Twente vs Excelsior - AI Match Preview

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Netherlands Eredivisie

Twente

Excelsior

Match Events

Mats Rots

55'

80'

Adam Carlén

Preview

Twente vs Excelsior: Hosts Aim to Cement Home Dominance in Eredivisie

Twente host Excelsior in a fixture that pits the home side's solid season form against an Excelsior side struggling for away wins. The statistics suggest Twente should control possession and create more chances, potentially leading to a comfortable home victory.

Twente's approach, which typically involves dominating possession and building attacks through patient passing, should come up against an Excelsior side that is often forced to defend deeply away from home. The home side's ability to generate a high volume of shots, particularly on goal, should put them in a strong position to break down Excelsior's defence. Excelsior might look to hit Twente on the counter, but their overall lack of attacking threat and defensive vulnerability on the road suggests they will be under considerable pressure to contain Twente's ball-playing style.

Team statistics

Netherlands Eredivisie

Twente

Excelsior

Matches played

7 - 8 - 4

Results

6 - 3 - 10

36.8%

Win %

31.6%

1.5

Goals scored

1.1

1.2

Goals conceded

1.8

6.4

Shots on target

6.7

Shots off target

4.7

5.7

Blocked shots

55.2

Ball possession

45.3

Pass accuracy

76.9

11.8

Fouls

13.3

1.9

Goalkeeper saves

4.3

1.8

Yellow cards

1.6

0.2

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Twente average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home this season.
• Excelsior have lost 55.6% of their away games, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per away fixture.
• Twente are unbeaten in their last three matches overall.

AI Prediction

Twente's strong home record and superior overall statistics, especially in terms of possession and shots, make them clear favourites. Excelsior's poor away form, particularly their defensive record, suggests they will struggle to contain the hosts. While Excelsior have shown some scoring ability recently, Twente's overall defensive solidity at home should limit them, but the visitors' recent tendency to concede suggests goals are likely at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Eredivisie H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/30/2025	Twente	L 0 - 1 W	Excelsior HOME	U	N
2/10/2024	Twente	W 3 - 0 L	Excelsior HOME	O	N
12/8/2023	HOME Twente	W 4 - 2 L	Excelsior	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Twente

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Heracles	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	PEC Zwolle	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Feyenoord	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	GO Ahead Eagles	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Utrecht	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	FC Volendam	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Telstar	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Groningen	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Ajax	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y

Twente have built a respectable season, largely on the back of their home performances where they boast a solid win rate and concede fewer goals than their overall average. Their possession stats indicate a team that likes to build from the back, averaging over 460 passes per game at home with good accuracy. While their recent form shows a slight dip in scoring, their last outing yielded a draw, and they remain unbeaten in their last three games overall, with two wins at home in that span.

Excelsior

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Telstar	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	PSV Eindhoven	1 - 5	L	O	Y	N
HOME	PEC Zwolle	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Groningen	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	NAC Breda	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Ajax	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Heracles	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Telstar	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	GO Ahead Eagles	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y

Excelsior find themselves in a precarious position, with over half of their league games ending in defeat. Their away record is particularly concerning, having lost five of their nine matches on the road, conceding a significant 2.6 goals per game on average. Despite this defensive frailty, they have managed to score in their last three away matches, though their overall shot volume remains low compared to their opponents. Their most recent fixture ended in a draw, but it was at home, and their away form paints a grim picture.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.28

DRAW

5.5

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.6

UNDER

2.3

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Twente

(4-2-3-1)

Przemysław Tytoń

Mats Rots

Ruud Nijstad

Stav Lemkin

Max Bruns

Thomas Van den Belt

Ramiz Zerrouki

Sondre Ørjasæter

Kristian Hlynsson

Daan Rots

Ricky van Wolfswinkel

Mike van Duinen

Gyan de Regt

Irakli Yegoian

Miliano Jonathans

Chris-Kévin Nadje

Lennard Hartjes

Simon Janssen

Stan Henderikx

Casper Widell

Nolan Martens

Stijn van Gassel

Excelsior

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Twente

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
S. Lammers	Shoulder injury	Missing Fixture	3 / 2
T. Booth	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Hilgers	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
R. Zerrouki	Red Card	Missing Fixture	3 / 1
B. van Rooij	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	3 / 5
D. Rots	Injury	Questionable	9 / 4

Excelsior

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
L. Hartjes	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

League table

Netherlands Eredivisie

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Eredivisie
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	15	1	1	52	21	31	46	WWWWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	2	4	42	21	21	35	DLWWL
3	Ajax	17	8	6	3	32	22	10	30	DWWWL
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	8	5	4	43	29	14	29	DDWWW
5	Groningen	17	8	3	6	25	22	3	27	DWWLD
6	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	4	5	31	28	3	25	LDLLL
7	Twente	17	6	7	4	26	21	5	25	DWDWD
8	Utrecht	17	6	5	6	28	23	5	23	LDDDD
9	Heerenveen	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	WWLLW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	17	7	2	8	18	31	-13	23	WLWLD
11	Fortuna Sittard	17	6	3	8	25	29	-4	21	WLLDD
12	Excelsior	16	6	1	9	16	27	-11	19	WLWWL
13	GO Ahead Eagles	17	4	7	6	26	29	-3	19	DLDDL
14	PEC Zwolle	17	5	4	8	21	38	-17	19	LWLWD
15	Telstar	17	3	6	8	20	27	-7	15	WDDLD
16	FC Volendam	17	3	5	9	19	31	-12	14	LLLLD
17	Heracles	17	4	2	11	26	44	-18	14	LLDDW
18	NAC Breda	17	3	4	10	16	26	-10	13	LDLLL

Twente vs Excelsior AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Twente vs Excelsior: Hosts Aim to Cement Home Dominance in Eredivisie

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Twente Team recent

Excelsior Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Twente

Excelsior

Injuries / suspensions

Twente Injuries / suspensions

Excelsior Injuries / suspensions

League table