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Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse: J1 League Stalemate on the Horizon?
Fagiano Okayama host Shimizu S-Pulse in a J1 League clash that statistically points towards a closely contested affair. Both sides have demonstrated a similar scoring and conceding record over the season, suggesting a tight match where neither team holds a significant edge.
This fixture appears to be a battle of contrasting styles, albeit with similar statistical outcomes. Fagiano Okayama, often struggling to retain possession, might look to exploit transitions, especially given their recent impressive defensive showing. Shimizu S-Pulse, with their higher possession numbers and greater passing accuracy, will likely attempt to build from the back and control the tempo of the game. The hosts' compact defensive shape, particularly in recent home games, could frustrate Shimizu's patient build-up, making it difficult for them to penetrate.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Both Fagiano Okayama and Shimizu S-Pulse have scored and conceded an average of 1.3 and 1.1 goals per game respectively over the season.
- • Shimizu S-Pulse are unbeaten in their last eight away league matches.
- • Fagiano Okayama have won two and lost one of their last three league games.
AI Prediction
The overall season statistics for both teams are remarkably similar, pointing towards a very balanced contest. Shimizu's strong away form, coupled with Fagiano's recent upturn, sets the stage for a tight encounter. The odds suggest a close match, with no clear favourite. Given the defensive solidity shown by both sides recently and their similar scoring outputs, a low-scoring draw feels like the most probable outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Fagiano Okayama Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Vissel Kobe | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Nagoya Grampus | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Gamba Osaka | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kyoto Sanga | 1 - 5 | - | ||||
HOME | Vissel Kobe | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | V-varen Nagasaki | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cerezo Osaka | 2 - 1 | - |
Fagiano Okayama have found consistency hard to come by this season, with an even split of wins, draws, and losses in their overall record. While their home form shows a slight improvement, with a better win rate than their overall average, they still concede more than a goal per game on average. Recent form, however, offers a glimmer of hope, with two wins from their last three outings, including a dominant clean sheet victory in their most recent fixture. Yet, their possession stats remain modest, indicating a reliance on efficient play rather than sustained control.
Shimizu S-pulse Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Cerezo Osaka | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kyoto Sanga | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Nagoya Grampus | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | V-varen Nagasaki | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vissel Kobe | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 - 1 | - |
Shimizu S-Pulse present a mirror image of their opponents in terms of overall season statistics, also hovering around a 1.1 goals scored and conceded average. Their away record is solid, with an unbeaten streak of eight games, although half of those have ended in draws. Recent form has been encouraging for the visitors, with two wins and a draw in their last three, and an impressive attacking display in their single most recent match, netting three times. They tend to dominate possession and maintain a higher passing accuracy, suggesting a more structured approach.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.