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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol: A Battle of Contrasting Fortunes in J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos host Kashiwa Reysol in a J1 League clash where recent form suggests a significant disparity. While the home side has endured a difficult spell, the visitors have shown flashes of attacking intent, albeit with a leaky defence.
This match pits Yokohama's struggles for consistency and their defensive frailties against Kashiwa's more potent, albeit sometimes erratic, attacking displays. The home side's tendency to concede heavily, especially at home, and their lower average possession might invite pressure. Kashiwa, despite their poor overall away record, have shown they can score on the road, and their higher passing accuracy could see them try to build from the back. However, their recent defensive lapses and tendency to lose away games suggest Yokohama might find a way to exploit those weaknesses, even with their own recent struggles. The home team's high shot volume in their last game might indicate a renewed effort to impact the final third, but their low possession suggests they are vulnerable to being pinned back.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Yokohama F. Marinos have lost 50% of their home games this season.
- • Kashiwa Reysol have won only 12.5% of their away matches.
- • Both teams have conceded an average of over 1.4 goals per game across the season.
AI Prediction
The data presents a fascinating dichotomy. Yokohama's overall form is dire, yet their home performance shows more attacking intent than away, despite a poor win record. Kashiwa are defensively suspect on the road, but their recent away form has shown an ability to score. The odds suggest a tight contest, leaning slightly towards Kashiwa. Given both teams' propensity to concede and Kashiwa's recent scoring form away from home, a game with goals at both ends seems likely. The high odds for an over 2.5 game suggest value, and a draw feels like a strong possibility given both teams' inconsistencies.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Yokohama F. Marinos Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Kashima | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Mito Hollyhock | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | JEF United Chiba | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Urawa | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | FC Tokyo | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kawasaki Frontale | 5 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Mito Hollyhock | 0 - 1 | - |
Yokohama F. Marinos are in a tough spot, having failed to secure a win in their last three outings, drawing two and losing one. This recent downturn mirrors their overall season struggles, characterized by more losses than wins and a concerningly high number of goals conceded per game. Their home form, in particular, has been a struggle, with 50% of their home fixtures ending in defeat, despite generating more shots on average than they do away. The last match saw them draw 1-1, but the underlying stats of only 35% possession and 16 shots suggest they were perhaps fortunate to get a point.
Kashiwa Reysol Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Urawa | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Tokyo Verdy | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | FC Tokyo | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Kashima | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Mito Hollyhock | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Mito Hollyhock | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Urawa | 1 - 1 | - |
Kashiwa Reysol present a mixed bag, but their recent away form has been a significant positive. Although their overall season record is poor, with a high loss percentage, their last three away games saw them score freely, winning two and losing one. In stark contrast to their overall defensive fragility, they have managed to find the net in two of those three recent away matches. However, their most recent outing was a 1-0 loss, where they dominated possession but failed to convert, and their away form remains a significant concern with 75% of their away games ending in defeat this season.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.