Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
Anderlecht vs St. Truiden: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Jupiler Pro League Championship Group
Anderlecht host St. Truiden in a crucial Jupiler Pro League Championship Group fixture. While Anderlecht have shown home strength, their recent form has been a concern, contrasted with St. Truiden's decent away record and overall season success.
This match could hinge on Anderlecht's ability to leverage their home possession advantage against St. Truiden's usually more disciplined approach. The hosts tend to dominate the ball, aiming for a patient build-up, while St. Truiden's away games have seen them cede possession. Anderlecht will likely try to exploit wide areas with their higher average shot volume from open play, but their recent defensive struggles, particularly in conceding from the flanks, could offer St. Truiden opportunities on the counter, especially if they can win possession in midfield and transition quickly.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Anderlecht boast a strong home scoring average of 1.7 goals per game this season.
- • St. Truiden have a winning record away from home this season, scoring 1.5 goals per game.
- • Both teams have conceded an average of over 1.2 goals per game across their last three matches.
AI Prediction
Despite Anderlecht's recent poor run, their home record and possession stats suggest they can find a way to win. St. Truiden's overall season is impressive, but their recent away defensive lapses and Anderlecht's home scoring average point towards goals at both ends. The odds favour the hosts slightly, aligning with Anderlecht's stronger home performance over the season, making them the narrow pick.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U57%BTTS77%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x239%O/U56%BTTS56%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U50%BTTS73%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U43%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U50%BTTS70%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U37%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U40%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U57%BTTS70%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U43%BTTS57%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x239%O/U44%BTTS72%
H2H
Team recent
Anderlecht Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | KV Mechelen | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Gent | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Club Brugge KV | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | St. Truiden | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | KV Mechelen | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Gent | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 2 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Cercle Brugge | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | KV Mechelen | 0 - 1 |
Anderlecht's season has been a tale of two halves, with their home form significantly outperforming their away performances. At home, they average 1.7 goals scored and concede 1.2, a solid foundation. However, their overall recent form is concerning, with no wins in their last three, including two home defeats. Despite a recent draw at home where they managed to score twice, the defensive fragility shown in conceding 2.7 goals per game over the last three home matches is a red flag.
St. Truiden Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Gent | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Club Brugge KV | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | KV Mechelen | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Anderlecht | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Gent | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Club Brugge KV | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Union St. Gilloise | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Union St. Gilloise | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Genk | 0 - 1 |
St. Truiden have had a generally successful season, boasting a strong overall win percentage and a respectable away record, averaging 1.5 goals scored and conceding 1.1 on the road. Their recent form is mixed, with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three. Critically, their last away fixture saw them concede two goals and score only one, a step back from their usual defensive solidity, and they even suffered a red card and lost heavily on the road in their most recent outing.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
