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Japan J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus logo
Nagoya Grampus

Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: Hosts Seek to Reassert Dominance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Nagoya Grampus in a J1 League fixture that pits a resurgent home side against a Nagoya team that has shown flashes of brilliance but also defensive frailties. Hiroshima's recent form, particularly at home, suggests they will aim to control the narrative.

This fixture could be defined by Sanfrecce Hiroshima's ability to leverage their recent home form and possession dominance against Nagoya Grampus's more inconsistent defensive structure. Hiroshima's recent surge has seen them create a high volume of shots on target at home, suggesting they will look to build attacks patiently and exploit space. Nagoya, having conceded heavily in their last outing, might adopt a more cautious approach away from home, potentially looking for quick transitions, but their recent defensive struggles suggest they could be vulnerable to sustained pressure.

Team statistics

Japan J1 League
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
VS
Nagoya Grampus
17
Matches played
17
7 - 4 - 6
Results
8 - 5 - 4
41.2%
Win %
47.1%
1.5
Goals scored
1.7
1.1
Goals conceded
1.4
League averages

Key points

  • • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won two of their last three home games, scoring an average of 1.7 goals.
  • • Nagoya Grampus conceded 6 goals in their last away fixture, highlighting defensive fragility.
  • • The odds suggest a home win and a match with over 2.5 goals, aligning with recent trends.

AI Prediction

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current home form is formidable, marked by strong attacking performances and a tightening defence. Nagoya Grampus, despite their seasonal scoring ability, have shown significant defensive liabilities, particularly in their most recent away match. The odds favour the home side, and the statistical trends, especially Hiroshima's recent offensive surge at home, point towards a home victory with goals expected from both teams.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    72%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    67%
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
    deepseek-v4-pro (ja)
    by deepseek
    78%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    70%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    70%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    67%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    72%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    70%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    33%
    BTTS
    57%
  • x-ai/grok-4.3
    grok-4.3 (ko)
    by x-ai
    68%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    60%

H2H

J1 League
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
3/18/2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L 1 - 2 W
Nagoya Grampus
AWAY
OY
6/28/2025HOME
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L 1 - 2 W
Nagoya Grampus
OY
4/20/2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L 1 - 2 W
Nagoya Grampus
AWAY
OY
8/17/2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W 2 - 1 L
Nagoya Grampus
AWAY
OY
5/6/2024HOME
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L 2 - 3 W
Nagoya Grampus
OY
9/30/2023HOME
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W 3 - 1 L
Nagoya Grampus
OY
5/20/2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L 1 - 2 W
Nagoya Grampus
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team recent

Sanfrecce Hiroshima logo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Kyoto Sanga4 - 0WON-
AWAY
Gamba Osaka1 - 0WUN-
HOME
Vissel Kobe1 - 1DUY-
AWAY
Fagiano Okayama0 - 1LUN-
AWAY
Avispa Fukuoka2 - 2DOY-
HOME
Cerezo Osaka2 - 1WOY-
HOME
V-varen Nagasaki2 - 0WUN-
HOME
Shimizu S-pulse1 - 1DUY-
HOME
Avispa Fukuoka0 - 1LUN-
AWAY
Vissel Kobe1 - 2LOY-

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have been building significant momentum, especially in their last three outings where they've secured two wins and a draw with an impressive offensive output of two goals per game. Their overall season record shows a solid, if not spectacular, performance, with a tendency to dominate possession at home, averaging over 60% and creating a healthy number of chances. While their home scoring average is respectable, their defence has tightened considerably in recent weeks, conceding less than a goal per game in their last three at home.

Nagoya Grampus Team recent

Nagoya Grampus logo
Nagoya Grampus
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Cerezo Osaka1 - 6LOY-
HOME
Kyoto Sanga3 - 0WON-
HOME
Gamba Osaka2 - 1WOY-
AWAY
V-varen Nagasaki2 - 1WOY-
HOME
Fagiano Okayama1 - 1DUY-
AWAY
Shimizu S-pulse2 - 0WUN-
HOME
Avispa Fukuoka2 - 2DOY-
AWAY
Vissel Kobe2 - 3LOY-
HOME
Cerezo Osaka3 - 0WON-
AWAY
Kyoto Sanga1 - 1DUY-

Nagoya Grampus present a more mixed picture. Seasonally, they are a capable side, scoring more than Hiroshima on average, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 1.4 goals per game. While their recent form shows two wins in three, the underlying numbers are concerning, with a heavy 6-1 defeat in their last match overshadowing two wins. Their away form is also a slight worry; they win fewer games on the road and concede more goals than they do at home, despite showing a slightly higher average possession away from home.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HOME
1.7
DRAW
4
Nagoya Grampus
AWAY
4.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.67
UNDER
2.15
BTTS
YES
1.67
NO
2.1
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Japan J1 League
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7Mito Hollyhock1760112236-1418LLLWL
8Kashiwa Reysol1760111822-417WWLLL
9Yokohama F. Marinos1750122231-917LLLLW
10JEF United Chiba1730141630-1412LLWLL
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