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Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior: Hosts Aim to End Season Strong at Home
Sparta Rotterdam host Excelsior on the final day of the Eredivisie season. While Sparta have been inconsistent, their home form offers some encouragement, whereas Excelsior arrive with a mixed recent record and a porous away defence.
This fixture pits Sparta's slightly more robust home setup against an Excelsior side that, despite recent positive attacking displays, has a defensive fragility away from home. Sparta's possession numbers are generally lower, suggesting they may look to play more directly or exploit transitions, especially against an Excelsior that has shown a willingness to commit players forward recently. Excelsior's recent uptick in scoring, particularly in their last away game, might signal a more aggressive approach, but Sparta's home average of 1.5 goals conceded per game suggests they can be breached.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Sparta Rotterdam concede an average of 1.5 goals at home compared to 2.1 away.
- • Excelsior have lost 43.8% of their away league matches this season.
- • Excelsior's recent form shows an average of 3 goals scored in their last three games.
AI Prediction
Sparta Rotterdam's home form, while not spectacular, is more solid than Excelsior's away record. The hosts have a better defensive structure at home and are facing an Excelsior side that has struggled on the road. Despite Excelsior's recent attacking improvements, their defensive vulnerability away from home combined with Sparta's need to finish strongly at home makes the home win the most probable outcome. Both teams have shown they can score, pointing towards goals at both ends.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Sparta Rotterdam Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Twente | 0 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | GO Ahead Eagles | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Telstar | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | PSV Eindhoven | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | NAC Breda | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | FC Volendam | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Ajax | 0 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | PEC Zwolle | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Heerenveen | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 3 | - |
Sparta Rotterdam have endured a largely inconsistent season, finishing with a losing record overall. However, their home form has been slightly more resilient, with a win percentage just above 37% and conceding fewer goals on average than they do away. Recent home form shows a slight uptick, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three, scoring more freely in that period, including a two-goal draw in their most recent home outing. They will look to leverage this home advantage to finish on a positive note.
Excelsior Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | FC Volendam | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Groningen | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Utrecht | 5 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | PEC Zwolle | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | NEC Nijmegen | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Heracles | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Feyenoord | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Heerenveen | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | GO Ahead Eagles | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortuna Sittard | 1 - 2 | - |
Excelsior have found consistency elusive throughout the season, ultimately finishing with more losses than wins. Their away record is particularly concerning, where they have a high defeat rate and concede a significant number of goals. Despite this, their recent form has shown flashes of attacking promise, going unbeaten in their last three overall. However, their last away performance was a heavy defeat, conceding four goals, which will be a major worry ahead of this trip.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.