NAC Breda vs Excelsior - AI Match Preview

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Netherlands Eredivisie

NAC Breda

Excelsior

Match Events

Rio Hillen

11'

Rio Hillen

12'

18'

E. Hansson

31'

I. Yegoian

52'

Arthur Zagre

Mohamed Nassoh

63'

68'

Miliano Jonathans

Clint Leemans

89'

Preview

NAC Breda vs Excelsior: Battle of Contrasting Recent Fortunes in Eredivisie

NAC Breda, still seeking their first win in three games, host Excelsior, who are on an impressive unbeaten streak. Despite recent form, the home side's overall season record and home advantage might offer a slight edge in what promises to be a fascinating Eredivisie encounter.

This match presents a classic case of recent momentum against underlying season stats and home advantage. Excelsior's recent resilience, built on a compact defensive shape and patient build-up, could frustrate NAC Breda. The home side, despite their struggles, often look to play with higher possession and more direct attacking intent when at home, as evidenced by their last match. NAC will likely aim to exploit their slightly better home scoring record and push for an advantage, potentially using wide overloads, while Excelsior may seek to stifle play through a disciplined mid-block and hope to hit on quick transitions, though their away possession numbers are low.

Team statistics

Netherlands Eredivisie

NAC Breda

Excelsior

Matches played

3 - 7 - 11

Results

6 - 5 - 10

14.3%

Win %

28.6%

1.1

Goals scored

1.6

Goals conceded

1.8

4.1

Shots on target

3.9

5.9

Shots off target

4.6

3.4

Blocked shots

48.8

Ball possession

78.1

Pass accuracy

76.9

11.2

Fouls

3.8

Goalkeeper saves

4.1

1.9

Yellow cards

1.5

0.2

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• NAC Breda have won 0 of their last 3 games, while Excelsior are unbeaten in their last 3.
• Excelsior have lost 50% of their away games this season, conceding 2.3 goals on average.
• NAC Breda's last match saw them record 20 shots and 63% possession.

AI Prediction

While Excelsior's recent unbeaten run is commendable, NAC Breda's overall season stats at home, coupled with a last-match performance that saw them generate significant attacking output, suggest they have the tools to secure a win. The odds also slightly favour the home side. Both teams have shown a propensity to concede, making Both Teams To Score a strong possibility, and with NAC's last match ending 2-2, an 'over 2.5 goals' outcome also appears likely.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

50%

BTTS

30%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Eredivisie H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/29/2025	NAC Breda	L 0 - 1 W	Excelsior HOME	U	N
6/2/2024	NAC Breda	L 1 - 4 W	Excelsior HOME	O	Y
5/28/2024	HOME NAC Breda	W 6 - 2 L	Excelsior	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

NAC Breda

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Twente	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	PSV Eindhoven	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 4	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Groningen	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Telstar	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Utrecht	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Sparta Rotterdam	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Excelsior	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	PSV Eindhoven	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	FC Volendam	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

NAC Breda's season has been a struggle, marked by a high number of losses overall, and they are currently enduring a winless run across their last three fixtures. Despite this recent dip, they have managed to draw two of those games, showing a degree of resilience. At home, NAC have shown more promise, averaging more goals and shots on target than their away form suggests, though their defensive record at home remains a concern, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Their last outing saw them dominate possession and shots, ending in a 2-2 draw, indicating they can still create chances.

Excelsior

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Ajax	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Twente	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Telstar	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	PSV Eindhoven	1 - 5	L	O	Y	N
HOME	PEC Zwolle	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Groningen	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	NAC Breda	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Ajax	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Heracles	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

Excelsior arrives in much better shape, having secured draws in all of their last three matches. This unbeaten run, while not yielding wins, demonstrates a newfound solidity, particularly in defence where they've conceded just one goal per game in this recent stretch. Their away form over the season is poor, with only two wins from ten games and a significant 2.3 goals conceded on average. However, their last away fixture ended in a goalless draw, suggesting a more cautious approach might be adopted when travelling.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.8

DRAW

3.8

AWAY

4.2

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.73

UNDER

2.08

BTTS

YES

1.67

2.1

Lineups

NAC Breda

(3-4-1-2)

Daniel Bielica

Rio Hillen

Leo Greiml

Denis Odoi

Jayden Candelaria

Kamal Sowah

Maximilien Balard

Juho Talvitie

Mohamed Nassoh

Moussa Soumano

Charles-Andreas Brym

Noah Naujoks

Emil Hansson

Irakli Yegoian

Gyan de Regt

Lennard Hartjes

Lewis Schouten

Arthur Zagre

Rick Meissen

Casper Widell

Ilias Bronkhorst

Stijn van Gassel

Excelsior

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

NAC Breda

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
F. Jensen	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Salama	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
B. Kemper	Injury	Questionable	5 / 3
M. Nassoh	Illness	Questionable	5 / 1

Excelsior

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
L. Hartjes	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. van Duinen	Injury	Questionable	1 / 2

League table

Netherlands Eredivisie

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	15	1	1	52	21	31	46	WWWWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	2	4	42	21	21	35	DLWWL
3	Ajax	17	8	6	3	32	22	10	30	DWWWL
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	8	5	4	43	29	14	29	DDWWW
5	Groningen	17	8	3	6	25	22	3	27	DWWLD
6	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	4	5	31	28	3	25	LDLLL
7	Twente	17	6	7	4	26	21	5	25	DWDWD
8	Utrecht	17	6	5	6	28	23	5	23	LDDDD
9	Heerenveen	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	WWLLW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	17	7	2	8	18	31	-13	23	WLWLD
11	Fortuna Sittard	17	6	3	8	25	29	-4	21	WLLDD
12	Excelsior	16	6	1	9	16	27	-11	19	WLWWL
13	GO Ahead Eagles	17	4	7	6	26	29	-3	19	DLDDL
14	PEC Zwolle	17	5	4	8	21	38	-17	19	LWLWD
15	Telstar	17	3	6	8	20	27	-7	15	WDDLD
16	FC Volendam	17	3	5	9	19	31	-12	14	LLLLD
17	Heracles	17	4	2	11	26	44	-18	14	LLDDW
18	NAC Breda	17	3	4	10	16	26	-10	13	LDLLL

NAC Breda vs Excelsior AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

NAC Breda vs Excelsior: Battle of Contrasting Recent Fortunes in Eredivisie

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

NAC Breda Team recent

Excelsior Team recent

Odds

Lineups

NAC Breda

Excelsior

Injuries / suspensions

NAC Breda Injuries / suspensions

Excelsior Injuries / suspensions

League table