Genk vs Charleroi - AI Match Preview

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Belgium Jupiler Pro League

Genk

Charleroi

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

13'

E. Camara

36'

Cheick Keita

Ibrahima Sory Bangoura

72'

M. Nzita

86'

Preview

Genk vs Charleroi: Hosts Aim to Reassert Home Dominance in Jupiler Pro League

Genk host Charleroi in a Jupiler Pro League fixture that pits inconsistent home form against a struggling away side. While Genk have shown flashes of attacking threat, Charleroi have been defensively porous on the road.

Genk typically aim to control possession, averaging nearly 60% ball retention at home, and will likely look to build from the back. Their recent home games, however, have seen a dip in possession, suggesting a possible shift towards more direct play or a compact defensive setup. Charleroi, despite their overall possession numbers being close to even, have struggled to translate that into results away from home. They often find themselves on the back foot, and their recent defensive record suggests they may struggle to contain Genk's attacking forays, particularly if the hosts can exploit wide areas which have been a source of their corners.

Team statistics

Belgium Jupiler Pro League

Genk

Charleroi

Matches played

13 - 10 - 10

Results

10 - 7 - 16

39.4%

Win %

30.3%

1.5

Goals scored

1.2

1.5

Goals conceded

1.4

5.7

Shots on target

4.4

5.8

Shots off target

3.7

Blocked shots

3.6

58.8

Ball possession

49.7

84.8

Pass accuracy

79.9

10.3

Fouls

11.5

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

2.4

1.5

Yellow cards

2.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Genk have won 2 of their last 3 home games, conceding no goals in those victories.
• Charleroi have lost 9 of their 16 away matches this season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.
• Genk's home games have averaged 2.6 goals overall this season.

AI Prediction

Genk's recent upturn in form, particularly at home where they've been defensively solid in their last few matches, contrasts sharply with Charleroi's concerning away record. Charleroi have a tendency to concede multiple goals on the road, and while they can offer a threat themselves, Genk's recent scoring record suggests they will find a way to get on the scoresheet. The odds, if they were available, would likely favour the hosts, aligning with this statistical assessment.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

73%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

50%

BTTS

47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

43%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

67%

BTTS

50%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

67%

BTTS

53%
mimo-v2-flash (id)

by xiaomi

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Jupiler Pro League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	OVER/UNDER 2.5	BTTS
12/19/2025	Genk	D 2 - 2 D	Charleroi AWAY	O	O
9/17/2025	HOME Genk	L 0 - 1 W	Charleroi	U	U
2/28/2025	Genk	D 1 - 1 D	Charleroi AWAY	U	O
11/23/2024	HOME Genk	W 3 - 0 L	Charleroi	O	U
7/6/2024	HOME Genk	D 3 - 3 D	Charleroi	O	O
2/23/2024	Genk	W 1 - 0 L	Charleroi AWAY	U	U
8/20/2023	HOME Genk	D 0 - 0 D	Charleroi	U	U

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Genk

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	KVC Westerlo	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	OH Leuven	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Antwerp	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	RAAL La Louvière	5 - 5	D	O	Y	N
HOME	St. Truiden	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Union St. Gilloise	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Gent	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Standard Liege	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	KV Mechelen	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Anderlecht	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y

Genk have endured a somewhat middling season, reflected in their overall record which shows an equal number of wins, draws, and losses. Their home form has also been patchy, with a win rate hovering around 37% and a goal difference of zero at home. However, recent form tells a different story, with two wins and a draw in their last three. They've managed to secure wins in their last two home fixtures, scoring 1.3 goals per game while notably shutting out opposition in that recent home spell.

Charleroi

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Standard Liege	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Antwerp	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	KVC Westerlo	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Zulte Waregem	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	OH Leuven	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Dender	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Club Brugge KV	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	KVC Westerlo	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Gent	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Cercle Brugge	3 - 4	L	O	Y	Y

Charleroi find themselves in a precarious position in the league, with a heavy reliance on home form to mask a dismal away record. Their overall win percentage stands at just 30%, and this is heavily skewed by their home performances. On the road, they've lost 56% of their games, conceding 1.4 goals per match. Their recent form is also concerning, having lost two of their last three outings, conceding 1.7 goals per game on average. The last match saw them concede two goals without reply, highlighting ongoing defensive vulnerabilities.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.73

DRAW

3.5

AWAY

4.2

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Genk

(4-2-3-1)

Lucca Brughmans

Yaimar Medina

Matte Smets

Mujaid Sadick

Zakaria El Ouahdi

Ibrahima Sory Bangoura

Bryan Heynen

Noah Adedeji-Sternberg

Daan Heymans

Junya Ito

Aaron Bibout

Antoine Colassin

Antoine Bernier

Patrick Pflucke

Kevin Van Den Kerkhof

Amine Boukamir

Etienne Camara

Mardochee Nzita

Cheick Keita

Aiham Ousou

Lewin Blum

Mohamed Koné

Charleroi

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Belgium Jupiler Pro League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Union St. Gilloise	20	12	6	2	36	12	24	42	DWDDL
2	Club Brugge KV	20	13	2	5	36	22	14	41	WWWLL
3	St. Truiden	20	12	3	5	30	23	7	39	WWLWW
4	Anderlecht	20	10	5	5	28	22	6	35	LDWLW
5	KV Mechelen	20	8	7	5	25	22	3	31	DLWWL
6	Standard Liege	20	8	3	9	18	23	-5	27	LWLWW
7	Antwerp	20	7	6	7	24	21	3	27	WDWWW
8	Gent	20	7	5	8	28	29	-1	26	WLLDL
9	Genk	20	6	7	7	27	31	-4	25	LDDLW
10	KVC Westerlo	20	6	6	8	28	30	-2	24	LWDWD
11	Charleroi	20	6	6	8	23	26	-3	24	WDDLD
12	Zulte Waregem	20	5	8	7	26	29	-3	23	LLDDD
13	OH Leuven	20	5	5	10	19	29	-10	20	DLWDL
14	RAAL La Louvière	20	4	8	8	15	21	-6	20	DLDLD
15	Cercle Brugge	20	3	8	9	25	30	-5	17	DWLLD
16	Dender	20	2	7	11	16	34	-18	13	DLLWD

Genk vs Charleroi AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Genk vs Charleroi: Hosts Aim to Reassert Home Dominance in Jupiler Pro League

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Genk Team recent

Charleroi Team recent

Odds

Genk

Charleroi

Injuries / suspensions

League table