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Valerenga vs Aalesund: Hosts Target Home Advantage in Eliteserien Clash
Valerenga host Aalesund in a fixture that pits the home side's improving recent form against Aalesund's resilience. While Valerenga have shown attacking teeth at home, Aalesund have been drawing their way back into games recently.
This match looks set to be a test of Valerenga's recent home resurgence against Aalesund's stubbornness. The hosts typically aim to build from the back with a decent passing accuracy, and at home, they increase their shot volume. Aalesund, conversely, tend to play a slower game with lower possession when travelling, and their recent away form suggests they might adopt a compact defensive shape, looking to hit on limited transitions. Valerenga's higher corner count at home could also offer a route to goal.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Valerenga have won 50% of their home games this season, scoring an average of 1.5 goals.
- • Aalesund have drawn 40% of their away games, but have only secured one away victory.
- • Both teams have shown a tendency to concede in recent matches, with an average of over 1.7 goals conceded across their last three games.
AI Prediction
Valerenga's home form, particularly their last home win, coupled with their higher scoring average at home, makes them the favourite. Aalesund's recent string of draws and their ability to score on the road, despite overall struggles, suggests they can contribute a goal. The odds favour the home win, aligning with the statistical trends.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U40%BTTS43%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U53%BTTS53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U67%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Valerenga Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Tromso | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Kristiansund BK | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Start | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Ham-Kam | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | KFUM Oslo | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Molde | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Lillestrom | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fredrikstad | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Viking | 0 - 1 |
Valerenga have endured a tough season overall, with more losses than wins and a concerning goals-conceded record. However, a closer look at their home form reveals a more competitive side, averaging 1.5 goals scored and winning half of their games. Their last outing at home was a dominant 3-1 victory, suggesting they can still produce potent attacking displays on familiar turf. Recent form is mixed, with two wins in their last three at home, though overall results in the last three games show a dip in defensive solidity.
Aalesund Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Molde | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Ham-Kam | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Tromso | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Brann | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Rosenborg | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sandefjord | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Kristiansund BK | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Bodo/Glimt | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | KFUM Oslo | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Fredrikstad | 2 - 3 |
Aalesund's season has been characterised by a high number of draws, particularly on the road, where they’ve shared the points in 40% of their matches. They struggle to convert their possession into goals away from home, with only one win from five. Despite this, their underlying stats from the last three games show a team that is hard to break down, conceding the same number of goals they score on average. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw, reflecting their ability to grind out results, though their away possession figures remain low.
Odds