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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: Hosts Seek to Reassert Dominance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Nagoya Grampus in a J1 League fixture that pits a resurgent home side against a Nagoya team that has shown flashes of brilliance but also defensive frailties. Hiroshima's recent form, particularly at home, suggests they will aim to control the narrative.
This fixture could be defined by Sanfrecce Hiroshima's ability to leverage their recent home form and possession dominance against Nagoya Grampus's more inconsistent defensive structure. Hiroshima's recent surge has seen them create a high volume of shots on target at home, suggesting they will look to build attacks patiently and exploit space. Nagoya, having conceded heavily in their last outing, might adopt a more cautious approach away from home, potentially looking for quick transitions, but their recent defensive struggles suggest they could be vulnerable to sustained pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won two of their last three home games, scoring an average of 1.7 goals.
- • Nagoya Grampus conceded 6 goals in their last away fixture, highlighting defensive fragility.
- • The odds suggest a home win and a match with over 2.5 goals, aligning with recent trends.
AI Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current home form is formidable, marked by strong attacking performances and a tightening defence. Nagoya Grampus, despite their seasonal scoring ability, have shown significant defensive liabilities, particularly in their most recent away match. The odds favour the home side, and the statistical trends, especially Hiroshima's recent offensive surge at home, point towards a home victory with goals expected from both teams.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U50%BTTS67%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U47%BTTS67%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U43%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U37%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x223%O/U53%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U33%BTTS57%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U37%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Kyoto Sanga | 4 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Gamba Osaka | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Vissel Kobe | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fagiano Okayama | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Cerezo Osaka | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | V-varen Nagasaki | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Shimizu S-pulse | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vissel Kobe | 1 - 2 | - |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have been building significant momentum, especially in their last three outings where they've secured two wins and a draw with an impressive offensive output of two goals per game. Their overall season record shows a solid, if not spectacular, performance, with a tendency to dominate possession at home, averaging over 60% and creating a healthy number of chances. While their home scoring average is respectable, their defence has tightened considerably in recent weeks, conceding less than a goal per game in their last three at home.
Nagoya Grampus Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 6 | - | ||||
HOME | Kyoto Sanga | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Gamba Osaka | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | V-varen Nagasaki | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fagiano Okayama | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shimizu S-pulse | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vissel Kobe | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Cerezo Osaka | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kyoto Sanga | 1 - 1 | - |
Nagoya Grampus present a more mixed picture. Seasonally, they are a capable side, scoring more than Hiroshima on average, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 1.4 goals per game. While their recent form shows two wins in three, the underlying numbers are concerning, with a heavy 6-1 defeat in their last match overshadowing two wins. Their away form is also a slight worry; they win fewer games on the road and concede more goals than they do at home, despite showing a slightly higher average possession away from home.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
