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Japan J1 League
Cerezo Osaka logo
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo logo
FC Tokyo

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Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo: Third Place Play-off in J1 League

This J1 League third-place play-off sees Cerezo Osaka host FC Tokyo. Osaka come into this on the back of a sensational scoring run, while Tokyo have been more consistent overall but are struggling for goals recently.

This fixture presents an interesting tactical dynamic. Cerezo Osaka's recent offensive explosion, particularly at home, suggests they will look to set a high tempo and exploit their newfound cutting edge. Their improved passing accuracy in recent home games indicates a desire to build patiently from the back. FC Tokyo, despite their overall statistical strength, have shown a recent tendency to concede and struggle offensively, especially away from home. They might adopt a more cautious approach, aiming to disrupt Osaka's rhythm and perhaps look for counter-attacking opportunities, although their recent lack of offensive threat makes this less likely.

Team statistics

Japan J1 League
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Cerezo Osaka
VS
FC Tokyo
18
Matches played
18
7 - 6 - 5
Results
9 - 6 - 3
38.9%
Win %
50%
1.4
Goals scored
1.6
1.1
Goals conceded
0.9
League averages

Key points

  • • Cerezo Osaka have scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last three matches.
  • • FC Tokyo have only scored 0.7 goals per game on average over their last three fixtures.
  • • Cerezo Osaka's last home match saw them score 6 goals.

AI Prediction

Cerezo Osaka's recent surge in form, especially their prolific scoring, is too significant to ignore. They have momentum on their side and are playing at home where they have a solid record. FC Tokyo's recent goal-scoring drought is a major worry, despite their stronger overall season statistics. The odds are not available to gauge market sentiment, but based purely on form, Osaka appears to have the edge.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    70%
    Cerezo Osaka HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%

H2H

J1 League
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
6/14/2025
Cerezo Osaka
D 2 - 2 D
FC Tokyo
AWAY
OY
4/20/2025HOME
Cerezo Osaka
D 1 - 1 D
FC Tokyo
UY
12/8/2024
Cerezo Osaka
L 0 - 3 W
FC Tokyo
AWAY
ON
2/24/2024HOME
Cerezo Osaka
D 2 - 2 D
FC Tokyo
OY
8/6/2023HOME
Cerezo Osaka
L 0 - 1 W
FC Tokyo
UN
4/15/2023
Cerezo Osaka
W 2 - 1 L
FC Tokyo
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Cerezo Osaka Team recent

Cerezo Osaka logo
Cerezo Osaka
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Fagiano Okayama3 - 2WOY-
HOME
Nagoya Grampus6 - 1WOY-
HOME
V-varen Nagasaki3 - 2WOY-
AWAY
Shimizu S-pulse1 - 1DUY-
HOME
Avispa Fukuoka1 - 1DUY-
AWAY
Vissel Kobe0 - 0DUN-
AWAY
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 - 2LOY-
HOME
Kyoto Sanga3 - 0WON-
AWAY
Gamba Osaka1 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Nagoya Grampus0 - 3LON-

Cerezo Osaka have been in blistering form over their last three matches, securing three wins and scoring a remarkable 13 goals. This is a significant upturn from their season-long average of 1.4 goals per game, suggesting they've found another gear. Their home form has been solid, averaging 1.8 goals, and they were particularly impressive in their last home outing, netting six. Despite a slightly lower overall possession percentage, their recent home matches show a strong ability to dominate with 59.7% ball control and high passing accuracy.

FC Tokyo Team recent

FC Tokyo logo
FC Tokyo
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Kashima0 - 1LUN-
AWAY
Urawa0 - 0DUN-
HOME
Tokyo Verdy2 - 1WOY-
HOME
JEF United Chiba0 - 3LON-
HOME
Kawasaki Frontale2 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Kashiwa Reysol3 - 1WOY-
HOME
Mito Hollyhock5 - 2WOY-
AWAY
Yokohama F. Marinos3 - 1WOY-
HOME
Machida Zelvia0 - 0DUN-
AWAY
Machida Zelvia3 - 0WON-

FC Tokyo have a strong overall season record, sitting comfortably with a 50% win rate and averaging 1.6 goals scored. However, their recent form has dipped, with just one win in their last three. Crucially, their scoring has dried up, averaging less than a goal per game in that period. Their last outing was particularly concerning, failing to score and suffering a defeat. While their away record is generally good, with more wins than losses, their recent struggles to find the net away from home, averaging just 1 goal in their last three away games, present a clear concern.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Japan J1 League
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Kashima18150331112045WWWWW
2FC Tokyo18130532181437LWWLW
3Machida Zelvia1813052822637WLWWW
4Kawasaki Frontale1810082628-228WWLWL
5Tokyo Verdy1810082226-428LWLLL
6Urawa1870112522325LLWWW
7Yokohama F. Marinos1860122831-320WLLLL
8Kashiwa Reysol1870112224-220WWWLL
9Mito Hollyhock1860122339-1618LLLLW
10JEF United Chiba1830151834-1612LLLWL
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