Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord: Hosts Aim to Turn Home Form Around in Eliteserien
Fredrikstad hosts Sandefjord in a crucial Eliteserien clash. While Fredrikstad has shown flashes of strength at home, their overall season form has been concerning, whereas Sandefjord's away record is particularly porous. This fixture presents an opportunity for the home side to capitalize on their opponent's struggles.
Fredrikstad, despite their overall struggles, has shown a more potent attacking edge at home, often achieving a higher shot volume and better passing accuracy in their own stadium. They will likely aim to leverage this home advantage by trying to set the rhythm of the game, particularly if they can achieve their higher average ball possession at home. Sandefjord, conversely, tends to concede more when playing away and their recent defensive record is alarming. The home side may look to exploit Sandefjord's tendency to concede with quick transitions, especially given Sandefjord's recent disciplinary issues, including a red card in their last away game.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Fredrikstad has won 50% of their home games this season, while Sandefjord has lost 71.4% of their away fixtures.
- • Sandefjord's away matches have averaged 2.7 goals over the season, indicating a tendency for higher scoring games.
- • Fredrikstad's last home game saw them concede two goals despite a dominant possession and shot count.
AI Prediction
Fredrikstad's home record, while not perfect, offers a much more promising outlook than Sandefjord's dire away form. The hosts have shown they can score at home, and Sandefjord's defence has been particularly susceptible on their travels. Despite Fredrikstad's own recent defensive lapses, the opportunity to grab three points against a weak away side is significant. The odds also slightly favour the home team, aligning with this assessment.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U47%BTTS63%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U67%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U40%BTTS47%
H2H
Team recent
Fredrikstad Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Rosenborg | 0 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bodo/Glimt | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Lillestrom | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Start | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Sandefjord | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Ham-Kam | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Brann | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Viking | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kristiansund BK | 0 - 2 | - |
Fredrikstad's season has been a tale of two halves, with their home form presenting a stark contrast to their struggles on the road. They've managed to secure wins in 50% of their home fixtures, scoring a respectable 1.5 goals per game. However, their recent form is a significant worry, having lost their last league outing decisively and conceding four goals in their most recent home game, despite a dominant possession share and a high shot count. The team has been defensively fragile overall, leaking nearly two goals per game across the season.
Sandefjord Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Viking | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Ham-Kam | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Molde | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Fredrikstad | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Lillestrom | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Kristiansund BK | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Aalesund | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Tromso | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Rosenborg | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Brann | 1 - 0 | - |
Sandefjord’s season has been characterised by inconsistency, particularly away from home where they've lost a staggering 71.4% of their matches. Despite averaging a goal per game overall, their away scoring average is the same, but they concede a worrying 1.7 goals when travelling. Their recent form mirrors this defensive frailty, with three consecutive losses and an average of two goals conceded per game in their last three outings. The last match saw them concede four goals, indicating persistent issues at the back, even if they managed to register a goal themselves.
