate.
- • KV Mechelen has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last three matches.
- • St. Truiden's recent form shows a concerning lack of wins, with no victories in their last three games.
AI Prediction
While St. Truiden's recent form has dipped, their overall season statistics and particularly their home record are significantly stronger than KV Mechelen's away form. The visitors have struggled defensively in recent weeks, and St. Truiden's ability to retain possession and generate shots at home suggests they can find the net. Both teams have shown a capacity to concede, pointing towards a game with multiple goals.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U33%BTTS53%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek82% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U53%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U37%BTTS57%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS53%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U43%BTTS60%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai62% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
St. Truiden Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Anderlecht | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Gent | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | KV Mechelen | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Anderlecht | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Gent | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Club Brugge KV | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Union St. Gilloise | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 1 - 3 |
St. Truiden have largely had a solid season, securing over 50% of their wins and boasting a positive goal difference over the campaign. Their home form is particularly impressive, with over 60% of their matches resulting in victory and a tendency to score and concede at a similar rate to their overall averages. However, their most recent performances paint a concerning picture, with no wins in their last three games and a significant increase in goals conceded. The last outing saw them concede heavily, though they did manage to secure a draw and maintain possession.
KV Mechelen Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Club Brugge KV | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Anderlecht | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Union St. Gilloise | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Gent | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | St. Truiden | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 1 - 6 | |||||
HOME | Anderlecht | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Gent | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 1 - 4 |
KV Mechelen presents a more inconsistent profile, with their season-long record showing a near-even split between wins, draws, and losses. Their away form is even more precarious, with a higher proportion of defeats than wins on the road and a negative goal difference. Recent form has also been a significant concern, as they've failed to secure a victory in their last three outings, drawing two and losing one. Their last match, a home draw, saw them concede as many goals as they scored, continuing a pattern of defensive vulnerability.
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.