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Lommel United vs Dender: A Statistical Chasm in the Jupiler Pro League Final
This Jupiler Pro League final pits a near-perfect Lommel United against a Dender side that has struggled for consistency throughout the season. Lommel's formidable home record and potent attack suggest a significant challenge for the visitors.
Lommel United's home strategy appears to be one of high tempo and sustained pressure, aiming to leverage their possession advantage and clinical finishing. They'll likely seek to exploit wide areas, using quick transitions to bypass Dender's defence. Dender, on the other hand, will probably adopt a more compact defensive shape, aiming to frustrate Lommel and hit on the counter. However, Lommel's overall offensive strength and their ability to score multiple goals at home suggest Dender will find it difficult to contain them for the full 90 minutes.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Lommel United have won 100% of their games this season, averaging 2.8 goals per match.
- • Dender have lost 58.3% of their league fixtures, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game.
- • Lommel United score an average of 3 goals per home game, facing a Dender side that concedes 1.5 away.
AI Prediction
Lommel United's flawless season record, particularly their perfect home form and prolific scoring, presents a stark contrast to Dender's inconsistent performances and defensive frailties. The statistical gulf is significant, and the odds would almost certainly reflect Lommel's overwhelming favouritism. Given Lommel's attacking prowess and Dender's recent struggles, a high-scoring encounter with the hosts securing a decisive victory seems highly probable.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google80% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google85% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google88% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai88% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai88% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Lommel United Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Beerschot VA | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Beerschot VA | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Liège | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Liège | 3 - 0 |
Lommel United have been nothing short of sensational this season, boasting a perfect record across all competitions. Their overall scoring average stands at an impressive 2.8 goals per game, a figure that jumps to 3 when playing at home. They dominate possession at home, maintain a high shot volume, and have been clinical in front of goal, evidenced by an average of 5 shots on target per home fixture. Their recent form mirrors this dominance, with three straight wins and a consistent scoring output.
Dender Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Zulte Waregem | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | RAAL La Louvière | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cercle Brugge | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Cercle Brugge | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Zulte Waregem | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | RAAL La Louvière | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Gent | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Union St. Gilloise | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Charleroi | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Cercle Brugge | 0 - 0 |
Dender's season has been a tale of struggle, marked by a high number of losses, particularly at home. While their away record shows a slightly better win percentage and a marginally tighter defence, they still concede an average of 1.5 goals per away game. Their recent form is concerning, with two losses in their last three outings, and they've averaged just one goal per game over this period. Discipline has also been an issue, with a high card count in recent matches.
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.