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PEC Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard: Home Form Faces Away Struggles in Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle hosts Fortuna Sittard in a mid-table Eredivisie clash. While Zwolle have shown recent home resilience, Fortuna's away record remains a significant concern, setting the stage for a potentially tight encounter.
This fixture pits PEC Zwolle's recent home improvement against Fortuna Sittard's persistent away-day struggles. Zwolle's home games have seen them adopt a more defensive posture, evidenced by their lower ball possession figures at home. They will likely look to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, relying on the momentum from their positive home results. Fortuna, despite their poor away record, do generate a high volume of shots, suggesting they might try to force the issue by playing a more expansive, attacking game, potentially leaving themselves open to quick transitions from Zwolle.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • PEC Zwolle have won 2 of their last 3 home games.
- • Fortuna Sittard have lost 5 of their 7 away league matches this season.
- • Fortuna Sittard conceded an average of 5.3 goals in their last 3 away games.
AI Prediction
PEC Zwolle's recent home form, coupled with Fortuna Sittard's abysmal away record, strongly suggests a home advantage. While Fortuna's overall attacking numbers are decent, their defensive fragility on the road is a major concern. The odds slightly favour the home side, aligning with this statistical disparity. Given both teams' scoring records and Fortuna's tendency to concede heavily away, a game with multiple goals at both ends is anticipated.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U40%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U57%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U43%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS43%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U40%BTTS37%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U30%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama82%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U47%BTTS43%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS47%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft82%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U40%BTTS37%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U45%BTTS41%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U43%BTTS40%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U57%BTTS47%
H2H
Team recent
PEC Zwolle Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Feyenoord | 1 - 6 | |||||
HOME | Heerenveen | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Groningen | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Heracles | 2 - 8 | |||||
HOME | NEC Nijmegen | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | NAC Breda | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | PSV Eindhoven | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | FC Volendam | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 2 |
PEC Zwolle find themselves in a precarious position, hovering just above the relegation zone based on their overall season record, which shows a clear deficit in goals conceded compared to scored. However, their recent home form offers a glimmer of hope. Over their last three home fixtures, they've secured two wins and a draw, demonstrating an improved defensive solidity, conceding just one goal per game in that span. Their last outing at home saw them secure a 2-1 victory, suggesting they can still make home advantage count when it matters.
Fortuna Sittard Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Ajax | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Heracles | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | PSV Eindhoven | 2 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Groningen | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Excelsior | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | FC Volendam | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Twente | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Utrecht | 1 - 0 |
Fortuna Sittard present a stark contrast in their away form. While their overall season statistics show them as slightly more potent in attack than their hosts, their away record is dire, with only one win and five losses from seven games. Recent away form has been particularly dismal, with two losses in their last three away matches, conceding a staggering 5.3 goals per game in that period. Their last match on the road ended in a heavy 6-1 defeat, highlighting significant defensive frailties when travelling.
Odds
PEC Zwolle
(4-3-3)
Fortuna Sittard
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
PEC Zwolle Injuries / suspensions
Fortuna Sittard Injuries / suspensions
