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Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: Hosts Seek to Turn Tide in Eliteserien Clash
Valerenga hosts Sarpsborg 08 FF in a crucial Eliteserien fixture. While both teams share identical league records, recent form and defensive frailties suggest a potential for goals, but the home side's slightly better recent attacking output might give them an edge.
This match pits two sides with statistically similar overall records but contrasting recent form. Valerenga, despite their struggles, have shown a slightly better recent scoring rate and a higher volume of shots, particularly in their last home game where they managed 16 shots and scored twice. Sarpsborg's away form is dire, marked by a severe drop in offensive output and a concerning concession rate. The hosts will likely aim to leverage their home advantage and greater attacking intent, using their superior corner kick numbers to probe for openings. Sarpsborg, on the other hand, will need to shore up a defence that has been breached frequently on the road, especially after their last heavy defeat.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Valerenga's home games average 2.1 goals conceded, while Sarpsborg's away games see 1.8 goals conceded.
- • Sarpsborg are winless in their last three away matches, scoring only 0.3 goals per game in that period.
- • Valerenga's last home fixture ended in a 2-2 draw, showing some attacking potential.
AI Prediction
Valerenga's home advantage and slightly better recent offensive metrics, despite overall poor form, give them an edge over a Sarpsborg side that has struggled immensely on the road lately. The odds favour the hosts, and the defensive records of both teams, especially recently, suggest that both will find the net. The over 2.5 goals market also looks attractive given the defensive frailties on display.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Valerenga Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Ham-Kam | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | KFUM Oslo | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Molde | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Lillestrom | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fredrikstad | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Viking | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Rosenborg | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Sandefjord | 1 - 0 |
Valerenga's season has been a struggle, mirroring their overall record of just two wins and two draws from eight games. Their home form is particularly concerning, with only one win from four outings, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game. Recent performances haven't offered much respite; they are winless in their last three, conceding nearly three goals in that span, though their last outing at home saw them manage a 2-2 draw, showing a flicker of offensive capability. Despite a possession advantage in their most recent match, they still failed to secure a victory.
Sarpsborg 08 FF Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Fredrikstad | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lillestrom | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | KFUM Oslo | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Tromso | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bodo/Glimt | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Rosenborg | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Start | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sandefjord | 2 - 0 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF find themselves in an identical league position to their hosts, with their season also yielding only two wins and two draws. Their away record is even more worrying, having lost three of their four games on the road, leaking 1.8 goals per match. Recent form has seen a significant downturn, with three consecutive losses, scoring a mere 0.3 goals per game and conceding 2.3. Their last away fixture was a particularly dismal 0-4 defeat, highlighting significant defensive vulnerabilities.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.