V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama - AI Match Preview

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Japan J1 League

V-varen Nagasaki

Fagiano Okayama

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Y. Iwasaki

19'

37'

Noah Kenshin Browne

Thiago

43'

50'

Werik Popo

Motoki Hasegawa

90'

Lucão

90'

Lucão

Preview

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama: J1 League Clash of Contrasting Forms

V-varen Nagasaki host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League, with the home side battling inconsistency throughout the season. Fagiano Okayama, despite a statistically solid overall record, have struggled to convert recent positive performances into wins away from home.

This match pits Nagasaki's inconsistent but potentially high-volume attacking approach against Okayama's more pragmatic, draw-heavy style that has recently faltered defensively on the road. Nagasaki's home games often see a higher shot count, suggesting they try to impose themselves, while Okayama's low possession figures away from home indicate they may adopt a more reactive stance, looking to counter. The key will be whether Nagasaki can convert their home shot volume into goals against an Okayama side that, despite recent defensive frailties, has shown resilience in securing draws away from home.

Team statistics

Japan J1 League

V-varen Nagasaki

Fagiano Okayama

Matches played

5 - 1 - 8

Results

4 - 6 - 4

35.7%

Win %

28.6%

Goals scored

1.1

1.5

Goals conceded

1.4

League averages

Key points

• V-varen Nagasaki have lost 57% of their home games this season.
• Fagiano Okayama have drawn 71% of their away matches this season.
• Fagiano Okayama's away defence has conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game this season.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a closely contested affair, with home win odds only slightly shorter than away. Nagasaki's home scoring has been modest, while Okayama's away resilience, despite recent concessions, points towards a draw. Both teams have shown they can score, making 'Both Teams to Score' a logical selection, but Okayama's defensive struggles away and Nagasaki's overall defensive record hint at a contest that might not explode in terms of goals.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

67%

BTTS

57%
deepseek-v3.2 (id)

by deepseek

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

67%

BTTS

63%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

60%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

37%

BTTS

50%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

78%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

73%

BTTS

70%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

40%

BTTS

40%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

43%

BTTS

50%

H2H

J1 League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
3/21/2026	V-varen Nagasaki	W 1 - 0 L	Fagiano Okayama AWAY	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

V-varen Nagasaki

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Nagoya Grampus	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-
AWAY	Shimizu S-pulse	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
HOME	Gamba Osaka	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
AWAY	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0 - 2	L	U	N	-
AWAY	Avispa Fukuoka	0 - 1	L	U	N	-
HOME	Shimizu S-pulse	0 - 3	L	O	N	-
AWAY	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Avispa Fukuoka	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Gamba Osaka	2 - 3	L	O	Y	-

V-varen Nagasaki have endured a difficult campaign, reflected in their losing record and a tendency to concede more goals than they score. While their home form shows a slight improvement in goal scoring and shot volume compared to their away record, they've still lost four of their seven home fixtures. Recent form offers little solace, with a winless streak in their last three home games, conceding multiple goals in two of those. They did, however, show attacking intent in their very last outing, with a high number of shots.

Fagiano Okayama

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Nagoya Grampus	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Avispa Fukuoka	2 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Gamba Osaka	2 - 2	D	O	Y	-
AWAY	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 5	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Vissel Kobe	1 - 4	L	O	Y	-
HOME	V-varen Nagasaki	0 - 1	L	U	N	-
AWAY	Cerezo Osaka	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Shimizu S-pulse	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	W	U	N	-

Fagiano Okayama present an interesting paradox. Their overall statistics suggest a team that is hard to beat, with a high proportion of draws and a relatively low goals-against record. However, their recent form, particularly away from home, shows a concerning trend of conceding heavily, shipping 2.7 goals per game across their last three away matches and failing to secure a win in their last five away fixtures. Despite this, they showed resilience in their most recent match, securing a draw, and their overall away scoring record is slightly better than their home one.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.88

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

2.55

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.15

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

1.91

Lineups

V-varen Nagasaki

(3-4-2-1)

N/A

G. Hatano

N/A

H. Onaga

N/A

Dudu Giusti

N/A

H. Teruyama

N/A

K. Takahata

N/A

Diego Pituca

N/A

R. Yamada

N/A

M. Sekiguchi

N/A

Y. Iwasaki

N/A

M. Hasegawa

N/A

Thiago

N/A

Werik Popo

N/A

A. Esaka

N/A

K. Ichimi

N/A

N. Browne

N/A

M. Matsumoto

N/A

K. Ogura

N/A

K. Shirai

N/A

H. Omori

N/A

D. Tagami

N/A

Y. Tatsuta

N/A

L. Moser

Fagiano Okayama

(3-4-2-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Japan J1 League

#	Team	Played	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Kashima	16	13	3	28	11	17	39	WWWLW
2	FC Tokyo	17	13	4	32	17	15	37	WWLWW
3	Machida Zelvia	16	12	4	26	20	6	33	WWWLW
4	Tokyo Verdy	17	10	7	22	20	2	28	WLLLW
5	Urawa	17	7	10	25	21	4	25	LWWWW
6	Kawasaki Frontale	16	8	8	21	26	-5	23	LWLLW
7	Mito Hollyhock	17	6	11	22	36	-14	18	LLLWL
8	Kashiwa Reysol	17	6	11	18	22	-4	17	WWLLL
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	17	5	12	22	31	-9	17	LLLLW
10	JEF United Chiba	16	3	13	16	28	-12	12	LWLLL

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama: J1 League Clash of Contrasting Forms

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

V-varen Nagasaki Team recent

Fagiano Okayama Team recent

Odds

V-varen Nagasaki

Fagiano Okayama

Injuries / suspensions

League table