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Japan J1 League
Fagiano Okayama logo
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka logo
Cerezo Osaka

Preview

J1 League: Fagiano Okayama Host Cerezo Osaka in Tactical Battle

Fagiano Okayama welcome Cerezo Osaka in a J1 League encounter that pits Okayama's recent home resurgence against Osaka's inconsistent away form. While the visitors often dominate possession, Okayama have shown a potent cutting edge in their last few home outings.

This match could be a fascinating tactical duel. Cerezo Osaka's preference for possession and patient build-up play, evidenced by their high passing accuracy and average ball possession, will likely be tested by Fagiano Okayama's recent home form. Okayama managed to shut out opponents in their last three home games, suggesting a compact defensive shape. If Osaka fail to break down Okayama's defence early, they might find themselves vulnerable to counter-attacks, especially given Okayama's improved attacking output in their recent home fixtures. The battle for central midfield control will be crucial, with Osaka aiming to impose their passing rhythm and Okayama looking to exploit transitions.

Team statistics

Japan J1 League
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Fagiano Okayama
VS
Cerezo Osaka
17
Matches played
17
6 - 6 - 5
Results
6 - 6 - 5
35.3%
Win %
35.3%
1.3
Goals scored
1.4
1.3
Goals conceded
1
League averages

Key points

  • • Fagiano Okayama have won their last 3 home games, conceding 0 goals.
  • • Cerezo Osaka have not won in their last 3 away matches.
  • • Cerezo Osaka average just 0.9 goals per game on the road this season.

AI Prediction

Fagiano Okayama's recent home form is simply too strong to ignore, with three straight wins and no goals conceded. Cerezo Osaka's struggles to score away from home, coupled with their recent winless run on the road, suggest they'll find it difficult to break down a resurgent Okayama defence. The odds suggest a tight contest, but Okayama's momentum at home gives them the edge.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Fagiano Okayama HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
    deepseek-v4-pro (ja)
    by deepseek
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Cerezo Osaka AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    Fagiano Okayama HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    72%
    Fagiano Okayama HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    Cerezo Osaka AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    40%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Cerezo Osaka AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • x-ai/grok-4.3
    grok-4.3 (ko)
    by x-ai
    62%
    Cerezo Osaka AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%

H2H

J1 League
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
3/18/2026
Fagiano Okayama
W 2 - 1 L
Cerezo Osaka
AWAY
OY
10/18/2025HOME
Fagiano Okayama
L 1 - 2 W
Cerezo Osaka
OY
4/2/2025
Fagiano Okayama
L 1 - 2 W
Cerezo Osaka
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Fagiano Okayama Team recent

Fagiano Okayama logo
Fagiano Okayama
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Shimizu S-pulse2 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Vissel Kobe3 - 0WON-
AWAY
V-varen Nagasaki1 - 2LOY-
HOME
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Nagoya Grampus1 - 1DUY-
HOME
Avispa Fukuoka2 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Gamba Osaka2 - 2DOY-
AWAY
Kyoto Sanga1 - 5LOY-
HOME
Vissel Kobe1 - 4LOY-
HOME
V-varen Nagasaki0 - 1LUN-

Fagiano Okayama have found a measure of consistency at home this season, securing half of their wins on familiar turf. Their overall record shows a team that scores and concedes roughly the same number of goals, indicating a balanced but not dominant side. However, their last three home matches have been impressive, marked by three consecutive victories, a significant scoring increase to 1.7 goals per game, and a notably solid defence that conceded zero goals in that span. This recent home surge suggests they've found a rhythm and will be looking to build on that momentum.

Cerezo Osaka Team recent

Cerezo Osaka logo
Cerezo Osaka
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Nagoya Grampus6 - 1WOY-
HOME
V-varen Nagasaki3 - 2WOY-
AWAY
Shimizu S-pulse1 - 1DUY-
HOME
Avispa Fukuoka1 - 1DUY-
AWAY
Vissel Kobe0 - 0DUN-
AWAY
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 - 2LOY-
HOME
Kyoto Sanga3 - 0WON-
AWAY
Gamba Osaka1 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Nagoya Grampus0 - 3LON-
HOME
Vissel Kobe1 - 1DUY-

Cerezo Osaka present a curious case. Their overall statistics reveal a team that scores slightly more than they concede and sits in a similar league position to their hosts. They possess a strong passing game, averaging nearly 78% accuracy and over 50% ball possession. However, their away form tells a different story. While they haven't lost many on the road, their scoring drops significantly to under a goal per game, and they've drawn more than they've won. Recent away form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in their last three away games, struggling to create clear chances and often settling for draws.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Fagiano Okayama
HOME
2.8
DRAW
3.3
Cerezo Osaka
AWAY
2.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.9
UNDER
1.9
BTTS
YES
1.7
NO
2.05
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Japan J1 League
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6Kawasaki Frontale179082327-425WLWLL
7Mito Hollyhock1760112236-1418LLLWL
8Kashiwa Reysol1760111822-417WWLLL
9Yokohama F. Marinos1750122231-917LLLLW
10JEF United Chiba1730141630-1412LLWLL
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