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Netherlands Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar logo
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax logo
Ajax

Match Events

W. Goes
52'
Mees de Wit
59'
Troy Parrott
75'
Peer Koopmeiners
90'
90'
K. Fitz-Jim

Preview

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax: A Crucial Eredivisie Clash with Tactical Intrigue

AZ Alkmaar host Ajax in a pivotal Eredivisie fixture with both teams looking to assert dominance. While Ajax have been more consistent overall, AZ's home form and recent defensive solidity could make this a tight affair, potentially decided by fine margins.

This encounter promises a fascinating tactical battle. AZ Alkmaar, typically favouring possession, will likely aim to set a controlled rhythm on their home turf, potentially employing a compact mid-block to deny Ajax space. Ajax, renowned for their patient build-up and ability to exploit wide areas, will look to leverage their superior passing accuracy to break down AZ's defence. The key will be whether AZ can tighten up their defensive structure, having conceded three in their last outing, and whether Ajax can overcome their recent away draw habit to impose their attacking quality.

Team statistics

Netherlands Eredivisie
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Ajax
21
Matches played
21
9 - 5 - 7
Results
10 - 8 - 3
42.9%
Win %
47.6%
1.7
Goals scored
2
1.7
Goals conceded
1.3
5.8
Shots on target
6.5
5.7
Shots off target
5
4.5
Blocked shots
4
53.9
Ball possession
57.2
82
Pass accuracy
86
10.8
Fouls
10.4
3.1
Goalkeeper saves
3.4
2.3
Yellow cards
1.9
0
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • AZ Alkmaar has a 40% home win rate this season, but conceded 1.9 goals per home game.
  • • Ajax have drawn 60% of their away matches in the league.
  • • Both teams have an average of over 1.7 goals scored per game across the season.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a closely contested match, leaning slightly towards the hosts. AZ's home advantage and Ajax's away draw tendency, coupled with both teams' average scoring records, point towards a game with goals at both ends. While Ajax have the stronger overall season record, AZ's defensive fragility in their last outing and Ajax's own conceding record away from home makes a draw the most appealing outcome, with both sides likely finding the net.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    78%
    Ajax AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    30%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    Ajax AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    70%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    Ajax AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

Eredivisie
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
1/14/2026HOME
AZ Alkmaar
W 6 - 0 L
Ajax
ON
10/18/2025
AZ Alkmaar
W 2 - 0 L
Ajax
AWAY
UN
3/16/2025
AZ Alkmaar
D 2 - 2 D
Ajax
AWAY
OY
12/8/2024HOME
AZ Alkmaar
W 2 - 1 L
Ajax
OY
2/25/2024HOME
AZ Alkmaar
W 2 - 0 L
Ajax
UN
10/8/2023
AZ Alkmaar
W 2 - 1 L
Ajax
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

AZ Alkmaar Team recent

AZ Alkmaar logo
AZ Alkmaar
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
NEC Nijmegen1 - 3LOYN
AWAY
Telstar1 - 0WUNN
HOME
Excelsior1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
PEC Zwolle1 - 3LOYY
HOME
FC Volendam1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Fortuna Sittard3 - 4LOYY
HOME
GO Ahead Eagles2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Twente0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Heerenveen1 - 3LOYY
HOME
PSV Eindhoven1 - 5LOYN

AZ Alkmaar have shown a solid, if not spectacular, performance over the season, with a near 50/50 split between wins and losses. At home, they tend to be slightly more potent offensively, averaging over two goals per game, yet their defence can be porous, conceding nearly two on average. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with only one win in their last three, and their last outing was a concerningly heavy defeat, suggesting potential vulnerabilities at the back. Despite this, their overall possession and passing accuracy remain respectable.

Ajax Team recent

Ajax logo
Ajax
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Excelsior2 - 2DOYN
HOME
FC Volendam2 - 0WUNY
HOME
GO Ahead Eagles2 - 2DOYN
AWAY
Telstar3 - 2WOYN
AWAY
NEC Nijmegen2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Feyenoord2 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Fortuna Sittard3 - 1WOYN
HOME
Groningen2 - 0WUNN
HOME
Excelsior1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Utrecht1 - 2LOYN

Ajax present a more imposing overall profile, boasting a better win rate and a more robust defence that concedes significantly fewer goals than AZ's. Their away record, however, tells a slightly different story, with a high number of draws and a tendency to concede more on the road than they do at home. Recent form has been encouraging, with Ajax unbeaten in their last three, though two of those were draws. They are a possession-heavy side with excellent passing metrics, and their recent attacking output remains strong, even if their last match ended in a high-scoring draw.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
AZ Alkmaar
HOME
2.4
DRAW
3.7
Ajax
AWAY
2.75
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.67
UNDER
2.15
BTTS
YES
1.57
NO
2.25

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

AZ Alkmaar Injuries / suspensions

AZ Alkmaar logo
AZ Alkmaar
NameReasonTypeG/A
J. ClasieAnkle InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
D. KasiusInjuryMissing Fixture2 / 2
S. MijnansInjuryMissing Fixture10 / 5
M. MeerdinkGroin InjuryQuestionable4 / 1
K. SmitInactiveQuestionable3 / 3

Ajax Injuries / suspensions

Ajax logo
Ajax
NameReasonTypeG/A
S. BerghuisInactiveQuestionable4 / 2
K. Fitz-JimInactiveQuestionable1 / 0
K. ItakuraInjuryQuestionable1 / 0
L. RosaInactiveQuestionable0 / 0
O. WijndalInjuryQuestionable1 / 0

League table

Netherlands Eredivisie
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PSV Eindhoven17151152213146WWWWW
2Feyenoord17112442212135DLWWL
3Ajax1786332221030DWWWL
4NEC Nijmegen1785443291429DDWWW
5Groningen178362522327DWWLD
6AZ Alkmaar167453128325LDLLL
7Twente176742621525DWDWD
8Utrecht176562823523LDDDD
9Heerenveen176562926323WWLLW
10Sparta Rotterdam177281831-1323WLWLD
11Fortuna Sittard176382529-421WLLDD
12Excelsior166191627-1119WLWWL
13GO Ahead Eagles174762629-319DLDDL
14PEC Zwolle175482138-1719LWLWD
15Telstar173682027-715WDDLD
16FC Volendam173591931-1214LLLLD
17Heracles1742112644-1814LLDDW
18NAC Breda1734101626-1013LDLLL
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