Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar - AI Match Preview

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Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar

Match Events

Ilias Bronkhorst

20'

29'

Mateo Chávez

I. Bronkhorst

45'

70'

Rio Robbemond

90'

T. Parrott

90'

Penetra

Preview

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Hosts Seek Home Boost Against Inconsistent Visitors

Excelsior host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie, with the home side looking to leverage their stadium advantage against an AZ side struggling for consistent away form. While AZ are statistically stronger overall, Excelsior's recent home form shows promise, setting up a potentially intriguing contest.

This match could see AZ Alkmaar attempt to impose their possession-based style, aiming to exploit the flanks and create overloads, as suggested by their higher ball possession and pass accuracy figures. Excelsior, particularly at home recently, have shown a greater willingness to push forward, evidenced by increased shots on goal and higher scoring output. The home side might look to play with a degree of urgency, trying to catch AZ on the transition, especially given AZ's recent defensive frailties away from home. Excelsior's recent unbeaten home run suggests they can be resilient, but AZ's overall attacking threat remains considerable.

Team statistics

Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar

Matches played

7 - 5 - 10

Results

9 - 6 - 7

31.8%

Win %

40.9%

1.1

Goals scored

1.7

Goals conceded

1.6

Shots on target

5.8

4.5

Shots off target

5.5

2.9

Blocked shots

4.5

45.2

Ball possession

53.1

76.9

Pass accuracy

81.7

Fouls

10.8

4.2

Goalkeeper saves

1.5

Yellow cards

2.3

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Excelsior's home form has seen an uptick, with their last home match ending in a draw after scoring twice.
• AZ Alkmaar have a stronger overall season record but their away form is inconsistent, with an equal split of wins and losses.
• Both teams have shown they can score goals, and AZ's recent away matches have tended towards higher scoring outcomes.

AI Prediction

While Excelsior have shown resilience at home recently, AZ Alkmaar's overall statistical superiority and attacking prowess make them the favourites. The odds also favour the visitors. Both teams have shown an ability to score, and AZ's away games can be open, suggesting both teams will find the net. However, AZ's recent away form isn't entirely convincing, making it a calculated risk to back them outright.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

23%

O/U

43%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Eredivisie

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/21/2026	Excelsior	D 1 - 1 D	AZ Alkmaar AWAY	U	Y
7/13/2024	Excelsior	L 0 - 8 W	AZ Alkmaar AWAY	O	N
3/10/2024	Excelsior	L 0 - 4 W	AZ Alkmaar AWAY	O	N
11/4/2023	HOME Excelsior	D 1 - 1 D	AZ Alkmaar	U	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Excelsior

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	NAC Breda	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Ajax	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Twente	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Telstar	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	PSV Eindhoven	1 - 5	L	O	Y	N
HOME	PEC Zwolle	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Groningen	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	NAC Breda	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Ajax	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Excelsior have endured a tough season overall, reflected in a significant number of losses and a negative goal difference. However, their home form presents a more optimistic picture. They've managed more wins than draws at home and have seen their scoring output match their season average in front of their own fans. Recent home form shows a marked improvement, with an unbeaten streak and a notable increase in goals scored, even if their defence conceded in their last home outing.

AZ Alkmaar

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Ajax	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	NEC Nijmegen	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Telstar	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Excelsior	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	PEC Zwolle	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	FC Volendam	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Fortuna Sittard	3 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	GO Ahead Eagles	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Twente	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Heerenveen	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y

AZ Alkmaar possess stronger overall season statistics, boasting a better goal difference and a higher win percentage. They are particularly potent at home, scoring more goals and winning more often. Yet, their away form paints a different story, marked by an equal number of wins and losses and a slightly lower scoring rate. Recent away form has been concerning, with a recent loss and a draw, although they did manage to secure a win in their last away match, albeit against a team that conceded.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

3.1

DRAW

3.5

AWAY

2.2

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.73

UNDER

2.08

BTTS

YES

1.62

2.2

Lineups

Excelsior

(4-3-3)

Stijn van Gassel

Arthur Zagre

Rick Meissen

Casper Widell

Ilias Bronkhorst

Lennard Hartjes

Irakli Yegoian

Lewis Schouten

Gyan de Regt

Noah Naujoks

Derensili Sanches Fernandes

Jizz Hornkamp

Ro-Zangelo Daal

Troy Parrott

Weslley Patati

Rio Robbemond

Kasper Boogaard

Mateo Chávez

Alexandre Penetra

Wouter Goes

Mees de Wit

Jeroen Zoet

AZ Alkmaar

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Excelsior

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
N. Naujoks	Injury	Questionable	9 / 1
L. Hartjes	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

AZ Alkmaar

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
J. Clasie	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
D. Kasius	Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
P. Koopmeiners	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
S. Mijnans	Injury	Missing Fixture	10 / 5
S. Maikuma	Injury	Questionable	0 / 0
M. Meerdink	Groin Injury	Questionable	4 / 1
K. Smit	Inactive	Questionable	3 / 3

League table

Netherlands Eredivisie

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	15	1	1	52	21	31	46	WWWWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	2	4	42	21	21	35	DLWWL
3	Ajax	17	8	6	3	32	22	10	30	DWWWL
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	8	5	4	43	29	14	29	DDWWW
5	Groningen	17	8	3	6	25	22	3	27	DWWLD
6	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	4	5	31	28	3	25	LDLLL
7	Twente	17	6	7	4	26	21	5	25	DWDWD
8	Utrecht	17	6	5	6	28	23	5	23	LDDDD
9	Heerenveen	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	WWLLW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	17	7	2	8	18	31	-13	23	WLWLD
11	Fortuna Sittard	17	6	3	8	25	29	-4	21	WLLDD
12	Excelsior	16	6	1	9	16	27	-11	19	WLWWL
13	GO Ahead Eagles	17	4	7	6	26	29	-3	19	DLDDL
14	PEC Zwolle	17	5	4	8	21	38	-17	19	LWLWD
15	Telstar	17	3	6	8	20	27	-7	15	WDDLD
16	FC Volendam	17	3	5	9	19	31	-12	14	LLLLD
17	Heracles	17	4	2	11	26	44	-18	14	LLDDW
18	NAC Breda	17	3	4	10	16	26	-10	13	LDLLL

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Hosts Seek Home Boost Against Inconsistent Visitors

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Excelsior Team recent

AZ Alkmaar Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar

Injuries / suspensions

Excelsior Injuries / suspensions

AZ Alkmaar Injuries / suspensions

League table