Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle - AI Match Preview

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Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior

PEC Zwolle

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

N. Naujoks

20'

48'

R. Thomas

63'

Ryan Thomas

Arthur Zagre

76'

I. Yegoian

78'

Preview

Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle: Eredivisie Clash of Contrasting Fortunes

Excelsior host PEC Zwolle in a crucial Eredivisie encounter. The hosts have found recent form, while Zwolle have endured a difficult run, but their away record offers a glimmer of hope. This fixture promises an intriguing tactical battle.

This match pits Excelsior's recent upward momentum against Zwolle's inconsistent but potentially dangerous away capabilities. Excelsior's recent upturn suggests they might try to impose a more proactive style, perhaps focusing on quicker transitions to exploit any defensive lapses from Zwolle. PEC Zwolle, on the other hand, have shown a tendency to concede heavily in their recent away games, which could encourage Excelsior to press high. Zwolle's possession stats on the road are higher than their overall average, indicating they might look to build from the back, but Excelsior's last home game saw them dominate possession and shots, suggesting they'll aim to dictate play.

Team statistics

Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior

PEC Zwolle

Matches played

5 - 1 - 9

Results

5 - 4 - 7

33.3%

Win %

31.3%

0.9

Goals scored

1.3

1.7

Goals conceded

2.3

4.3

Shots on target

2.9

4.4

Shots off target

3.1

3.3

Blocked shots

2.4

44.1

Ball possession

41.1

Pass accuracy

76.5

Fouls

10.9

4.7

Goalkeeper saves

4.5

1.6

Yellow cards

2.1

0.2

Red cards

0.3

League averages

Key points

• Excelsior have won 2 of their last 3 matches, while PEC Zwolle have won only 1 of their last 3.
• PEC Zwolle concede an average of 3.1 goals per away game this season.
• Excelsior's home games average 1.9 goals scored and conceded, indicating a potential for goals.

AI Prediction

While PEC Zwolle have a slightly better away scoring record than their overall average, their recent defensive frailties are alarming. Excelsior's improved recent form, particularly their home performance in the last fixture where they created numerous chances despite the scoreline, suggests they have the momentum. The odds slightly favour the home side, aligning with this assessment, and both teams' defensive records point towards goals at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

60%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

57%

BTTS

57%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

82%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

57%

BTTS

47%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

63%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

78%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

60%

BTTS

63%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

50%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

63%

BTTS

63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%

H2H

Eredivisie

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
4/6/2024	Excelsior	L 1 - 2 W	PEC Zwolle AWAY	O	Y
10/22/2023	HOME Excelsior	L 2 - 4 W	PEC Zwolle	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Excelsior

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Groningen	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	NAC Breda	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Ajax	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Heracles	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Telstar	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	GO Ahead Eagles	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Fortuna Sittard	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Heerenveen	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	PSV Eindhoven	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	FC Volendam	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Excelsior have shown signs of life recently, securing two wins in their last three outings. While their overall season record remains heavily weighted towards losses (9 defeats in 15 games), and they concede nearly two goals per game on average, their home form has been slightly more resilient. They've managed 0.8 goals per home fixture, and importantly, they are coming off a morale-boosting home win in their most recent match, despite losing that game 1-0.

PEC Zwolle

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Fortuna Sittard	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Feyenoord	1 - 6	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Heerenveen	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Groningen	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Sparta Rotterdam	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Heracles	2 - 8	L	O	Y	N
HOME	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	NAC Breda	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	PSV Eindhoven	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
AWAY	FC Volendam	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

PEC Zwolle arrive with a concerning recent trend, suffering two defeats in their last three matches, conceding a hefty 5.3 goals per game in that period. Their overall defensive record is porous, letting in 2.3 goals per match across the season. However, their away form offers a slight contrast, with over half their goals scored this season coming on the road (1.6 avg) and a respectable three draws from eight away fixtures. Their last away game was a 1-1 draw, which might offer some encouragement.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.05

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

3.3

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.62

UNDER

2.25

BTTS

YES

1.53

2.38

Lineups

Excelsior

(4-2-3-1)

Stijn van Gassel

Arthur Zagre

Rick Meissen

Casper Widell

Ilias Bronkhorst

Lennard Hartjes

Irakli Yegoian

Gyan de Regt

Noah Naujoks

Derensili Sanches Fernandes

Jerolldino Bergraaf

Koen Kostons

Kaj de Rooij

Thijs Oosting

Shola Shoretire

Zico Buurmeester

Ryan Thomas

Sherel Floranus

Anselmo Garcia McNulty

Simon Graves Jensen

Tristan Gooijer

Tom de Graaff

PEC Zwolle

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Excelsior

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
C. Nadje	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Tielemans	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
L. Hartjes	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

PEC Zwolle

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
O. Aertssen	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
S. Lagsir	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
B. M. Manu	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
J. Schendelaar	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
O. Velanas	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
D. van der Haar	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
D. Voute	Inactive	Questionable	0 / 0

League table

Netherlands Eredivisie

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	15	1	1	52	21	31	46	WWWWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	2	4	42	21	21	35	DLWWL
3	Ajax	17	8	6	3	32	22	10	30	DWWWL
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	8	5	4	43	29	14	29	DDWWW
5	Groningen	17	8	3	6	25	22	3	27	DWWLD
6	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	4	5	31	28	3	25	LDLLL
7	Twente	17	6	7	4	26	21	5	25	DWDWD
8	Utrecht	17	6	5	6	28	23	5	23	LDDDD
9	Heerenveen	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	WWLLW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	17	7	2	8	18	31	-13	23	WLWLD
11	Fortuna Sittard	17	6	3	8	25	29	-4	21	WLLDD
12	Excelsior	16	6	1	9	16	27	-11	19	WLWWL
13	GO Ahead Eagles	17	4	7	6	26	29	-3	19	DLDDL
14	PEC Zwolle	17	5	4	8	21	38	-17	19	LWLWD
15	Telstar	17	3	6	8	20	27	-7	15	WDDLD
16	FC Volendam	17	3	5	9	19	31	-12	14	LLLLD
17	Heracles	17	4	2	11	26	44	-18	14	LLDDW
18	NAC Breda	17	3	4	10	16	26	-10	13	LDLLL

Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle: Eredivisie Clash of Contrasting Fortunes

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Excelsior Team recent

PEC Zwolle Team recent

Odds

Excelsior

PEC Zwolle

Injuries / suspensions

Excelsior Injuries / suspensions

PEC Zwolle Injuries / suspensions

League table